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Flurries on and off for a couple hours in Prospect too. Nothing of note, just caught me by surprise when I looked out the window after painting all morning. Didn't expect anything.

[RunD1987]

Looks like after Thursday Temps seem to stay in the low 40's!!!

[clutchrider]

Apparently a few people are really sore about this thread having people voice opinions and engage in actual discussion. If I wanted just straight forecasts I'd turn the TV on or open my weather app. One of the great things is seeing and hearing from those around the state given our many micro-climates.

Cams posts as well as others help to drive the talks and i for one hope they don't stop. I actually tune into this thread at least once a day and it is more right than many forecasts.

Moving on, for comparison this was the front of my house on this day in 2014.

[KH02]

I lurk, more then post on the weather thread, however, I use this thread a lot. It is very accurate in comparison to actual news websites. Very helpful. Thanks Cam!

[mels]

Thanks to ALL OF YOU for making this thread the main reason I come to this website!

So what's up for Thursday? NBC CT is calling for "plowable snow" after a ridiculously warm Wednesday. Finally, an active week in weather!

[Cambium]

Nice to see everyones support. Appreciate that. You guys should see some other weather threads like Minnesota (which I thought would be active). There's barely any posts there all year.


Anyway -------- Changes happened. Now we're looking at snow for Thursday??




Euro and GFS have the snow Thursday for big cities.
Canadian doesn't have anything for anyone.
NAM has the coastal storm but rain-snow line further north


Here is what Euro says for snow totals. 6-8" for Groton and into Rhode Island and Eastern MA.
1-5" most of CT.


Euro says starts Wednesday night and done by Thursday evening. Still got time for details.

[RunD1987]

Can't believe the change in weather in the last 2 hour's. Calling for snow from 4am to Noon Thursday!!!

Freezing rain for tomorrow...I plan to be driving 1130pm Monday to 1230am Tuesday. Then going to be out around 11am Tuesday. Any idea when this storm is coming in and what is it looking like for when the storm ends tomorrow?

[wetnewspaper]

Thursday is getting interesting...southern CT would need at least around 6 in to keep pace with seasonal averages.

PS: I love this forum!!!

As for amounts - there are members of the GEFS with over an inch of
liquid. believe that is over a 30% potential for 6" plus. Thus,
we`ll start an "outlook" for this system. POPs were raised to likely
along the coast, but expect POPs to rise as uncertainty diminishes
over the next few days.

[Cambium]

I swear I wasnt trying to jinx things.

NWS NY uses the word dramatic because we're going from near record highs Wednesday to plowable snow Thursday. Amounts not mentioned, still too early. Everything is way out in the Pacific still

National Weather Service New York NY
707 AM EST Mon Feb 6 2017

Low pressure passing off the
coast may bring a plowable snowfall from late Wednesday night
into Thursday.

Winter makes a potentially dramatic comeback on Thursday following a
very mild Wednesday.

FCST max temps, mid to upper 50s, are within a few
degrees of records.

The system of interest is late Wednesday night into Thursday. Have
focused on ECMWF and GFS/GEFS for the forecast. The dynamics of
interest is energy still out in the Pacific where pattern is rather
chaotic with a Rex Block currently over Alaska. This energy
undercuts the Block and rapidly tracks east. The other energy is in
the north stream shortwave and is coming down the eastern side of
the Rex Block from around 80 degrees north.

The NWP is rather impressive with the rapid, but progressive
cyclogenesis. GEFS members support categorical POPs. (Note, am
discounting the NAM and CMC operational runs as do not believe
they`re fully capturing the energy.) The jet structure seen is also
impressive (though not exactly textbook). A coupled Jet with
130+ KT maxes is noted over the northeast in the predawn hours.

The other issues are boundary layer temps and timing. Temps appear
such that they should support mainly snow or rain changing to snow
along the coast. Timing, which is focused on Thursday morning, could
be 6 hours faster or slower as seen in the GEFS.

As for amounts - there are members of the GEFS with over an inch of
liquid. believe that is over a 30% potential for 6" plus. Thus,
we`ll start an "outlook" for this system. POPs were raised to likely
along the coast, but expect POPs to rise as uncertainty diminishes
over the next few days

[beer belly]

Originally Posted by Cambium

I swear I wasnt trying to jinx things.

NWS NY uses the word dramatic because we're going from near record highs Wednesday to plowable snow Thursday. Amounts not mentioned, still too early. Everything is way out in the Pacific still

Would love to see 6+ inches.....finally, a real use for the Snowblower