[jp03]

Originally Posted by Cambium

BDR with GFS12z is 0.54"
BDR with EURO12z is 0.63"

Still Looks like general 5-8". NYC and Coast is now the northern edge of heavy swath
BDL might end up getting a couple inches at this pace.

Here's EURO snow total map.

good ole long term models..so reliable Shame really.people should not even take notice till 3 days out..its a crapshoot before then. What the models are doing now with actual data fed in makes for a forecast..everything before that just sets it up for a fail.

[BPt111]

Originally Posted by Cambium

EURO joins the south trend!

** ALL MODELS have trended south overnight and today! This means anyone who was an ice threat in south jersey/Philly will now be in the 6-10"+ snow zone. Any areas north of NYC are getting much less snow now based on these trends.

We'll see how the rest of the updates go but you can't deny the trend south!

Look at the storm!! Wow what a circulation! This is our storm.



The trend south on the models could also be just the wobble of the storm which may wobble back north!

Last night most models said we could get over feet based on models now it say 8-12 inches for SW CT but there couple important models later on It back and forth

[BPt111]

We will known the Offical snow amounts later on

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by jp03

good ole long term models..so reliable Shame really.people should not even take notice till 3 days out..its a crapshoot before then. What the models are doing now with actual data fed in makes for a forecast..everything before that just sets it up for a fail.

lol. You're still looking at the details though. This storm was seen over 10 days out. Can't deny that and it is happening. It's happening exactly how the models described it 5 days ago with the front, overrunning precip and the waves of low pressure along it and snow for us.

Details will never be known until 3 days out like you said. Includes Track, Precip amounts, and temps.

Lets see how tonights updates go. They will have even better data in them with the system on shore.

We went from 8-12" to 3-6". Something tells me we're still in the game for 5-7". We'll see.

[Tubeworm]

Originally Posted by BPt111

We will known the Offical snow amounts later on

We'll know the official snow amounts when the storm is over.

[BPt111]

Originally Posted by Cambium

lol. You're still looking at the details though. This storm was seen over 10 days out. Can't deny that and it is happening. It's happening exactly how the models described it 5 days ago with the front, overrunning precip and the waves of low pressure along it and snow for us.

Details will never be known until 3 days out like you said. Includes Track, Precip amounts, and temps.

Lets see how tonights updates go. They will have even better data in them with the system on shore.

We went from 8-12" to 3-6". Something tells me we're still in the game for 5-7". We'll see.

what next 2-4" lol

[Tubeworm]

The trend this winter has been a northwest shift during the last few model runs before the storm. In other words, I'd be keeping an eye out over the weekend for the heavy snow to move back north on the models, assuming the track of the low trended south.

[clutchrider]

Originally Posted by jp03

Waiting for a good hit? we had snow piled up to our ears a week ago!! oy

No I get that. But I'm talking about in one sitting. Hasn't happened in my area yet but I'm just saying if we are going to get one last good storm I'd rather it be worthwhile and not just a few annoying inches.

[BPt111]

NAM back north. It's 18z though.

CT is back to 10-16" range

[BPt111]

Models are shifting back and forth it still 3 days out