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High tides, PA to PINS, up the beach road. Forecast is for 4-5' seas with. 20 kts wind which will muddy everything up real good and drive water to the dunes.
Rain is projected through Saturday. Forget the beach, if you notice a door or two sticking in the house, keep calm and get wasted.
So you are not unprepared for the sense of dread you will feel when the Harbormaster's office phones, if it's open, late one night concerning moorings and questions like " you're not walking into this storm naked - Captian Shot-Caller are you? That query is a meditation on that limit called > $ and zeros < as they multiply exponentially, when there really isn't a lot of strategy involved. Followed up by the next dreaded call announcing the Aransas County Navigation District (ACND) Policy and Procedures Manual HURRICANE PLAN is kicking in
Sailing Center
Alert all assigned personnel
Notify all boat storage occupants to remove or secure boats and loose gear.
Photographically document material condition of center and boats in storage.
Secure all loose gear, store Sailing Center boats inside or secure outside.
Review responsibilities under Hurricane Condition 2.
Sailing Center
Turn off all electrical power.
Secure all outside equipment.
Lock gates on property.
Advise OM that Sailing Center is secured and closed.
Heading in, look for the tallest microwave tower from marker 49!
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It’s that time of year again.
Officially the Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t end until Nov. 30.
But here in Texas we have something I call the SciGuy Date, which is today.
Since the 1850s, after Sept. 24, there have been just three direct landfalls by hurricanes
in the state of Texas.
That’s once every 50 years. Here are the three strikes, courtesy of data from NOAA’s excellent
historical hurricane tracks site:
The summaries below are from the National Hurricane Center. The storms listed are the major hurricanes, with winds above 111 mph, to hit Texas beginning with the 1900 Galveston Hurricane.
1900: Known as "the Galveston Hurricane," the deadliest hurricane disaster in U.S. history occurred on September 8. More than 8,000 people died when hurricane storm tides (the surge plus the astronomical tide) of 8-15 feet inundated the entire island city of Galveston, Texas. More than half of all the homes and buildings were destroyed. Property damage is estimated at $700 million in 1990 dollars.
July 20, 1909 a hurricane passed directly over Velasco, Texas, There, the calm center lasted 45 minutes, and was followed by devastating winds on the other side which destroyed one-half of the town.
In August, 1909, a very violent hurricane raked Haiti, caused high winds and rains in Cuba, and entered the Yucatan Channel on August 25. As the storm approached the Mexican coast it caused gales and tremendous seas along the Texas coast. It went to Northeastern Mexico causing an enormous loss of life and property. Unofficial estimates placed the Mexican death toll at 1,500 as a result of floods and mud slides.
1915: On August 16, a very large and violent storm hit Galveston. Despite the 10-foot-high seawall built after the 1900 hurricane, storm tides 12 feet above normal flooded the business district to a depth of six feet. 275 people lost their lives from a combination of high water and strong winds.
1919 a hurricane hit Corpus Christi. This unnamed storm was fourth most intense and deadly storm of the 20th century. It passed near Key West, Florida,
on September 9-10. The slow-moving storm reached an intensity of 27.37 inches (927 mb) in the vicinity of the Dry Tortugas -- Florida islands 65 miles west of Key West. Ten vessels were lost at sea accounting for more than 500 of the 800-900 deaths. The hurricane continued slowly westward and on September 14, the center went inland south of Corpus Christi. There, tides rose 16 feet above normal and another 287 lives were lost.
The July 25-29, 1943 hurricane that hit the Houston area was only a Category 1 storm, but it caused major disruptions of war production. World War II censorship of weather information increased the death toll. This storm is also famous as the storm that Col. Joseph Duckworth and Lt. Ralph O'Hair flew into in an AT-6, single-engine training airplane to become the first people to fly into a hurricane's eye.
Hurricane Audrey, June 27. 1957: Hurricane Audrey made landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border on June 27th with devastating effects. Its central pressure deepened considerably in the last five hours before landfall. There were 390 deaths as the result of a storm surge in excess of 12 feet, which inundated the flat coast of Louisiana as far as 25 miles inland in some places. Damages were estimated at about $700 million (in 1990 dollars).
