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Old 09-07-2012, 09:48 AM
 
3,349 posts, read 4,165,458 times
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Wunderground for a nearby station has 7 days of 90 F or higher, and 4 of those readings were 90 or 91 degrees. Just Half the total of 90+F days for Bridgeport. The only day I breached 90 in 2012 was July 18th.

Weather Station History | Weather Underground

 
Old 09-07-2012, 10:17 AM
 
3,435 posts, read 3,941,124 times
Reputation: 1763
The urban heat island effect is pronounced. I have seen 10 and even 15 degree differences between 95 in Norwalk and my home in Wilton.
 
Old 09-07-2012, 10:21 AM
 
3,349 posts, read 4,165,458 times
Reputation: 1946
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike 75 View Post
The urban heat island effect is pronounced. I have seen 10 and even 15 degree differences between 95 in Norwalk and my home in Wilton.
Spot on.
 
Old 09-07-2012, 03:05 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
One of those days I wish I had more time to update.

Just look at this map and you should know the scoop. Anyone else tired of summer and these storms and dewpoints?



 
Old 09-07-2012, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
...DAMAGING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN U.S. SATURDAY...

POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF THE NERN U.S. SATURDAY. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE...ESPECIALLY THE
NAM/ECMWF...SUGGEST SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
WILL DIG INTO LOWER MI BY 08/12 BEFORE EJECTING NEWD IN A NEGATIVELY
TILTED FASHION AND DEEPENING OVER SERN ONTARIO/WRN QUEBEC. 90-120M
12HR HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS WRN/UPSTATE NY DURING THE DAY
ENSURING A STRONGLY FORCED AND CONVECTIVELY-ACTIVE COLD FRONT. THIS
EVOLUTION SUGGESTS A FRONTAL INTRUSION THAT WILL INDUCE A BAND OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AS IT SURGES ACROSS THE NRN MIDDLE ATLANTIC
REGION INTO NEW ENGLAND.

ALL INDICATIONS FAVOR A SQUALL ALONG THE WIND SHIFT AT SUNRISE FROM
SRN ONTARIO SWD ACROSS OH...TRAILING INTO THE TN VALLEY. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO WRN
NY/PA...ESPECIALLY BY 18Z AS BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO WARM.
ALTHOUGH FORECAST LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP BOUNDARY
LAYER AIRMASS IS FAIRLY MOIST ATTM WITH UPPER 60S-70F SFC DEW POINTS
IN PLACE ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION. THERE IS LITTLE REASON
TO BELIEVE THIS AIRMASS WILL NOT SPREAD NWD ACROSS PA/NJ INTO
UPSTATE NY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND AMPLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
WILL SPREAD NWD TOWARD THE CANADIAN BORDER TO SUPPORT ROBUST
UPDRAFTS WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

OF PARTICULAR CONCERN IS THE EXPECTED MID LEVEL JET THAT SHOULD
INTENSIFY AS IT EJECTS ACROSS WRN PA TO SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 70KT
OVER UPSTATE NY BY 09/00Z. WITH DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER SERN ONTARIO
FORECAST SHEAR PROFILES BECOME QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING
ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS. WHILE A DAMAGING SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED ALONG
THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR WILL BECOME QUITE
FAVORABLE FOR PRE-FRONTAL SUPERCELLS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITHIN
THE MAIN SQUALL LINE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM NRN NJ NWD THROUGH
THE HUDSON VALLEY SUGGEST TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IF DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS CAN EVOLVE AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE AND WITH CIRCULATIONS
WITHIN THE LINE. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE BACK EDGE OF
THE PRIMARY SQUALL LINE WILL ADVANCE INTO THE HUDSON VALLEY BY LATE
AFTERNOON TRAILING SWWD INTO CNTRL VA BY 09/00Z WITH SUBSEQUENT
MOVEMENT ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND BY 06Z. (Saturday evening & night)

Storm Prediction Center Sep 7, 2012 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
 
Old 09-07-2012, 03:46 PM
 
Location: Middlesex
1,351 posts, read 2,690,667 times
Reputation: 1462
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
One of those days I wish I had more time to update.

Just look at this map and you should know the scoop. Anyone else tired of summer and these storms and dewpoints?
i am.. any idea when it is finally going to feel like September?
 
Old 09-07-2012, 04:16 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,500 posts, read 75,234,500 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by Slipperman View Post
i am.. any idea when it is finally going to feel like September?
After Sunday we'll feel it. But I havent checked the latest models I think I saw 80s again next week.

Upton for tomorrow. Good news but dont let gaurd down.

THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF NYC
WHERE THE BEST DYNAMICS AREA. SOME OF THE STRONG STORMS WILL
STRUGGLE REACHING LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL CT...WITH A MARINE
INFLUENCE IN PLACE

WITH A TROPICAL AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE...WOULD EXPECT TORRENTIAL RAIN.
 
Old 09-07-2012, 08:31 PM
 
8,777 posts, read 19,852,893 times
Reputation: 5291
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM NRN NJ NWD THROUGH
THE HUDSON VALLEY SUGGEST TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IF DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS CAN EVOLVE AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE AND WITH CIRCULATIONS
WITHIN THE LINE. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE BACK EDGE OF
THE PRIMARY SQUALL LINE WILL ADVANCE INTO THE HUDSON VALLEY BY LATE
AFTERNOON TRAILING SWWD INTO CNTRL VA BY 09/00Z WITH SUBSEQUENT
MOVEMENT ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND BY 06Z.
"Discrete" supercells? Sounds like the NWS meteorologists are spending too much time surfing Craigslist personal ads......
 
Old 09-08-2012, 05:23 AM
 
5,064 posts, read 15,893,696 times
Reputation: 3577
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post

Anyone else tired of summer and these storms and dewpoints?

There have been very few storms this summer where I live, and the humidity comes and goes. It seems like a pretty typical summer to me. I'm not ready for it to end yet.
 
Old 09-08-2012, 06:01 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
4,429 posts, read 10,358,603 times
Reputation: 2157
Quote:
Originally Posted by andthentherewere3 View Post
There have been very few storms this summer where I live, and the humidity comes and goes. It seems like a pretty typical summer to me. I'm not ready for it to end yet.
I also noticed that as well - very few thunderstorms this summer. There were very few cold fronts that made it down to Ct/NY/NJ this summer it seems.

As far as summer…living on the coast - I actually enjoy September the last month of summer the best! The tourists have all gone back to school and work and we get to really enjoy the beach now. The ocean is the warmest and the temps are perfect. September to early November are quite nice on the shoreline
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