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Old 11-13-2014, 11:38 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,278 posts, read 74,492,361 times
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12zNAM left, 12zGFS right for Danbury, CT.

NAM with 0.23" qpf,
GFS with 0.31" qpf

Factor in evaporation and melt I say T-2" is safe bet for Danbury on cold surfaces.

850s go below freezing before the precip.


 
Old 11-13-2014, 12:46 PM
 
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When weather forecasters in CT talk about "higher elevations", particularly when we are talking about snow, what do they consider high? The "northwest and northeast hills" are always mentioned but where I am in SE Hartford County, our elevation is near 800'. Is that considered a "higher elevation" in CT relative to snowfall? Are they referring to over 1,000'? I have never heard this actually defined, yet every meteorologist in the state will talk about "elevation" in vague terms.
 
Old 11-13-2014, 02:54 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,278 posts, read 74,492,361 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mels View Post
When weather forecasters in CT talk about "higher elevations", particularly when we are talking about snow, what do they consider high? The "northwest and northeast hills" are always mentioned but where I am in SE Hartford County, our elevation is near 800'. Is that considered a "higher elevation" in CT relative to snowfall? Are they referring to over 1,000'? I have never heard this actually defined, yet every meteorologist in the state will talk about "elevation" in vague terms.
Good question.. Sometimes it's reflected per area like if you said higher elevations of Fairfield county it would imply above 500 feet. But our state as a whole would mostly imply over 1000' generally. So you're near the border.

So like if you see 1-3" but higher elevations with 3"+ possible, then figure you're closer to the 3 side.

But as we know, snow isn't going to be uniform. You can get 3" but a spot at 1200' somewhere gets 1".

So at that elevation there, always prepare for a slightly higher accumulation than lower elevations and a lot of that has to do with quicker sticking there.

At 300 feet it will melt on contact for more minutes than you or maybe the snow gets too light as it drops further down.
 
Old 11-13-2014, 03:21 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,278 posts, read 74,492,361 times
Reputation: 16504
Current(4:15pm) Radar & Metars. Lightly Snowing in Lancaster PA and Higher elevations of Maryland. (over 800 feet in MD and 400+ feet in Eastern PA )

850s at or below freezing where the precip is shown so its all about the surface. Meaning its cold enough at 4000 feet for snow but the surface needs to cool down.

 
Old 11-13-2014, 03:59 PM
 
Location: Northeast states
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First snow of the season is coming shoreline coating to 1" inches and Litchfield County, Windham, Tolland, Hartford County, Northern New Haven County like Meriden and Waterbury 1-2" inches
 
Old 11-13-2014, 07:23 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,278 posts, read 74,492,361 times
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8:15pm radar and metars. Waterbury, CT reporting snow at 728 feet. Trenton, NJ also reporting light snow.

If you got drizzle or rain just know its snowing not far above your head above 1-2000 feet. Just a matter of getting the surface to cool down.

 
Old 11-13-2014, 07:26 PM
 
Location: Rochester, NY
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I cant tell, but I think I got a very quick few flakes. I will have to check. Other than that, probably no other snow for me except for a quick dusting.
 
Old 11-13-2014, 07:42 PM
 
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how about now?
 
Old 11-13-2014, 07:44 PM
 
Location: Rochester, NY
1,129 posts, read 1,341,914 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JMagliola View Post
how about now?
Nope, the first band is over Lake Ontario. I *could* get a very small amount if this next band passes over. Higher chance of lake effect snow for me tomorrow/Saturday.
 
Old 11-13-2014, 08:21 PM
 
Location: Live in NY, work in CT
11,242 posts, read 18,715,180 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPizza View Post
I cant tell, but I think I got a very quick few flakes. I will have to check. Other than that, probably no other snow for me except for a quick dusting.
That's exactly what my sister in the Buffalo area told me this morning....

Quote:
Originally Posted by DrPizza View Post
Nope, the first band is over Lake Ontario. I *could* get a very small amount if this next band passes over. Higher chance of lake effect snow for me tomorrow/Saturday.
She said that too.
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