[Mixum]

Cam what's latest on those possible storms?

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Wow.


A RECORD YEARLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT BRIDGEPORT CT FOR
2012. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 55.6 BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF
54.3 SET IN 2010 AND 1991.

A RECORD YEARLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT ISLIP NY FOR 2012.
THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 55.3 BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 55.0
SET IN 1998.

A RECORD YEARLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ FOR 2012.THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 57.8 BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 57.6SET IN 1990.

A RECORD YEARLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT JFK AIRPORT NY FOR2012. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 57.0 BREAKS THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF56.2 SET IN 1991.

A RECORD YEARLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE WAS SET AT LAGUARDIA NY FOR2012. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 58.5 TIES THE PREVIOUS RECORD SETIN 2006.

FOR THE YEAR OF 2012...CENTRAL PARK NY (NYC) RECORDED AN AVERAGETEMPERATURE OF 57.3 DEGREES. THIS BREAKS THE RECORD FOR THE WARMESTYEAR ON RECORD. THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS 57.2 DEGREES...RECORDED INTHE YEARS OF 1990...1991 AND 1998. RECORDS FOR CENTRAL PARK DATEBACK TO 1869.

Wow, Bridgeport SHATTERED its record!

[Cambium]

Ok, Ok, lets get technical.

First off... Light snow tonight still on tap. Nothing to stay up for.

Secondly... after Monday it will feel like Spring for a few days. Snowcover will be ba bye by next weekend especialy with Fridays Rain.

Thirdly.. Has anyone else noticed the trough get placed out west and a southeast ridge more dominant in the East? Recipe for disaster.(unless you like it warm). There's one thing that has to happen for that SouthEast ridge to go away and I'll explain..

* Word of Warning... You may have DeJaVu flashbacks to December.*

Now. January 13, 2013 Storm Update. Yellow arrow is the track it will take. Upper Mid West Snows (remember?), Warm East (familiar?), Rain storm for us (flashback?).

Notice red arrow. Thats the High thats been moving back and forth from Bermuda to the Gulf pumping warm air into us most of the time. In order for that to dissapear or weaken we need a storm to cut into the Great lakes to squash that ridge. Sound Familiar? Same thing happened last month.




December 17, 2013 Storm Update:

Notice 3 things.
1. Where's the SouthEast Ridge? It's weakened. Squashed. Pushed out to Atlantic because of the previous storm.
2. High pressure shows up in the Pacific now pushing the trough (cold air) to the center of the country.
3. Storm track now shifts East to the Appalacian track.

Rainstorm for us again but could be rain to snow.. The 2 Jet Streams phase here and make a huge storm over the Ohio Valley bringing a Huge snowstorm to somewhere around PA and Indiana.

This is still 12 days away so yes there might be that chance that the phasing occurs closer to us which would mean snow. But again...this happened in December also!

And just like our Dec, 29th storm, something tells me we're setting up for a big snowstorm between Jan 20-29. I'm going to stretch it and say Jan 20th to February 20th we could see a few.

Bottom line is... we have to get rid of that SouthEast ridge otherwise its game over for us and we can start planting seeds soon.

[7 Wishes]

You said December 17, 2013 storm update. I think you meant January 17, 2013.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

You said December 17, 2013 storm update. I think you meant January 17, 2013.

LOL.. Damn warm up making me think about next winter.

[GraniteStater]

I think the GFS is OUT TO LUNCH. Why? It doesn't make much sense for the trough to stay just west in the Great Lakes when the snowpack is much deeper. That will shift the storm track further east again and squash the Southeast ridge. Also, notice that the PNA is forecasted to remain positive. This will continue to pump up the ridge of high pressure in the western US and off the West Coast. Now, if the models continue to latch onto the warm trend for the East Coast it wouldn't surprise me, but I think the GFS is really underestimating the amount of cold and snowpack upstream. It is notrious for doing this.

[7 Wishes]

NWS snowfall amounts for tonight, measurable if goes as predicted but not much at all.

[7 Wishes]

BOX seems even less confident about snow, as shown on this map for the rest of CT:

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

NWS snowfall amounts for tonight, measurable if goes as predicted but not much at all. Couldn't find BOX's map to cover the rest of CT:

They usually dont post the graphic unless its worth it. NWS Taunton, MA - KBOX - Storm Total Snowfall Graphic
They mentioned it on their FB page. //www.facebook.com/US.NationalW...ice.Boston.gov

Originally Posted by GraniteStater

Also, notice that the PNA is forecasted to remain positive. This will continue to pump up the ridge of high pressure in the western US and off the West Coast. Now, if the models continue to latch onto the warm trend for the East Coast it wouldn't surprise me, but I think the GFS is really underestimating the amount of cold and snowpack upstream. It is notrious for doing this.

Hope so but the PNA is split. NCEP keeps it negative, ESLR brings it positive by mid month which I think the change will be. I havent checked what the latest models do with the NAO/PNA. Use this link to see each run. Allan Huffman's Weather Model and Data Page



Actually if you click my last link for the tellies, click on the Line graph of all 12z Model predictions for 4 indices on the right, scroll down to PNA you'll see the latest models Euro, GFS, and GGEM keep the PNA negative.

[Cambium]

Another good link to see the tellie forecasts. On the left you'll see the 4 choices.

Climate Prediction Center - Teleconnections: North Atlantic Oscillation