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Old 11-03-2015, 08:34 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619

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Quote:
Originally Posted by papafox View Post
Hey Camb, are you seeing any widespread rain events on the horizon like we had last Wed? I'm sooo in the mood to fly in IFR weather again!
Best bet would be next week. Wednesday- Thurs.

Actually go fly to South Dakota...possible snowstorm there..and MN. That storm will push a front to us with rain.

 
Old 11-04-2015, 04:27 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Gotta love above normal in Early November mornings Chilly 30s & 40s out there.
Watch those ranges again today with the jump to 60s & 70s

Yes, that's 58 in NYC (the spot with the trees )
38 in Danbury. 45 here.

 
Old 11-04-2015, 07:20 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Gotta love above normal in Early November mornings Chilly 30s & 40s out there.
Watch those ranges again today with the jump to 60s & 70s

Yes, that's 58 in NYC (the spot with the trees )
38 in Danbury. 45 here.
Long range is just all above normal./..geez we could be looking at record month for warmth. Early December are the first signs of a cooling period.
 
Old 11-04-2015, 08:33 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Long range is just all above normal./..geez we could be looking at record month for warmth. Early December are the first signs of a cooling period.
Yes.. status quo on the overall. Only 1-2 day cold shot. More Warm days than cold. Well above more than well below. All that spells Top 10 warm November possible and most likely above normal month.

This is 90% sure next 12 days at least so that means we would need the Polar vortex over Hartford to get a well below normal month. LOL

Enjoy it guys.

I personally say the 70s are done after this week
 
Old 11-04-2015, 08:55 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Yes.. status quo on the overall. Only 1-2 day cold shot. More Warm days than cold. Well above more than well below. All that spells Top 10 warm November possible and most likely above normal month.

This is 90% sure next 12 days at least so that means we would need the Polar vortex over Hartford to get a well below normal month. LOL

Enjoy it guys.

I personally say the 70s are done after this week
Definitely no 70's after this week. Watch out though...signs are starting to point to a cold end of December.
 
Old 11-04-2015, 07:15 PM
 
1,344 posts, read 1,743,258 times
Reputation: 1750
Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Definitely no 70's after this week. Watch out though...signs are starting to point to a cold end of December.
What exactly do you base that on 8 weeks out?
 
Old 11-05-2015, 04:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
Quote:
Originally Posted by jp03 View Post
Watch out though...signs are starting to point to a cold end of December.
So since when does current stuff have to do with the future.
 
Old 11-05-2015, 09:01 AM
 
10,007 posts, read 11,161,435 times
Reputation: 6303
Quote:
Originally Posted by papafox View Post
What exactly do you base that on 8 weeks out?
Law of averages... works 75 percent of the time.

December 20 -30 will be below normal
 
Old 11-05-2015, 09:24 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
FRIGGIN rain!!!! Stupid on shore flow!!! Damn you!!

Had off today and was doing outdoor stuff including re grouting Belgian blocks and cracks in foundation. NOTHING on radar! Just clouds..

All of a sudden starts raining! I MISS THE DROUGHT! lol

It's just dropping where ever it wants right now.

 
Old 11-05-2015, 09:30 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,516 posts, read 75,294,816 times
Reputation: 16619
nws ny

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1003 AM EST THU NOV 5 2015

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
VISIBILITIES HAVE RAPIDLY IMPROVED ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING
TO 2 SM OR GREATER UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS AS THE WARM
FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND WELL INTO
MASSACHUSETTS.

SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES IN ASSOCIATION OF A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND INTO THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT. SO HAVE
INCREASED POPS INTO THESE REGIONS FOR THIS MORNING.

DEEPER MOISTURE ADVECTING NORTHWARD WILL ENSURE PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER ALONG WITH SOME RAIN WITH VERY LOW COVERAGE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE REMAINS OVERHEAD WITH SFC HIGH OFFSHORE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC TODAY. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES.

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH NEXT
IMPULSE SET TO MOVE WELL TO THE NW OF THE AREA FRIDAY.
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