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Old 04-11-2016, 03:47 AM
 
Location: Philadelphia Area
1,720 posts, read 1,316,309 times
Reputation: 1353

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Quote:
Originally Posted by ContrarianEcon View Post
I'm not a Democrat. I'm a recovering Republican. A high top marginal tax rate limits growth on the top end. So the growth in the economy happens somewhere else. My explanation is how a Republican would explain it not a Democrat.


If you are in the top tax bracket at 90% and you own a business any money spent on that business is tax deductible. It has to run a profit every so many years but you can spend a lot of money growing a business, and that money isn't taxed at your 90% tax rate. Leaving the business to your kids means bypassing the 90% tax rate. The workers get the money. They spend the money, and the economy grows at a higher sustainable rate. (This is the post WWII economic boom up until the 1980's.) Dropping the top marginal tax rate means openly getting income off of debt instruments. That means running a debt bubble. Personal debt went up by about 40% of GDP between 1980 and 2015. Wages were flat adjusted for inflation, so instead of getting a raise they got a loan. Wages are carried on the books as a pure expense without any return. Loans are listed as getting a return. Wages actually do get a positive return but it is hard to see.


The emperor has no cloths. Supply side economics = cashing out America.
What a great and succinct post that explains everything I try to encapsulate in my anecdotes and video collection. I will remember it and try to incorporate your post above. It's very good. Kudos!!!


Goodbye Middle Class: 51 Percent Of All American Workers Make Less Than 30,000 Dollars A Year
Prison Planet.com » Goodbye Middle Class: 51 Percent Of All American Workers Make Less Than 30,000 Dollars A Year

"You can find the report that the Social Security Administration just released right here. The following are some of the numbers that really stood out for me…

-38 percent of all American workers made less than $20,000 last year.
-51 percent of all American workers made less than $30,000 last year.
-62 percent of all American workers made less than $40,000 last year.
-71 percent of all American workers made less than $50,000 last year.

That first number is truly staggering. The federal poverty level for a family of five is $28,410, and yet almost 40 percent of all American workers do not even bring in $20,000 a year.

If you worked a full-time job at $10 an hour all year long with two weeks off, you would make approximately $20,000. This should tell you something about the quality of the jobs that our economy is producing at this point."

And this coalesces with this:




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vttbhl_kDoo

Oh, and this:
With Just $10 “You’re Wealthier Than 25% Of Americans”
Prison Planet.com » With Just $10 “You’re Wealthier Than 25% Of Americans”

"The big headline grabber was their analysis showing that the top 1% of people now own 50% of the world’s wealth."

http://www.newpeopleorder.com/index.html
Amazon.com: They Own It All (Including You)!: By Means of Toxic Currency (9781439233610): Ronald MacDonald, Robert Rowen: Books#_

They Own It ALL(Including YOU!)By Means of Toxic Currency
by Ronald MacDonald, Robert Rowen

"I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire,... The man that controls Britain's money supply controls the British Empire. And I control the money supply"

Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild, of the Rothschild international banking cartel

Originally Posted by the_windwalker
Original Post: //www.city-data.com/forum/21850164-post120.html

"From reading the posts, perhaps, the first thing to do, in order to come up with a solution, is identify exactly what "income inequity" is.

In 1960, the average income for semi-professional and non-professional jobs was $7060 a year. In 2010, the average income for those same jobs was $45,406. (source of information is athttp://msn.careerbuilder.com/Article...=JS_2146_home1) And, from another source,. the 2010 figure is about 25% too high. Unfortunately, I do not have the link to the other source.

According to another source, http://msn.careerbuilder.com/Article...=JS_2146_home1 executive income has gone up six times in just the last twenty years. Another words, an exec that is making $360,000 today, was only making $60,000 twenty years ago.

It says that executive pay went up an average of 30% each year for the last twenty years while middle-class America has only gotten an average of 12% each year for the last fifty years. And, we're not including bonuses or "Golden Parachutes".

One more area to look at, and this is from my own experience. In 1965 and 1966, I was making $8,000 a year. I was also paying 17 cents a gallon for gasoline. Just today, the current price of gasoline at the corner gas station at the corner is $3.599. To maintain the ratio between income and the cost of gasoline, today's average income should be about $170,000 a year.

In 1973, I was making $14,000 a year, and paying $51 every six months for car insurance. (And, supporting a wife and two kids, while buying a house for $10,000) The last premium I paid on car insurance came out to $147 a month. Back in 1973, the monthly cost was just $8.50. To maintain the ratio of income to car insurance premiums, today's average income should be about $240,000 a year. Want to check with IRS and see just how many "Average Americans" are actually making that much? And, the story is the same no matter what area of expense you look at, groceries, utilities, housing, etc.

That is what is "INCOME INEQUITY". What to do about it is the "$64,000 question". Solutions are sure to be as varied as the people that offer them, but now, you should be able to come up with a better informed opinion.

