[Cambium]

Does anyone know if April makes 13 straight months in a row with above normal mean temps?

If so I might start worrying about winter for 1 reason, for us to get back to a long term average we have to have below normal months, but I dont see us having 12 months of below normal so does that mean we have 2 months of extremely well below normal?

Unless our normals just keep going up. Then we wont need those below normal months anymore as the norms will adjust upwards.

[nei]

Averages are averages. There's nothing physical that says a couple year time span must return to the average. Nor is one year connected to the previous.

For Bridgeport, the last below normal month was February 2011. But the stretch of well above average was really Sep 2011-Apr 2012 with the exception of October. April and September were a little less extreme.

[7 Wishes]

Central Park just missed the "top 10", finishing at 54.8-deg for April (55.1 would've put it in the top 10). Bridgeport finished April at 52.9; record is 56.7 in 1954 so don't know it's "top 10" status. But as Cambium pointed out last week, many New England stations are still in the Top 10 for April.

Interesting side stat, yesterday was the 9th straight day of below normal temps in Central Park, it will likely get "broken" today and definitely will by Friday.

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Interesting side stat, yesterday was the 9th straight day of below normal temps in Central Park, it will likely get "broken" today and definitely will by Friday.

Hartford had 9 in a row below normal minumum temps. 6 in a row below normal max temps.

Originally Posted by 7 Wishes

Central Park just missed the "top 10", finishing at 54.8-deg for April (55.1 would've put it in the top 10).

Goes to show how cold its been just in the past 7-9 days that it got kicked out of the Top 10 in one week.

If NAO continues to stay Negative (which I believe it will) May will be below normal. (more 60s then 70s)

[andthentherewere3]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Goes to show how cold its been just in the past 7-9 days that it got kicked out of the Top 10 in one week.

I froze all week long, I miss the warmer temps.

[7 Wishes]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Hartford had 9 in a row below normal minumum temps. 6 in a row below normal max temps.



Goes to show how cold its been just in the past 7-9 days that it got kicked out of the Top 10 in one week.

If NAO continues to stay Negative (which I believe it will) May will be below normal. (more 60s then 70s)

Short term looks that way, most "10 day" forecasts I see only show the brief Thursday-Saturday period (peaking at 80-deg on Friday) as being "above normal". Today looks like the only day approaching 70 in the span (and that's mainly if it clears up in the afternoon).

Originally Posted by andthentherewere3

I froze all week long, I miss the warmer temps.

You sound a bit like my wife, except that when the warmer temps come, then she complains she's "burning up" and misses being cold......

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Does anyone know if April makes 13 straight months in a row with above normal mean temps?

If so I might start worrying about winter for 1 reason, for us to get back to a long term average we have to have below normal months, but I dont see us having 12 months of below normal so does that mean we have 2 months of extremely well below normal?

Unless our normals just keep going up. Then we wont need those below normal months anymore as the norms will adjust upwards.

If you look at the science of it….It doesn’t really work that way;

The standard deviation for monthly mean temps (both + or -) is much higher in the cool season (November through April) than in the hot season (May through October). In other words the cool months are much more variable than the hot months. We have a much better chance of seeing a much above normal/below normal Dec or Jan (like this year)…then we have of seeing a huge anomaly in monthly mean temps in May, June, Aug…etc. Summer weather is much less variable, as storm tracks/fronts/jets…etc have retreated northward...the is no longer any source region for cold air masses...diurnal control of daily temps become much stronger...and solar control basically dominates.

By the end of this week…we’ll be feeling the first really high dew points and humidity as tropical air is carried toward the East Coast. I don’t know what this summer holds…but I would count on the typical long hot and humid East Coast summer.

[wavehunter007]

Originally Posted by andthentherewere3

I froze all week long, I miss the warmer temps.

I wouldn't worry much about it...the lows we felt last week were highly abnormal (for the time of year). I doubt you'll see lows much below 50 F again until early November (and the averages keep rising everyday).

After the showers pull through today (we may even see the sun late day today), Wed should see sunny skies and highs 65 – 70 F. The coming weekend looks nice as well, sunny and highs into the 70’s. Lows will be 48 - 54 F.

[Cambium]

Where's Granitestater been? His home state is seeing some frozen precip this morning. (Mt. Washington Summit still has 7 degree wind chill)

//www.city-data.com/forum/24107520-post958.html

[GraniteStater]

^
.68'' precipitation here in Merrimack County, NH with a current temperature of 42F.

A light freeze occurred two nights ago with a low of 27F.


I don't see any more frost/freeze setups for May unless I am missing something.