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Old 02-25-2014, 09:56 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,515 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Blizzard is very very low chance. In fact I say 2% chance. Its looking more and more like overrunning precip which possibly develops a storm off the coast. But nothing tightly wound up.

Gfs just out agreeing with Tuesday's updates regarding long duration snows because the front stalls near us and gulf moisture interacts with it.

The only thing I see, if its a little snow at a time over 3 days, I don't see an issue with the roads as if it was all within 12hrs.

We could be looking at cloudy, on off snows from Sunday to Tuesday night which "total" 5-10" but lots melt because its spread out over time. Still early for details like that but that's my thoughts based on latest so far.

A shift north of the front and we get ice or rain. Big ice storm south of us on latest gfs

 
Old 02-26-2014, 04:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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First.. 6:20am temps and Radar. 2nd morning in a row with snow falling south of us. (That's where the arctic front is sitting)

Teens across CT this morning is about 10-15 degrees below normal.

 
Old 02-26-2014, 05:00 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Second... time restricted all I did was look at the EURO data for Danbury. Wow!

1.31" of all snow! But hear me out.. You see the 2, 8, 6 & 10? I am not worried about that AT ALL. That would mostly melt on contact. Model snow maps don't account for that. So deduct 0.26" from the entire qpf total now.

What worries me is that 0.44" & 0.55". That would be heavy snow in 12hr period. An inch of liquid at 12:1 ratios = 12 inches of snow.

This is based on the lastest Euro. I don't have time to check the others.

 
Old 02-26-2014, 07:37 AM
 
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Snowing here in Westchester for about 30 minutes already........sort of light/medium and sticking. Just a heads up that its coming towards CT now.
 
Old 02-26-2014, 07:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Do any of you remember these storms?

Couple of NESIS maps of March snowfalls.

1993 was #1 on the impact ranking
2009 was #48
2007 was #41
2013 was #39



Reason why I ask is because if it plays out like these models are showing past couple days, it might end up on NESIS high impact scale. Have to see what next few days says.
 
Old 02-26-2014, 07:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,515 posts, read 75,294,816 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gmdealerguy View Post
Snowing here in Westchester for about 30 minutes already........sort of light/medium and sticking. Just a heads up that its coming towards CT now.
Yes, thanks! Some might be heavy but not mounting to much. Just enough to keep us in the long winter spirit.

9:45am radar and metars who's reporting the snow. And Snow reports last hour.



 
Old 02-26-2014, 07:52 AM
 
21,619 posts, read 31,202,923 times
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Are we still looking at a Monday/Tuesday storm or has it been pushed out to Tuesday/Wednesday? I ask because wxedge reporters are saying Wednesday.
 
Old 02-26-2014, 08:04 AM
 
431 posts, read 446,537 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kidyankee764 View Post
Are we still looking at a Monday/Tuesday storm or has it been pushed out to Tuesday/Wednesday? I ask because wxedge reporters are saying Wednesday.
I'd like to know please too! And if it's going to amount to anything???

A break down for us that are not so good at interpreting those maps and graphs would be fabulous haha
 
Old 02-26-2014, 08:05 AM
 
Location: New Hampshire
276 posts, read 448,415 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Do any of you remember these storms?

1993 was #1 on the impact ranking
2009 was #48
2007 was #41
2013 was #39
I remember the 1993 storm because I was a toddler living in Western Maryland - the snow was as tall as me. I'm moving up to New Hampshire on the 4th when this storm is supposed to hit it looks like. Yikes! I do like the snow though
 
Old 02-26-2014, 08:07 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,515 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by kidyankee764 View Post
Are we still looking at a Monday/Tuesday storm or has it been pushed out to Tuesday/Wednesday? I ask because wxedge reporters are saying Wednesday.
?? WxEdge saying Wednesday?? You sure they aren't talking about today??

It's Sunday afternoon to Tuesday morning.. Heaviest should be Monday morning to evening give or take. We'll know details by Friday night
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