Now, with regard to the quote, by all means, give your kids every advantage you can. Stress education. Any kind of court record will hurt their chances for a successful career. But, keep in mind...

Let's say that 99% of the next generation gets a master's degree. (No, I don't think that's realistic) It's also not realistic to think that every one of them will get jobs where they will use that degree. There will be a number of them serving at Pizza Hut. A good education and a clean record does not give them a guarantee, but it does improve their chances at a comfortable life." (end quote)

Congratulations the_windwalker, you've earned a spot on my anecdotes collection that's meant to show in a very concrete way the wage stagflation or really deflation experienced for the bottom 80-90 percent of workers the last 30-40 years. I submit only the top 1- 20% percent of wage earners has kept up with cost inflation. That's 2 in 10 workers, certainly NOT middle class, and I think 20% is pushing it. More like the top 10%.

Keep in mind when you read these anecdotes and watch Dr. Warren's lecture think RATIOS. That's exactly my point. For example: "In 1973, I was making $14,000 a year, and paying $51 every six months for car insurance. (And, supporting a wife and two kids, while buying a house for $10,000). How many people now make 40% more IN ONE YEAR than the value of their HOME!!!!: cool: :thi nk: GuyNTexas' anecdote illustrates this point very well also.

Read more: Income Inequality: What To Do About It?

Originally Posted by workingclasshero
Original post:
//www.city-data.com/forum/15893673-post369.html

"so what does that make ...heck the MINIIMUM salary for the WORST player in the NFL is 310k...are you SERIOUSLY going to call a benchwarmer rich????

I'm sure a guy making 400k will say he is poor compared to bill gates and his BILLIONS...or the millionaires like John Kerry

250k is almost the median price of a house....NATIONWIDE......the median in the northeast is 260k...... http://www.realestateabc.com/outlook/overall.htm

just because SALARIES haven't kept up with INFLATION doesn't mean we should still CLASSIFY based on 1955/1965 numbers.......average salary in 1966..6900...median house price 14k....about 50% right...use those numbers compared to the median house....the median salary SHOULD be 130k...not 50k

sorry but this is not 1955 , when 250k was rich...please get with the times...its 2010"(end quote)

Here is the_windwalkers explanation to a reply:
Original Post:
//www.city-data.com/forum/21850961-post142.html

"The "inequity" comes in where the expenses have out-paced the income for the average American. While EVERYTHING ELSE has gone up, income for the "middle-class" has stagnated over the last fifty years. That is the problem with the economy today. The "middle-class", the MAJORITY of Americans do not have enough money to keep the economy flowing. Inequity = DIS-PROPORTIONATE".

Show me just one exec whose decisions are actually worth a million dollars a day. Even just a thousand dollars a day. Think about it. As great as he was, even Steve Jobs is now replaced. And, as great as he was for the company, he was not that great for America. Look where your Apple product is made. American jobs?

Ever hear of "The Law of Diminishing Returns"? Keep raising your prices, and eventually, you'll price yourself out of business. That is what Corporate America has done. They have priced the economy out of business.

Take a look at the cost of a kit to put a motor on a bicycle. A 50 CC kit has gone up nearly $100 because of the demand. They're replacing cars with motorized bicycles and scooters. And, the auto industry isn't doing as well as they were ten years ago.

If a cashier is being paid exactly what they are worth, then we're paying far more for everything than it's worth. Gasoline isn't worth $3.599 a gallon. Why are we paying that much? Car insurance is not worth what we're paying. Why are we paying it?"(end quote)

Without further ado here's the rest of the collection. In my opinion no one who is honest, can think critically and do math can deny what's contained herein:

Pay close attention to the years in the following posts of people who lived in the mid 70's-early 80's:

Quote:
Originally Posted by padcrasher Original Post:
//www.city-data.com/forum/21049746-post9.html

"Sad. I made $9 an hour during the Summer break in the mid 1980s running telephone lines in office buildings. It was a horrible low paying job then. You know what $9 is worth today adjusted for inflation since 1985. $4.42 cents. That same job today would be need to pay $18.50 per hour. If you have no perspective on how things suck..you'll settle for anything. The USA will look like these ghettos in Brazil before people wake up to this right wing propaganda they've been spoon fed for 30 years."(end quote)

"You know what $9 is worth today adjusted for inflation since 1985. $4.42 cents."

Maybe not even that much.

Originally Posted by wawaweewa
Original Post: //www.city-data.com/forum/19747215-post241.html

"Just because things were better, doesn't mean they were great. I don't deny that there were folks like yourself. Nevertheless, more opportunity (on average) did exist back then.

