Will there be a new superpower by 2050? (union, free market, interest)

[k374]

The 2 countries that have been cited as being potential superpowers by 2050 are China and India, perhaps even Brazil.. as their economies have been growing at astonishing rates. What do you think in your opinion would be the scenario by 2050. Do you think the US would relinquish it's title as the superpower in the world? Included the BRIC countries in the poll, the US and other..so please specify if you choose other,

[chet everett]

Dilbert is way ahead of the curve...

2050!?!?


40 years is a looooong time.

[slackjaw]

I think China already is a superpower, at the very least they already have the economic influence of one. I think Brazil will be interesting they have abundant natural resources and a very diverse free market economy.

[texdav]

The USA will still be the supore power i 2050 especailly in militray . The chinese will be more a super power economically but tehy have massive problems still. It may take them that long to even have a top 20 recognised university wh8ich they don;t even have a top200 now.I thnik taht the end of oil will bring thwe next big changes to the world economy as its provides so mnay things besides cheap power.

[king's highway]

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Russia

Wayyy before 2050.


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[GeorgePirvu]

Don't forget to keep an eye on Germany; it's a country that has seen a strong growth despite the recession; in fact, its growth has helped many other countries in Europe pass through the crisis faster and regain their strength.

[Mircea]

Originally Posted by GeorgePirvu

Don't forget to keep an eye on Germany; it's a country that has seen a strong growth despite the recession; in fact, its growth has helped many other countries in Europe pass through the crisis faster and regain their strength.

You can forget about Germany. Germany has no way possible to project their hegemony into other areas of the world.

In order for Germany to become a superpower, it would have to abandon the Euro and switch back the Deutschmark, plus expand it's navy to include at least 2 aircraft carriers, and it would have to expand its military and deploy troops overseas.

Originally Posted by k374

The 2 countries that have been cited as being potential superpowers by 2050 are China and India, perhaps even Brazil.. as their economies have been growing at astonishing rates. What do you think in your opinion would be the scenario by 2050. Do you think the US would relinquish it's title as the superpower in the world?

That's a very narrow view. Historically, a superpower has declined while other states gained power until a balance of power is reached between several states with one acting as spoiler (that was the role of the UK during the 19th Century), then several of those states will decline leaving two superpowers and then one of those will decline leaving a sole superpower, and then we do it all over again.

The US will continue its steady decline until it becomes a has been in 2034. That should be obvious since the US strategic plan has failed

[king's highway]

~

Perhaps Germany and Russia could unite...
like the ancient Medes and Persians.

Vladimir Putin spent a long time in Germany
and speaks fluent German... when He first
visited Germany as President of Russia, He
was welcomed as " Putin the German. "



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[slackjaw]

Originally Posted by Mircea

The US will continue its steady decline until it becomes a has been in 2034. That should be obvious since the US strategic plan has failed

For decades the strategic plan was winning the cold war and halting the spread of communism. The Soviet Union collapsed, the influence of communism has waned, and many of her satellites could well be considered US allies now.

[Chango]

I suspect the nation-state type political setup will slowly loose influence and may even go away as time progresses. It will most like be totally different in 50 years from what it is now.

Power distribution will be determined by how we fuel our transportation in the middle of the 21st century... Oil won't be running it, so if we come up with a real workable replacement that lets us at least maintain our current level of mobility, we will probably see fewer independent countries holding the power but instead continent spanning unions like the EU, but with more central power...maybe even the feared 1 world government those tinfoil hat guys are always whispering about from behind walls of spam and ammo cans.

If we don't get a good replacement for oil fast enough, power bases will most likely diffuse and re-solidify in large city centers, creating a modern version of the City-State system. The superpower (s) of the future may be called Bejing, Sao Palo, New York or Mumbai, not China, Brazil, USA, or India.