There are some very compelling data points that indicate we may be slipping once again into recession.
LAKSHMAN ACHUTHAN: THE RECESSION IS STILL COMING…. | PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM
In this clip, Lakshman Achuthan makes some good points concerning growth rates and the history of recession vs. slowing growth.
There is also the factor of rising gas prices. Every $.01 cent rise in the price of gas takes $1 billion out of the economy that could be spent elsewhere.
Finally we have consumer debt
Credit Card Debt Nears Toxic Levels (http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/credit-card-debt-nears-toxic-levels-dpgonc-km-20120226_18232559 - broken link)
at levels not seen since 2007.
There are also positive indicators including employment numbers, although despite higher employment, overall income is down.
So taking everything into account, what is your opinion concerning 2012?
Is the economy on a sound footing, or was the recovery just a result of monetary stimulus that is losing its ability to sustain growth in the face of inflation?