During college I worked part time at a warehouse. One of my co workers was a Guyanese who came into the US illegally in '77 or '78 (he later received amnesty under Reagan). He used to tell me how his first job, as an illegal, paid $10.50/hour. In 2006, after he was laid off from a warehouse making 33/hour, we were working for $12/hr. $10.50 in '78 or 12 in 2006. Inflation much?"(end quote)

Originally Posted by workingclasshero:
Original Post:
//www.city-data.com/forum/18639961-post118.html

"it doesn't

its becoming harder to afford many things for all people

a personal example...I make about 3 times what my father made at his highest level...and it is tougher for me to make ends meet that it was for him

look at the price of a car...a midsize chevy (say the nova) in 1970 was $2200.....today a midsize chevy is 20k or more

the value of the dollar is in the toilet"(end quote)

Yep!!!!! And going lower. Wait till QE3 LOL!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mircea:
Original Post: //www.city-data.com/forum/15645787-post5.html

"Also the wages aren't there and if you compare that with inflation it just doesn't work.

In 1980, I had an entry level job as a sound engineer with a local independent TV station earning $5.00 per hour. One paycheck paid my rent and utilities and auto insurance and the other 3 paychecks each month were disposable income.

An entry level job today pays $8.50 to $10 per hour and even at $10 per hour it takes 2 paychecks to cover the cost of rent, utilities and auto insurance (and don't forget in 1980 $10 -- or two hours of work -- paid for 2 tickets to the cinema show, a tank full of gasoline and something to eat after the movie -- the cost of two movie tickets now is over $20)."
(end quote)

Originally Posted by PullMyFinger:
Original Post: I have jobs but no one wants them

"The guy is a typical, narrow minded moron who probably has a picture of Reagan on his wall and NOBAMA stickers on his car. He really thinks in this world, with gas being $3.50 per gallon and food twice what it was 5 years ago that $8.50 per hour is "competitive" How friggin stupid can anyone be? I was making more than that in 1981 in a part time job. I started out at $14.00 per hour in 1984 when I bought my first house for $42,000!

He has NO RESPECT for his employees. None.(end quote)

GuyNTexas says IT ALL Here!!!!

Originally Posted by GuyNTexas:
Original Post: //www.city-data.com/forum/15876838-post225.html

"No. I'm really disagreeing with .. not missing your point. And those numbers don't tell a very accurate story, and the proof is demonstrated by the drop in net worth of middle income earners as their debt has increased significantly, while earnings have declined relative to inflation.

By most measurable data points, the middle income class has been dying a very slow, incremental death for 4 decades because the costs on high ticket items have increased more rapidly than the either the inflation rate or rates of increases in income. To further compound the problem, average income levels have failed to keep pace with the inflation rate itself. Much of this goes unnoticed because of it's slow incremental nature (like growing old). But if you are old enough, and still maintain your mental faculties, you can't be bull $hted into believing what you are trying to say here.

As just one example, in 1977, I bought a brand new Pontiac Trans Am for $5200. And since it was my first car purchase, I suspect I was clubbed like a baby seal (paid full MSRP), as I simply asked how much, and said OK (later I learned the error of this way to purchase automobiles )

Now today, that car is no longer available, but a comparable car "Chevy Camero SS" is. And a similarly configured model is around $35,000 MSRP. Which is almost double the adjusted for inflation number of $18,700 that Camero should cost relative to the $5200 Trans Am of 1977.

My income back then was 14,000 or just shy of 3 times what the car cost ... if you apply that same formula to the $35,000 Camero today, I'd have to earn roughly $100,000 per year to maintain the same standard (drive the same car) as my $14,000 income provided then. I was not wealthy then .. I was a 20 year old working in a warehouse driving a forklift. And I don't think there are many 6 figure forklift drivers around today ... I would say, the 40-50K range would be the upper limit ... or roughly the same as my $14,000 would be, adjusted for inflation.

This is one example, and almost any big item ... car, house, etc. works out to be the same. Some other items like Healthcare have dramatically exceeded those rates exponentially compared to 1977 where mine was absolutely free and first rate, including dental.

Now, add to this the higher taxes, social security withholding, and medicare ... all of which have exceeded the inflation rate (and don't let anyone BS you into believing it hasn't), means that the net spending power of your income has declined dramatically over the past 30+ years. (See video below she documents ALL this IN DETAIL)

Now around about that same time frame, my step father worked for one of the US Government agencies earning roughly in the 50-60K range, and at the time, that was very good money, but not even close to RICH & Wealthy .... but adjusted for inflation, that comes out to around $200+K now. The house he purchased then at $50,000 appraised for $480,000 in 2004-5 even though the adjusted for inflation value would have only dictated a $155,000 figure ... 3 times the inflation rate!! By the time he retired in the late 90's, his income may have doubled, yet his house increased by 6-8 fold. What does that tell you?

