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Old 09-21-2010, 05:17 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,227 posts, read 57,633,503 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowerdeck View Post
The thing is already at a pretty northerly latitude anyway, and moving to the northwest rather than the west.

It will probably become a TD and eventually TS shortly, but I sense a track of the storm similar to Julia.
Which are you talking about here?? I'm not talking about the 12th Tropical Storm of the Season Lisa...I'm talking about a Storm that hasn't even developed yet in the Carribean.
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Old 09-21-2010, 07:57 PM
 
Location: Quiet Corner Connecticut
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I was talking about Lisa

But now NHC is looking at one in the Caribbean, about 10-15 N 65-70 W
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Old 09-22-2010, 04:50 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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I'm just amazed that models/techmology/something is able to predict a weather occurance 2 weeks into the future....thats simply amazing giving all the variables that have to fall in place....but how can anyone or anything know where a storm will be if it's not even in existance yet?
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Old 09-22-2010, 05:08 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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This particular model giving us at least 5-6 inches of rain on this day...

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Old 09-22-2010, 05:14 PM
 
Location: Quiet Corner Connecticut
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Most of it to me seems a big guessing game beyond five days out. Confidence decreases as the time further goes into the future.

Except for that one guy in the Hudson Valley who claims to predict with 90% accuracy weather forecasts in the NYC area based on solar and lunar patterns and surface conditions of previous solar/lunar patterns happening. Was a pretty interesting presentation at the last Tri-State Wx Conference.
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Old 09-22-2010, 08:28 PM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
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INsane storm came through at 8:30. Lightning and thunder was so intense but hearing the wind push through at Tropical Storm force was even more insane. Rainfall rates reached over 3" an hour but it only rained for 10 minutes. Streets are a mess.
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Old 09-22-2010, 09:06 PM
 
Location: Connecticut
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Where did you get the storm? Here outside of Hartford we did not get anything. Jay
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Old 09-22-2010, 09:10 PM
 
Location: The South
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JayCT View Post
Where did you get the storm? Here outside of Hartford we did not get anything. Jay
I just got in and most of downtown New Haven is without power. Apparently we got hit pretty hard in Branford too, though the power here is still on. Lots of leaves and branches on the roads.
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Old 09-23-2010, 04:44 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JayCT View Post
Where did you get the storm? Here outside of Hartford we did not get anything. Jay
Most of it missed us, too. It split as it got to us and went just to the north of us, and just to the south. I could hear it in the distance, it sounded pretty intense. We only got a few claps of thunder and five minutes of light rain.
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Old 09-23-2010, 05:18 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
74,227 posts, read 57,633,503 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JayCT View Post
Where did you get the storm? Here outside of Hartford we did not get anything. Jay
It was quick (10 minutes) but unreal...The line of Stamford, Norwalk, New Canaan, Westort and on got slammed...Winds weren't higher than 50mph but to have a gust come through with rainfall rates higher than 3 inches an hour and intense lightning and extremely loud thunder in such a short period of time made it INTENSE. I didn't have time to get a video going.

And keep in mind the winds in the March wind storm that knocked down all those trees state wide were gusting 35-60.

I wonder if the gust we had last night made some trees weak and ready to topple over with the next high wind we get.
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