[Cambium]

If this happens.... (Talking about the Polar Vortex into Canada), then the squirrels would have been right with all their activity past 3 months.


https://twitter.com/DanLeonard_wx/st...25075823964161

[nei]

Originally Posted by Cambium

That's what is fascinating about CT. A small state but with so many microclimates within. You can drive short distances in any county and see big differences. I'm seeing some 1-2" reports here and there. Localized in those cold spots.


All done here, back edge just moved Fairfield County now


0.15" qpf total. (light)

snow stopped sometime late morning

[Cambium]

Tomorrow.. More rain than snow but another Coating to an inch again coming. Not sure on timing, haven't checked.

[Cambium]

Rain still on tap but the hills above 1000' in NJ, NY, and Litchfield county could be in for a nice little snow event.

For NWS NY coverage area.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
415 AM EST Tue Dec 6 2016

A 1021 high was centered over eastern Pennsylvania at 4 am. This
high will drift over the area this morning, and into Maine this
afternoon. This will result in a sunny start to the day, then mid
and high clouds, evident on satellite from southern New Jersey
to the Ohio Valley, will overspread the area during the afternoon.
The guidance was in good agreement for temperatures, so a blend
was used.

Low pressure will develop along a warm front late today over the
Southeast, with the low deepening off of Cape Hatteras by around
00Z. The low will then hook to the right after 6Z and track out to
sea.

The NAM, GFS and ECMWF were tightly clustered on the track and
intensity of the low.

The thermal profiles progged are minimally supportive of snow
with the system. This quickly eliminates the coasts from snow
chances with a mild boundary layer on easterly component flow.
Across the interior, any accumulating snow will depend on wet
bulbing and elevation. As a result, only minor snow amounts are
expected for the majority of the forecast area at this time.

The main exception is across Orange county, where it appears they
are far enough inland to avoid a marine influenced boundary layer,
have enough deep lift to produce moderate precipitation rates and
maximize the wet bulb effect, and have some elevation to cool the
low levels orographically. Because of this, a Winter Weather
Advisory has been issued for the county. Much of the area could
only see a slushy inch or so, but elevations over a thousand feet
could pick up around 4 inches if everything comes together as
currently forecast.

As the lift weakens after 6Z and dry air aloft spills in, the
precipitation looks to transition to light rain and drizzle early
Wednesday morning into the early afternoon. There is a low chance
that some pockets of freezing drizzle develop across the interior
before 12Z. The most likely spot is where the advisory has already
been issued for snow.

[Cambium]

Arctic blast next week looks like it could target Northeast US. This week it targeted the Northwest and then just spreading East to us but by time the air comes to us it's just cold below normal but nothing extreme...


Next week could get interesting

These are temps at 5000' in Celsius. We look at this level to see the pattern and what the surface temps will be like. This would be just downright cold for Mid January let alone December.





Northeast View

[Cambium]

Rain couple hours away. Temp is 42° here. Don't be surprised to hear some sleet pellets.


Mid 40s across CT, Long Island, NYC, NJ.
Low 40s in MA

[Cambium]

Radar & Metar loop last 4hrs. Snowing in Binghamton and Ithaca now. Drizzling here with a temp of 41F. Heavier rain coming in soon.

[RunD1987]

As long as no snow next Monday and Wednesday we are good.

[Cambium]

Sleet here.


Rain must of cooled the column so it was thick enough to refreeze the drops coming down as sleet.. So cool.

[Poseidon3290]

Full on ice here!! Cmon Snow day!!