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Old 03-23-2016, 11:34 PM
 
Location: Cookeville/Crossville
320 posts, read 540,372 times
Reputation: 272

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These figures were just released tonight. I know these are just estimates, but it's interesting to see how our region is growing.

COUNTY 2015 EST. POP. NUMERIC CHANGE '14-'15 % CHANGE '14-'15

Cannon 13,840 122 0.89
Clay 7,771 31 0.40
Cumberland 58,229 314 0.54
DeKalb 19,182 (-29) (-0.15)
Fentress 17,917 55 0.31
Jackson 11,509 31 0.27
Macon 23,177 165 0.72
Overton 22,129 148 0.67
Pickett 5,146 62 1.22
Putnam 74,553 86 0.12
Smith 19,295 255 1.34
Van Buren 5,677 66 1.18
Warren 40,435 397 0.99
White 26,521 171 0.65

****EDIT****: I incorrectly expected the above spacing and formatting to remain the same. Sorry it's all squished together


Immediate, late-night thoughts:

I really expected the bread and butter of the region, Putnam and Cumberland counties, to show more substantial growth. Since 2010, Cumberland County has been gaining around 500 residents/year. Putnam has been adding about 600/year since 2012. To see each county gain significantly less than this, is shocking considering all the growth we've experienced lately in manufacturing and retail. Perhaps that growth will instead be reflected in the 2016 estimates.

Smaller counties like Pickett and Van Buren posting growth rates over 1% is not surprising to me because they have such small populations. One percent growth for much larger Putnam County would be equivalent to adding 745 people or 14% of the entire population of Picket County.

Warren County appears to have crossed the 40,000 threshold for the first time.

Last edited by llsmith42; 03-24-2016 at 12:51 AM..
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Old 03-24-2016, 06:03 AM
 
13,350 posts, read 39,938,649 times
Reputation: 10789
Quote:
Originally Posted by llsmith42 View Post
These figures were just released tonight. I know these are just estimates, but it's interesting to see how our region is growing.

COUNTY 2015 EST. POP. NUMERIC CHANGE '14-'15 % CHANGE '14-'15

Cannon 13,840 122 0.89
Clay 7,771 31 0.40
Cumberland 58,229 314 0.54
DeKalb 19,182 (-29) (-0.15)
Fentress 17,917 55 0.31
Jackson 11,509 31 0.27
Macon 23,177 165 0.72
Overton 22,129 148 0.67
Pickett 5,146 62 1.22
Putnam 74,553 86 0.12
Smith 19,295 255 1.34
Van Buren 5,677 66 1.18
Warren 40,435 397 0.99
White 26,521 171 0.65

****EDIT****: I incorrectly expected the above spacing and formatting to remain the same. Sorry it's all squished together


Immediate, late-night thoughts:

I really expected the bread and butter of the region, Putnam and Cumberland counties, to show more substantial growth. Since 2010, Cumberland County has been gaining around 500 residents/year. Putnam has been adding about 600/year since 2012. To see each county gain significantly less than this, is shocking considering all the growth we've experienced lately in manufacturing and retail. Perhaps that growth will instead be reflected in the 2016 estimates.

Smaller counties like Pickett and Van Buren posting growth rates over 1% is not surprising to me because they have such small populations. One percent growth for much larger Putnam County would be equivalent to adding 745 people or 14% of the entire population of Picket County.

Warren County appears to have crossed the 40,000 threshold for the first time.
Yeah I don't believe those Putnam County numbers for a minute. They say Putnam County added only 86 new residents in 2015, yet just in the city of Cookeville alone there were 113 new homes built and, judging from the number of "sold" signs, they're pretty much all occupied. I can't find the 2015 figures for Putnam County but in 2014 there were 424 new homes built in Putnam County which means that in 2015 there would've had to have been about 0 new homes built in the rest of the county. There's no way that it dropped off that much from 2014 to 2015. In addition, there were a couple hundred more students in Putnam County's schools in 2015 over 2014.

This isn't the first time the Census has shortchanged Putnam County. I think it was just prior to the 1980 census when the estimates were showing just modest gains from the 1970 census, and county officials kept saying "Just you wait," and they were right. The 1980 census showed a gain of 12,000 from the 1970 census, while the previous year's estimates showed a gain of only 5,000 or so. So the Census Bureau has made mistakes in the past, and this 2015 estimate sure looks like another one.
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Old 03-24-2016, 07:00 AM
 
666 posts, read 761,870 times
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What is the source of the data?
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Old 03-25-2016, 09:49 AM
 
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Don't forget that an estimated 1.5% of the residents died during the past year. This would be about 1,100 residents. Were there enough births to make up for that loss? Many of the births in the local hospital may have been to women who were residents of nearby counties other than Putnam County.
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Old 03-25-2016, 10:42 AM
 
13,350 posts, read 39,938,649 times
Reputation: 10789
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chas863 View Post
Don't forget that an estimated 1.5% of the residents died during the past year. This would be about 1,100 residents. Were there enough births to make up for that loss? Many of the births in the local hospital may have been to women who were residents of nearby counties other than Putnam County.
But that happens every year. I suspect part of the reason for Putnam County's lower number is because TTU's enrollment went down by a couple hundred students, similar to other state universities. Still, when you look at the number of new homes built in Putnam County, the enrollment increase in the public schools, and even the huge increase in retail sales, the numbers just don't jive with the Census bureau's numbers.
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IMPORTANT READING:
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---
its - possession
it's - contraction of it is
your - possession
you're - contraction of you are
their - possession
they're - contraction of they are
there - referring to a place
loose - opposite of tight
lose - opposite of win
who's - contraction of who is
whose - possession
alot - NOT A WORD
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Old 04-15-2016, 10:57 PM
 
13,350 posts, read 39,938,649 times
Reputation: 10789
Quote:
Originally Posted by llsmith42 View Post
These figures were just released tonight. I know these are just estimates, but it's interesting to see how our region is growing.

