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View Poll Results: If a economic downturn were to happen, woud you prefer...
Fast and painful (months vs. years), but sooner to get on with recovery. 15 83.33%
Slow and less painful (more then 6 years), but delaying recovery. 3 16.67%
Voters: 18. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-04-2015, 10:55 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
276 posts, read 338,420 times
Reputation: 531

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This is a question for both bull and bears. I'm not saying it will happen (probably not), but if an economic slowdown were to happen, how would you prefer it's speed?

We know it would be unpleasant like taking off a Band-Aid (adhesive bandage or plaster). Do you pull it off slowly or quickly?

Would you prefer a very rapid and painful crash in the economy over just a couple months and there by more quickly getting on with recovery. Or, a slower more controlled and less painful decline drawn out over many years, say six or more, delaying recovery but far less unpleasant?

Or somewhere inbetween, say, two years to hit bottom.
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Old 09-04-2015, 10:59 AM
 
48,502 posts, read 96,877,697 times
Reputation: 18304
I say if like 2008; we know. But if like the great depression; not too sure.
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Old 09-04-2015, 11:03 AM
 
Location: State of Grace
1,608 posts, read 1,485,844 times
Reputation: 2697
It doesn't matter; it wouldn't change my reality either way. I'd want what was best for the masses.


Mahrie.
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Old 09-04-2015, 11:14 AM
 
4,873 posts, read 3,603,930 times
Reputation: 3881
I think a lot of people would prefer the V-shaped recession and recovery of the 80's. But that happened because it was a deliberate monetarily-induced recession that was recoverable through more monetary adjustment. That would be impossible in the current economy, as well as completely unnecessary. But in broad hypothetical terms, I think that a V would be preferable.
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Old 09-04-2015, 11:43 AM
 
Location: Nebraska
2,234 posts, read 3,322,222 times
Reputation: 6681
What is your description of an economic downturn?
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Old 09-04-2015, 02:11 PM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
276 posts, read 338,420 times
Reputation: 531
Quote:
Originally Posted by Garthur View Post
What is your description of an economic downturn?
Since this is hypothetical, let's say it's severe, Dow 8,000ish. There's support there in the charts.

This time around there wouldn't be (hardly) any bailouts, instead there would be bankruptcies to clear the bad debt.
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Old 09-04-2015, 04:04 PM
 
Location: Riverside Ca
22,146 posts, read 33,552,235 times
Reputation: 35437
I would prefer a fast fall and get back up. No matter what there will be opportunities. People who were on the sidelines will jump in the fray. Someone will always take a risk.
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Old 09-04-2015, 04:21 PM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
276 posts, read 338,420 times
Reputation: 531
Quote:
Originally Posted by texdav View Post
I say if like 2008; we know. But if like the great depression; not too sure.
More like great depression.

It is a tough call.
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Old 09-04-2015, 07:28 PM
 
Location: Tip of the Sphere. Just the tip.
4,540 posts, read 2,770,332 times
Reputation: 5277
Doesn't matter in the slightest what I *want* the economy to do.

What matters is how I prepare for it and/or deal with it.
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Old 09-06-2015, 02:46 PM
 
Location: Beavercreek, OH
2,194 posts, read 3,851,361 times
Reputation: 2354
We'd rather have a V-shaped recession if we absolutely had one.

What's worse, however, is having a sharp and severe fall followed by a painfully slow recovery. That's what we've contended with since 2008.
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