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Old 01-26-2012, 05:47 AM
 
Location: Dallas, TX
5,680 posts, read 11,513,635 times
Reputation: 1915

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Quote:
Originally Posted by xS☺Be View Post
Yeah I appreciate the fact I left my gloves, snowcap, and scarf in BOS. And I'm loving the weather right now. But I'm telling when they say 108, they mean in the shade. And we're talking 3 solid months of Hell. Weather here really isn't better than Boston. The allergy season can be brutal, and often there are two allergy season. And when Dallas is it's prettiest, that's when you can't go out.

There's just nothing nice about 155 degrees in your car and the air is full of soot because the whole F-in area is literally on fire.


I really can't imagine what last summer was like, but by all accounts it was NOT a typical one! Hopefully, this year is starting out to be different. Who knows? Maybe a warmer than usual winter (opposite of last year), then a cooler than usual summer this year??
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Old 01-26-2012, 09:03 AM
 
Location: Austin, TX
1,780 posts, read 4,014,875 times
Reputation: 929
Quote:
Originally Posted by UpstateBooster View Post
I really can't imagine what last summer was like, but by all accounts it was NOT a typical one! Hopefully, this year is starting out to be different. Who knows? Maybe a warmer than usual winter (opposite of last year), then a cooler than usual summer this year??
Exactly what I would prefer too! Winter highs the 50s-early 60s and summer highs in the 80s.
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Old 01-26-2012, 09:08 AM
 
Location: High Cotton
6,125 posts, read 7,460,693 times
Reputation: 3657
Local reservoirs are filling up! (http://wiid.twdb.state.tx.us/ims/resinfo/BushButton/lakeStatus.asp - broken link)

We broke an all-time Dallas record for the most rain in a 24 hour period yesterday (Wednesday, January 25th) and today we received another significant amount of rain. All of a sudden our water situation is looking pretty good. Some lakes are actually above (over-filled) the top of the conservation pool.
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Old 01-26-2012, 09:19 AM
 
Location: Dallas, TX
5,680 posts, read 11,513,635 times
Reputation: 1915
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
Local reservoirs are filling up! (http://wiid.twdb.state.tx.us/ims/resinfo/BushButton/lakeStatus.asp - broken link)

We broke an all-time Dallas record for the most rain in a 24 hour period yesterday (Wednesday, January 25th) and today we received another significant amount of rain. All of a sudden our water situation is looking pretty good. Some lakes are actually above (over-filled) the top of the conservation pool.
WOW! Great to hear!!
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Old 01-26-2012, 11:59 AM
 
Location: Dallas, TX
1,518 posts, read 3,048,681 times
Reputation: 916
Quote:
Originally Posted by UpstateBooster View Post
I really can't imagine what last summer was like, but by all accounts it was NOT a typical one! Hopefully, this year is starting out to be different. Who knows? Maybe a warmer than usual winter (opposite of last year), then a cooler than usual summer this year??
It would be nice if that happened but this winter being warm is a continuation of last summer being scorching. It just never cooled down to normal. Let's hope it does so before July.

Quote:
Originally Posted by asubram3 View Post
Exactly what I would prefer too! Winter highs the 50s-early 60s and summer highs in the 80s.
Summer highs in the 80s would be more of a freak occurrence than what happened last summer. Something more realistic to hope for would be July and August temperatures in the low to mid 90s.
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Old 01-26-2012, 10:02 PM
 
Location: Dallas
4,630 posts, read 10,450,111 times
Reputation: 3898
Quote:
Originally Posted by UpstateBooster View Post
I really can't imagine what last summer was like, but by all accounts it was NOT a typical one! Hopefully, this year is starting out to be different. Who knows? Maybe a warmer than usual winter (opposite of last year), then a cooler than usual summer this year??
God I hope so. Last summer was the hottest summer of most people's lives - including people who grew up here. If it was a fluke experience, great. IF Al Gore turns out to to be right - well maybe not so much ...
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Old 01-27-2012, 09:30 AM
 
Location: High Cotton
6,125 posts, read 7,460,693 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xS☺Be View Post
God I hope so. Last summer was the hottest summer of most people's lives - including people who grew up here. If it was a fluke experience, great. IF Al Gore turns out to to be right - well maybe not so much ...
Geez, last summer broke all sorts of records that were a zillion years old. Chances of us having a summer this year anything even close to last summer is like having a two 100-year-floods happen in back-to-back years instead of only once every 100 years.
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Old 01-27-2012, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Southlake. Don't judge me.
2,885 posts, read 4,634,220 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
Geez, last summer broke all sorts of records that were a zillion years old. Chances of us having a summer this year anything even close to last summer is like having a two 100-year-floods happen in back-to-back years instead of only once every 100 years.
Uh, not exactly. You're assuming something close to total random chance in weather from year to year. There very well may be some degree of correlation. Plus, if there has been a general warming trend overall, the true "average" may be changing, which means that the chances of another summer toward the upper end of the bound we're "used to" historically is higher than average.

Sometimes "hundred year floods" occur because of development and other changes upstream along the river, which means that what once was a "hundred year flood" may now only be a 50 year flood, or even a ten year flood.

Sorry, my stats and probability pedantry is coming out.
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Old 01-27-2012, 11:51 AM
 
Location: High Cotton
6,125 posts, read 7,460,693 times
Reputation: 3657
Quote:
Originally Posted by synchronicity View Post
Uh, not exactly. You're assuming something close to total random chance in weather from year to year. There very well may be some degree of correlation. Plus, if there has been a general warming trend overall, the true "average" may be changing, which means that the chances of another summer toward the upper end of the bound we're "used to" historically is higher than average.

Sometimes "hundred year floods" occur because of development and other changes upstream along the river, which means that what once was a "hundred year flood" may now only be a 50 year flood, or even a ten year flood.

Sorry, my stats and probability pedantry is coming out.
Your so-called stats and logic sounds like the equivalent of Al Gore's dense claims.
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Old 01-27-2012, 12:24 PM
 
Location: Southlake. Don't judge me.
2,885 posts, read 4,634,220 times
Reputation: 3776
Quote:
Originally Posted by highcotton View Post
Your so-called stats and logic sounds like the equivalent of Al Gore's dense claims.
Can we PLEASE leave the politics out of it? What I AM saying is that (as appears to be the case) Northern Texas has been generally trending warmer (which could be from any of a zillion reasons, be they from human activity or "natural" fluctuations, or sun gnomes turning the "heat" knob in the middle of the sun up to 11), then any fluctuations above/below the "normal" line will also drift higher as well.

Look, when the ice ages started to hit X thousand years ago, do you think people said "oh, don't worry, what are the chances of the ice coming even farther south, it's already WAY beyond normal!" Of course they didn't say that, because they didn't speak English back then!

But the concept remains. This is a separate issue from any political debate about why North Texas may generally be trending warmer. That doesn't mean this summer will even be warmer than "average", who the heck knows, just that the chances of it being so A) even in a perfectly random world would be unaffected by last year's weather (it's as silly as saying "you can't roll snake eyes AGAIN after you just did!" when the odds of doing so remain the same for each roll of the dice), and 2) assuming a non-random world, the chances of it being pretty darn hot are likely increased, not decreased, by the occurrence of hot weather last summer.

Personally, I'm wondering why the sun gnomes didn't just set the dial to 10 and make 10 warmer.
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