COUNTY 2015 EST. POP. NUMERIC CHANGE '14-'15 % CHANGE '14-'15

Cannon 13,840 122 0.89
Clay 7,771 31 0.40
Cumberland 58,229 314 0.54
DeKalb 19,182 (-29) (-0.15)
Fentress 17,917 55 0.31
Jackson 11,509 31 0.27
Macon 23,177 165 0.72
Overton 22,129 148 0.67
Pickett 5,146 62 1.22
Putnam 74,553 86 0.12
Smith 19,295 255 1.34
Van Buren 5,677 66 1.18
Warren 40,435 397 0.99
White 26,521 171 0.65

****EDIT****: I incorrectly expected the above spacing and formatting to remain the same. Sorry it's all squished together


Immediate, late-night thoughts:

I really expected the bread and butter of the region, Putnam and Cumberland counties, to show more substantial growth. Since 2010, Cumberland County has been gaining around 500 residents/year. Putnam has been adding about 600/year since 2012. To see each county gain significantly less than this, is shocking considering all the growth we've experienced lately in manufacturing and retail. Perhaps that growth will instead be reflected in the 2016 estimates.

Smaller counties like Pickett and Van Buren posting growth rates over 1% is not surprising to me because they have such small populations. One percent growth for much larger Putnam County would be equivalent to adding 745 people or 14% of the entire population of Picket County.

Warren County appears to have crossed the 40,000 threshold for the first time.
OK I'm at the Census web site, and the figures it shows for Putnam County aren't the same as posted above.

Census.gov
"Click a state to begin" (Tennessee)
"Enter state, county, city, town, or zip code" (Putnam County)

According to the Census, the 2014 population of Putnam County was 74,165, and the 2015 population of Putnam County was 74,553, for a gain of 388. While still not as fast as a few years ago, it's still relatively healthy even though I still think it's too low. There were 424 new homes built in Putnam County in 2014, and while 2015 figures aren't out yet it certainly seemed like there were even more built in 2015 than in 2014. Warren County's numbers don't make sense, either. How could the county grow by 400 when there were only 52 homes built?

I'm attaching a screen shot of the web page that shows the Putnam County population estimates.
Attached Thumbnails
2015 Population Estimates of the Upper-Cumberland Region-capture.png  
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IMPORTANT READING:
Terms of Service

---
its - possession
it's - contraction of it is
your - possession
you're - contraction of you are
their - possession
they're - contraction of they are
there - referring to a place
loose - opposite of tight
lose - opposite of win
who's - contraction of who is
whose - possession
alot - NOT A WORD

Last edited by JMT; 04-15-2016 at 11:23 PM..
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Old 05-19-2016, 03:13 PM
 
Location: Cookeville/Crossville
320 posts, read 540,372 times
Reputation: 272
Since the new estimates have been released, here's the latest estimates for a few of the Upper Cumberland cities.

Population as of July 1, 2015, one year change, 5 year change.

Carthage: 2,278 (+14) (-28)
Cookeville: 32,113 (+43) (+1,678)
Crossville: 11,411 (+65) (+616)
Gainesboro: 955 (+1) (-7)
Jamestown: 1,947 (+7) (-12)
Lafayette: 4,991 (+26) (+517)
Livingston: 4,071 (+26) (+13)
McMinnville: 13,759 (+118) (+154)
Smithville: 4,640 (-9) (+110)
Sparta: 5,096 (+12) (+171)

Overall, there's a trend of growth. It seems that population growth within the city limits of both Cookeville and Crossville is progressing more slowly than population growth outside the city limits of their respective counties.

However, I expect to see a big increase in the estimates for Cookeville next year.
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Old 05-19-2016, 06:18 PM
 
13,350 posts, read 39,938,649 times
Reputation: 10789
Quote:
Originally Posted by llsmith42 View Post
Since the new estimates have been released, here's the latest estimates for a few of the Upper Cumberland cities.

Population as of July 1, 2015, one year change, 5 year change.

Carthage: 2,278 (+14) (-28)
Cookeville: 32,113 (+43) (+1,678)
Crossville: 11,411 (+65) (+616)
Gainesboro: 955 (+1) (-7)
Jamestown: 1,947 (+7) (-12)
Lafayette: 4,991 (+26) (+517)
Livingston: 4,071 (+26) (+13)
McMinnville: 13,759 (+118) (+154)
Smithville: 4,640 (-9) (+110)
Sparta: 5,096 (+12) (+171)

Overall, there's a trend of growth. It seems that population growth within the city limits of both Cookeville and Crossville is progressing more slowly than population growth outside the city limits of their respective counties.

However, I expect to see a big increase in the estimates for Cookeville next year.
Algood had the largest one-year growth in the region, growing by 123 people from 2014-15. And I agree, the estimates for Cookeville will show much larger increases for next year. For the Census to say that Cookeville grew by only 43 is absurd. Are all the apartments, townhouses, and single family homes that were built just sitting empty?
__________________


IMPORTANT READING:
Terms of Service

---
its - possession
it's - contraction of it is
your - possession
you're - contraction of you are
their - possession
they're - contraction of they are
there - referring to a place
loose - opposite of tight
lose - opposite of win
who's - contraction of who is
whose - possession
alot - NOT A WORD
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