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Old 02-17-2011, 11:05 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,042 posts, read 57,425,808 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wavehunter007 View Post


Can you say bye, bye snow cover!!!
Good, we can start fresh again. I agree Its only February and we should be excited about a 2 day warmup.. Good point.
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Old 02-17-2011, 11:12 AM
 
Location: USA East Coast
4,445 posts, read 9,102,508 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Good, we can start fresh again. I agree Its only February and we should be excited about a 2 day warmup.. Good point.
...and you will start fresh - around December 18th, 2011.

...yes, the warm up is nice, gets the ground nice and clear for the building solar angle to warm everything in March and April. The buds are already showing.

I wonder when the first 70 F day will be in the Tri-State area?
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Old 02-17-2011, 11:18 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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This is why I wanted to wait to post..I didnt want to ruin your warm parade... Looks like beginning of March is going to get fridgid "based on latest data" (see orange highlight).. If this verifys single digits all around the tri-state.

Also note the winds next week and also this weekend should get very windy.


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Old 02-17-2011, 11:22 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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February 18, 2003. Presidents Day Blizzard.

North American blizzard of 2003 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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Old 02-17-2011, 11:41 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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This link is a reminder to keep those who use "averages" in check... Winter isn't over until end of March. Plusd these are fun facts we can all enjoy about this beautiful state we live in.

DEP: Connecticut's Weather Fun Facts

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Old 02-17-2011, 11:43 AM
 
Location: North Western NJ
6,591 posts, read 22,290,756 times
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all i know for certain is its absolutly lovely out today and my garden is slowly turning into a muddy mess...a good sign that spring will be here soon...i know spring is comming when my white dogs come in brown :P
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Old 02-17-2011, 11:44 AM
 
754 posts, read 874,663 times
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cambium, what was all the hype about some big snow storm around march 1st? has that changed now?
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Old 02-17-2011, 12:35 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mixum View Post
cambium, what was all the hype about some big snow storm around march 1st? has that changed now?
That was posted Feb 15th..Here's one of the posts regarding it: See below for comment:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Well...after looking at some different senarios for the March 1st storm, let me present you with the most extreme, worst case for now...Keep in mind we're so far away from this storm that things will change so many times...

But here's something I found which caught my eye on the March 1st storm... The run from last nights 0z.

#1. I was right about it being big.
#2. This particular run shows snowstorm for us. At 1 inch qpf thats 10-14"

But again...dont worry, its 14 days away...I'll let you enjoy this quiet week for now..

That blue line is the 0degree line. Some say the rain/snow line but there's other factors to consider also. 984mb Low is pretty strong. Blues indicate 1"+ moisture
Be careful how you use "hype"...Hype is considered when there is no backup to prove a statement.

At 15 days in advance you have to almost ALWAYS know models will change senarios. Remember my rule...That far out we just need to see if something is there, its not about track, precip, exact date or amount.

With that said...It was there last week.. It now shows something for the 27th-28th over the last few runs but precip is extremely light .25" qpf..and shows rain....But shows heavy rains for mid-atlantic area...

One storm at a time...Its getting active again...

Last edited by Cambium; 02-17-2011 at 01:16 PM..
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Old 02-17-2011, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,042 posts, read 57,425,808 times
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One last thing about Tuesdays storm for today...I'm waiting for the rest of the 12z and 18z models to come out then I'll state my opinion...Put it this way...based on trends most of you will be happy.

Looks so similar to what happened in February last year. I was working in Mamaroneck it was flurrying...drove to into CT and there was nothing... that same storm we got nothing but a few miles "south" of us got a snowstorm.

edit: warm returns after Tuesdays storm, then cold, then warm....then fridgid, then warm....sounds like something I said 3 weeks ago.

Last edited by Cambium; 02-17-2011 at 01:13 PM..
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Old 02-17-2011, 01:24 PM
 
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
308 posts, read 608,198 times
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Old Man Winter will brush this little warm spell off and be back for an encore performance much to the chagrin of the heat misers. I'd be willing to make a wager that we will see snow again between now and the end of March. I'm hearing that its very possible that this could be a long winter extending into April. April snow! How sweet that would be.
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