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Old 01-31-2020, 07:59 AM
 
14,299 posts, read 11,673,706 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sassybluesy View Post
That might be because China had to deal with SARS, which was another Coronavirus. Although this one is spreading faster.


But still...some perspective...


The population of China is almost 1.4 BILLION people. Over 7000 people have gotten infected. 170 people have died.


So, 1.214%, out of 1.4 Billion people have died. Assuming everyone who's died were in China. 1.2% is pretty small.


I know it's going to be several more weeks before the virus plays it'self out...but it seems like the media is building it up to be a zombie appocolypse.
I can figure out what you are trying to say, but 170 people is not 1.214% of 1.4 billion. It's 0.000017%.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:00 AM
 
Location: 'greater' Buffalo, NY
5,456 posts, read 3,906,301 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Katarina Witt View Post
Not what the article says. I recommend you read it.
You were far too optimistic to post an article and expect/hope that people would read it before commenting. To be fair, I'm guilty of same as I make this comment.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:02 AM
 
Location: 'greater' Buffalo, NY
5,456 posts, read 3,906,301 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MissTerri View Post
Flu is active every single year worldwide? Why is this considered a “Current Event”?
Severity varies every year. From what I've read elsewhere, it's on the 'bad' side this year.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:05 AM
 
13,262 posts, read 8,014,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saibot View Post
I can figure out what you are trying to say, but 170 people is not 1.214% of 1.4 billion. It's 0.000017%.

I suck at math. LOL


OK, way way way less than 1%
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:31 AM
 
Location: Seattle WA, USA
5,699 posts, read 4,919,372 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
Right, but it's not the virus that kills people it's secondary illnesses like pneumonia and even kidney failure. It's entirely possible your average patient in a hospital in China would not receive care on par with western countries when they are in a critical state.



Actually they do have info on many of them, according to WHO 30% of the cases outside China with detailed info had symptoms inside China before leaving, and another 19% had symptoms on the day they traveled. Their infection curve goes all the way back to Dec 30, and jumps a lot higher in mid January.
And in the US we have millions of people who don’t have health insurance or are under insured living pay check to pay check who will be unable to pay for the care they need and will take their chances and not go to the hospital. And thousands of homeless people who live in unsanitary conditions.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:43 AM
 
Location: NJ
1,860 posts, read 1,243,999 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sassybluesy View Post
I suck at math. LOL


OK, way way way less than 1%
From my understanding they dont base mortality of a disease on total population. They base infection rates on population. Mortality is based on infection.

Only 9200 people infection in a population of 1.4 BILLION makes the infection rate relatively low. However, the mortality of the infection is 213 out of 9200 odd cases which is 2.5% mortality. And 2.5%ish in a disease that is spreading as rapidly as this one is a pretty scary percentage.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:43 AM
 
3,639 posts, read 1,596,085 times
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The virus originated from the wild animal markets in Wuhan:


Quote:
The deadly Chinese coronavirus outbreak began at a wholesale animal market in Wuhan city, experts have confirmed...

It is not clear which animal was carrying the pneumonia-like illness but the market was home to stalls trading dozens of different species, including rats and wolf cubs. [and snakes]

The Huanan market was a hotspot with locals, who could choose to buy their meat 'warm' meaning it had been slaughtered just moment prior.

Public health experts had previously warned that China's live animal markets were the perfect breeding ground for emerging infectious diseases.

https://www.msn.com/en-sg/news/world...OkE?li=BBr8Cnr
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:48 AM
 
6,806 posts, read 4,466,216 times
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Apparently many people in here won't mind getting the coronavirus because the chances of dying from it are low. And those of us who cringe at the idea... are "panicking".
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:50 AM
 
Location: Buffalo, NY
3,572 posts, read 3,069,600 times
Reputation: 9787
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sassybluesy View Post
That might be because China had to deal with SARS, which was another Coronavirus. Although this one is spreading faster.


But still...some perspective...


The population of China is almost 1.4 BILLION people. Over 7000 people have gotten infected. 170 people have died.


So, 1.214%, out of 1.4 Billion people have died. Assuming everyone who's died were in China. 1.2% is pretty small.


I know it's going to be several more weeks before the virus plays it'self out...but it seems like the media is building it up to be a zombie appocolypse.
The number of known cases and deaths have been increasing by 25-30% per day. That adds up fast.

Just 10 days ago it was 250 cases/13 deaths. Yesterday it was 9829 cases and 213 deaths. It has spread from one country to 22 countries. These are only the known and confirmed cases.

If this rate of increase continues, in another 10 days there will have been 100,000 cases and 2000 deaths. In a month it will be 15 million cases and 300,000 deaths.

By the end of March theoretically the entire world could be infected, and there could be 200 million deaths. With quarantines and the number of remote areas in the world it should not spread to that point, but just like in China the medical systems could be overwhelmed very quickly in the regions it affects, and death rates may increase due to lack of care.
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Old 01-31-2020, 08:55 AM
 
Location: Buffalo, NY
3,572 posts, read 3,069,600 times
Reputation: 9787
Quote:
Originally Posted by Javacoffee View Post
Apparently many people in here won't mind getting the coronavirus because the chances of dying from it are low. And those of us who cringe at the idea... are "panicking".
The presumed death rate (not sure how they know for sure) is about 2.5% - which makes it somewhere around 25 times more deadly than recent flu epidemics.
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