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Joe Bastardi's Early 2008 Hurricane Forecast: Slightly More Storms than Average with Increased Chances for Landfalls in North America...
...REMEMBER: 1996, which we quote as an analog* year, was of course, the banner hurricane year for North Carolina. I was there, trust me. To predict that this year could be similar is bad news for Carolinians.
BeachLiving,
Oh ye of little faith!!
In 1996 Bertha and Fran whacked the coast of NC. The next year was forcasted to be even worse. End result?
Nothing. Not a one hit North Carolina.
I now take all weather forecasts with a grain of salt. Reason? It seems each year they (the weather forecasters predict "a much more active season" than previous years". Just when I begin to worry, nothing happens. Remember when Floyd destroyed portions of Eastern NC? Weather teams were caught off guard. It was then I learned to play storms by eye and ear, not by forecast.
Guess we'll see how this hurricane season turns out. For the past two years, they've predicted higher than normal number of hurricanes hitting the NC coast and they batted zero. Who knows about this year? Not saying we won't get any hurricanes but I'm not going by the forecasters anymore.
The inner and outer banks of NC are diverse-What will be affected and how it will be affected by a hurricane is simply unpredictable.
Each hurricane is different. Coastal North Carolina has waterfront properties that face all directions, North, South, East and West.
Guess what-The wind from a hurricane can come from all directions too!
One hurricane can be blowing off the water onto you which creates a flood situation. Another hurricane could be blowing from the opposite direction blowing the water away from you.
Duiring every hurricane both scenario's occur.
The real problem with hurricanes is the flooding that occurrs afterwards due to rain. This may take days or weeks after the storm to occurr. The Inner banks is most affected by flooding. Most hurricane related deaths are associated with inland flooding
And no place is "safe" from a hurricane. Hurricane Hugo in 1989 reached all the way into Charlotte. A couple of storms a few years ago came up through the Gulf and impacted & flooded the NC mountains.
Hurricanes are scary. There are ways to tell if your property is prone or more apt to flood. But do not let hurricanes prohibit you from living in eastern NC.
Bill
Always be prepared for the worst and if it doesn't happen at least you will know you are prepared!! Just as it always was when I lived in CA. and the earthquakes. Not much a person can do other then to always be prepared!! Enjoy the times when things are good and deal with the times they are bad.
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