Hurricane Carla, September 10. 1961: Carla was the largest and most intense Gulf Coast hurricane in decades. On September 8, Carla's center took aim at the Texas coast. By the 9th, Carla's circulation enveloped the entire Gulf of Mexico with fringe effects along all Gulf Coast states. On the 9th, the largest mass evacuation to that date occurred, as an estimated one-half million residents of low coastal areas and islands off Texas and Louisiana were evacuated to higher ground. As the center approached Texas on the 10th, winds near the center were estimated at 150 mph. Reconnaissance aircraft indicated a central pressure of 931 mb just prior to its striking the coast. Only 46 lost their lives because of early warnings. Severe damage along a wide expanse of the Texas coast was caused by unusually prolonged winds, high tides and flooding from torrential rains. Damage was about $2 billion in 1990 dollars.
Beulah in 1967 developed off the African coast and became a hurricane in the eastern Caribbean Sea on the 8th. From September 10th to 13th it weakened greatly and was downgraded to a tropical storm. However, on the 14th, it regained hurricane status again, turned toward the northwest and headed for the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. It made landfall at Cozumel on the 16th, and entered the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on the 17th. On the l9th, it intensified, and reconnaissance aircraft recorded a central pressure of 920 mb or 27.17 inches. It continued moving northwest and made landfall between Brownsville, TX and the mouth of the Rio Grande about daybreak on September 20. A ship at anchor in Port Brownsville reported winds of 136 mph. Beulah's strength was seen in the impact the storm's surge had along Padre Island, Texas. A total of 31 cuts were observed through the island in the portion extending south from a point 30 miles south of Corpus Christi, Texas. A cut is a new channel through a barrier island. The storm surge was found to have reached a height of at least 18 feet. Torrential rains fell in southern Texas, with amounts ranging from 10 to 20 inches. Beulah also spawned an unsurpassed number of tornadoes, but most were small and occurred in rural areas. The death toll from Beulah reached 15 in Texas -- 5 from tornadoes and 10 from flooding. Damage is estimated at about $900 million in 1990 dollars.
Hurricane Celia, Auqust 3, 1970: Hurricane Celia was one of the most destructive storms to ever hit Texas, with damages estimated at $1.6 billion (in 1990 dollars). Celia became a hurricane on August 1 in the Gulf of Mexlco and intensified rapidly in 15 hours before it crossed the coast north of Corpus Christi. As it moved over land, spectacular damage occurred from a "cluster of high energy winds of short duration," (also called downbursts or microbursts). The extreme winds raked across the residential and business areas in less than half an hour. It was estimated that winds reached as high as 160 mph for several seconds. During those disastrous seconds, incredible damage occurred at the airport and an adjacent mobile home park which was completely demolished. Fortunately, only 11 died in the Corpus Christi area due to the state of preparedness by its disaster prevention agencies.
Hurricane Allen. Auqust 9-10. 1980: When it was over the open waters of the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Allen was one of the most intense hurricanes ever. Allen reached Category 5 status three times. It obtained a 911 mb (26.89 inches) central pressure in the eastern Caribbean on August 5 while south of Puerto Rico. After weakening near Haiti and Jamaica, Allen again strengthened and a minimum pressure of 899 mb (26.55 inches) was recorded by a NOAA aircraft on the 7th when it was off the Yucatan Peninsula. Only Hurricane Gilbert with the all time low pressure reading of 888 mb in 1988, and the infamous Labor Day hurricane of 1935 with a central pressure of 892 mb were lower than Allen's 899 mb central pressure. Allen lost strength again near the Yucatan Peninsula but regained it over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico with a central pressure of 909 mb (26.84 inches) on 9th. The center of Allen did not cross any land until it moved inland north of Brownsville, on the 9th. Just off the Texas coast, Allen hesitated long enough to weaken to 945 mb (27.91 inches), and then moved inland north of Brownsville bringing highest tides and winds over the least populated section of the Texas coast. Only two deaths were directly attributed to Allen. The strongest measured winds were gusts to 129 mph at Port Mansfield, Texas. A storm surge up to 12 feet along Padre Island caused numerous barrier island cuts and washouts.
