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Old 06-18-2015, 09:16 PM
 
Location: California
1,638 posts, read 1,107,138 times
Reputation: 2650

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Quote:
Originally Posted by nickerman View Post
I have been to Greece and I like Greece also. But when it comes to money all that doesn't matter. Just imagine if a nice friend of yours owes you money. May be the nicest guy in the world but if he doesn't pay it back he isn't a friend anymore. Right. O.K. I am being a bit hard nosed about this I know.
With interest though it may be impossible to pay it back. And we nearly forced these high interest loans on these countries years back and now are complaining they're not paying us back.
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Old 06-19-2015, 02:14 AM
 
Location: Sunrise
10,864 posts, read 16,986,499 times
Reputation: 9084
Quote:
Originally Posted by nickerman View Post
I have been to Greece and I like Greece also. But when it comes to money all that doesn't matter. Just imagine if a nice friend of yours owes you money. May be the nicest guy in the world but if he doesn't pay it back he isn't a friend anymore. Right. O.K. I am being a bit hard nosed about this I know.
If someone owes you $1,000 you have an unrealized asset.

If someone owes you $100,000 you have a problem.

If someone owes you $1,000,000 you have a partner.

If someone owes you $100,000,000,000 you're China.


What your buddy owes you and what Greece owes the central bankers isn't in the same ballpark. It isn't the same league. It's not even the same sport. [/censored gratuitous Pulp Fiction reference]

Europe has pushed Greece to the point where their best option is to exit the Eurozone and go back to printing drachmas. Other nations might try strategic default, as well. We'll see.
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Old 06-19-2015, 01:37 PM
 
2,015 posts, read 1,647,276 times
Reputation: 2826
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyTexan View Post
Greeks can't pay their bills unless the IMF gives them money. And one of their bills is a loan payment to the IMF.
So is the IMF giving them money so they can turn around and give it back to the IMF ?

Greece is a lost cause. Let them default. The EU should make the historic move and kick them out.
pardon my cliche- but the greeks made their bed and now let them sleep in it.
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Old 06-19-2015, 02:02 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,782,993 times
Reputation: 9045
for a great documentary on the crisis and all that led up to this point watch this It aired a while ago.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0lyANbTsniA

I think what we are witnessing is political theater. I don't think Greece will exit the Eurozone, at least not this time. I think a 11th hour deal will be reached on 25th or 26th. I don't know they will come to an agreement on pension reform - that sounds like a point that is virtually impossible to negotiate on.
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Old 06-19-2015, 08:41 PM
 
1,844 posts, read 2,422,810 times
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On a financial economics board, I read that this isn't about Greece. This is about Deutsche Bank, which has over 150T (that is $Trillion) in Greco-derivatives. Either directly, as bondholders or as counterparties. This was the set-up for 2008, Bear Stearns and Lehman. Once counterparty risk surfaces, and nobody else is dumb enough to let the next payment roll over, the music stops.

Deutche going down will have an impact equal to Lehman going down, is the surmise.

I dunno. But I'm thinking I'd be smart to hoard some 20 dollar bills in the event the ATMs stop working.
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Old 06-20-2015, 07:57 AM
 
18,804 posts, read 8,462,725 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jane_sm1th73 View Post
On a financial economics board, I read that this isn't about Greece. This is about Deutsche Bank, which has over 150T (that is $Trillion) in Greco-derivatives. Either directly, as bondholders or as counterparties. This was the set-up for 2008, Bear Stearns and Lehman. Once counterparty risk surfaces, and nobody else is dumb enough to let the next payment roll over, the music stops.

Deutche going down will have an impact equal to Lehman going down, is the surmise.

I dunno. But I'm thinking I'd be smart to hoard some 20 dollar bills in the event the ATMs stop working.
I read that it is about 1/2 that in total. And no doubt it is not all Greek based. But dominoes could indeed fall.

We're doing a Danube River tip in a month, I hope the sh doesn't hit the fan. My daughter was in Greece last crisis. And I had her carry $1000 in smaller bills.
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Old 06-21-2015, 10:43 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,782,993 times
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I was right on the money... a 11th hour deal is in the works! No default.

Although we all know the systemic problem still exists - it solves nothing but these theatrics just delay the inevitable.
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Old 06-22-2015, 01:15 PM
 
1,519 posts, read 1,771,044 times
Reputation: 1825
Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
I was right on the money... a 11th hour deal is in the works! No default.

Although we all know the systemic problem still exists - it solves nothing but these theatrics just delay the inevitable.
I just read that there is a lot of disagreement between the negotiating parties and nothing is certain yet.
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Old 06-22-2015, 01:17 PM
 
1,519 posts, read 1,771,044 times
Reputation: 1825
Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
I was right on the money... a 11th hour deal is in the works! No default.

Although we all know the systemic problem still exists - it solves nothing but these theatrics just delay the inevitable.
All a deal means is that Greece is going to bend over and take later in time rather than right now.
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Old 06-22-2015, 02:56 PM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,555,945 times
Reputation: 2207
I still think they can default.
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