Hurricane Alicia, August 18, 1983: Alicia was the first hurricane to strike the Continental USA since Allen in 1980. It was the longest period in this century that the U.S. mainland had gone without a hurricane landfall (though tropical storms did hit within that time). Alicia was a small- to medium-size hurricane. It reached a minimal Category 3 status as it hit land. The center of Alicia moved over the Texas coast about 25 miles southwest of Galveston on August 18. Aircraft observations indicated that only a 60 mile section of the coast, extending northeastward from Freeport, Texas, experienced hurricane force winds. Despite its small size, Alicia caused over $2.4 billion in damage (in 1990 dollars).
Hurricane Gilbert, September 16, 1988: Although Gilbert, one of the most powerful hurricanes of the century, did not strike the U.S. Gulf coast, it did affect Texas and Oklahoma. It is often compared to 1969's Hurricane Camille,( Aug. 17, 1969, Hurricane Camille) because like Camille, it was also a Category 5 storm. Hurricane Gilbert was also a monumental storm, because it had the lowest sea level pressure ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere at 888 mb (26.23 inches). The highest sustained winds recorded were in Jamaica at 116 mph, with gusts to 140 mph. An unofficial report recorded slightly higher readings. Gilbert's track took it through Jamaica, over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, through the southwest Gulf of Mexico and made final landfall as a Category 3 hurricane on the northeast Mexican coast on September 16th. Gilbert brought 5 to 10 inches of rain over coastal sections and more in mountainous areas. The weakening storm passed south of Monterrey, Mexico, bringing massive flooding to the area. The storm then tracked north into western Texas and Oklahoma as a heavy rain storm on the 18th. A total of 318 people were killed; 315 throughout Mexico, Central America, Jamaica, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic, and 3 in the U.S. Damages in Mexico were estimated between $1-2 billion (1990 dollars), and nearly $2 billion in Jamaica. The Mexican government reported that more than 60,000 homes were destroyed. The 3 U.S. deaths occurred in San Antonio, from tornadoes spawned from Gilbert's remnants. At least 29 tornadoes were observed across south Texas, and they caused between $40-50 million in damages. In the area of Brownsville, wind gusts from Gilbert of 67 mph to 83 mph were measured by an observer with a truck mounted anemometer, before the storm made landfall in Mexico.
In 1999, Hurricane Bret formed in the Bay of Campeche on August 18, moving slowly northward across the western Gulf of Mexico and strengthening to a 140 mph hurricane on the 22nd, while approaching the south Texas coast some 70 miles east of Brownsville. Bret made landfall on the 23rd on Padre Island with 115 mph winds. Bret's strong winds were confined to a small area and only affected a sparsely populated region. Bret caused about $60 million in damage, but no deaths. It was the first hurricane to affect south Texas since Hurricane Allen in 1980.
I noted they did not list Hurricane Ike. The boat trailer parking lot at Dennis Dreyer Municipal Marina was virtually empty over the weekend of Sept. 13-14. September 2008.
So to your point, you're absolutely right and paying for it on a slip lease contract plus the associated items, tax and stress.
We were planing on leaving today for Port Mansfield to hit the weed-line off-shore but Invest 98L altered those plans. Rules and strictures have changed big time. You can no longer launch a hard hull from the beach on PINS.
Before Bret I noted some guy in an under-powered cabin cruiser headed towards the Victoria Barge Canal near my place looking for safe anchorage. I told him what that canal would look like in 24hrs. after it flooded Green Lake. He hauled out on my place with my trailer, came through fine. He worked at Formosa Plastics, Point Comfort which lost power before purging it's lines. . . heads rolled!
Thanks for the report. Thought about heading back to Corpus again for the long weekend, decided to go Big Bend instead.
Be careful, watch for that turn off to Hell!
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