Now if you are following me here ... this is where it gets real hairy ... if you take a Quarter ... 25 cents ... from say 1964 (the last 90% silver Quarter) that 25 cents equates to $1.76 in 2010 value. But guess what? Today's melt value of that sliver quarter is about $3.70 which is again more than double the published inflation rate ....

So what does that all mean? It means very simply, that the value of your money is worth about half of what it's claimed to be worth, even after being adjusted for inflation .... and all it takes is to actually look at the historical costs of items like cars, and houses and health care costs from the late 60's to today, and also the median incomes. You see that the purchasing power has indeed declined. And this is a result of the devaluation of the currency (a hidden tax).

So when it comes to buying power, there has been a continuous decline that doubles the the inflation rates admitted .. which is why the middle class really doesn't exist for all practical purposes today.

There are the ultra wealthy, and the rest. The $250kers are just at the higher end of that rest of us, and they are the last of the upper middle class, and the next in line to fall ... apparently, much to delight of many who think that they are members of the Wealthy Club, and must fall for the sake of everyone.

I suppose this proves that indeed, misery loves company."(end quote)

Originally Posted by GuyNTexas:
Original Post: //www.city-data.com/forum/28066329-post343.html

"Which is ... I might add .... $17/hr is roughly $6 per hour in 1980 dollars adjusted for inflation, or $12,000 per year. Though that doesn't quite tell the whole story, since there are many costs that have increased way more than 3 fold, which makes me question the inflation calculations today.

For example, a brand new 1980 Chevrolet Camaro Z28 cost about $6,500 in 1980, while a 2013 Camaro SS Coupe runs close to $40,000 ... which is double the calculated inflation rate .... so a person buying a new camaro back then who was making $10/hr in 1980, would have to make $60/hr today, to be in the same financial situation.

That's just one example of many .... my regular bills back then were ... $12 phone, $25 electricity, no cable, no internet, no cell phone .... and rent was $250. My total living expenses (living alone) was less than $300 .. and food costs were about $20 per week, give or take. Gas was about .65 - .75 cents per gal as were cigarettes about .75 .... and you could get a beer in a bar for .50

I never had to juggle bills .... I lived quite well, drove a brand new car, went out on weekends regularly, never had to deny myself anything, and still managed to stash a couple hundred bucks away in a savings account every month ... on $10/hr

Don't try to live that way today ..... people who have no direct experience of what things were like back then, really have no idea how badly they are "taking it" today. No idea!"

Jill61 gets a spot for this post: //www.city-data.com/forum/22419669-post48.html



YouTube - The Coming Collapse of the Middle Class


Read more: Marc Faber says Americans need to work more for lower salaries...

This documentary EXPLAINS IT ALL:

I know the videos take 4 hours to watch but consider this a mini course of how we got here!




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFH_eaE2WRU

Watch this:



A TED Talk on Income Inequality by Nick Hanauer - YouTube

Median income for a household should be almost $100,000 not $52,000.

This country is experiencing a shift in downward class migration. Here's an illustration:



The Real Story Behind Downward Class Migration - YouTube

Read more: I have jobs but no one wants them

Read more: //www.city-data.com/forum/polit...#ixzz26MvexLcs
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Old 04-11-2016, 05:31 AM
 
24,559 posts, read 18,259,472 times
Reputation: 40260
Quote:
Originally Posted by rruff View Post
It's a fact that our most prosperous period ('~30-75) was when marginal rates were super high.
This is laughable. 1930 was the Great Depression. Post WW II, the rest of the industrial world was bombed to rubble. The US was 50% of the world economy with no competition. A high school dropout could earn middle class wages with a repetitive task job. Those are no longer the global economic conditions. We have reverted to the same levels of wealth and income stratification we had before the Great Depression.
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Old 04-11-2016, 06:12 AM
 
4,231 posts, read 3,558,340 times
Reputation: 2207
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffD View Post
This is laughable. 1930 was the Great Depression. Post WW II, the rest of the industrial world was bombed to rubble. The US was 50% of the world economy with no competition. A high school dropout could earn middle class wages with a repetitive task job. Those are no longer the global economic conditions. We have reverted to the same levels of wealth and income stratification we had before the Great Depression.
It doesn't matter.

His claim is true.
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Old 04-11-2016, 10:45 AM
 
3,792 posts, read 2,385,439 times
Reputation: 768
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffD View Post
This is laughable. 1930 was the Great Depression. Post WW II, the rest of the industrial world was bombed to rubble. The US was 50% of the world economy with no competition. A high school dropout could earn middle class wages with a repetitive task job. Those are no longer the global economic conditions. We have reverted to the same levels of wealth and income stratification we had before the Great Depression.
And the cure is the same. By top marginal tax rate or by the inflation tax we need to put the money back in the bottom end.
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Old 04-11-2016, 10:48 AM
 
3,792 posts, read 2,385,439 times
Reputation: 768
Quote:
Originally Posted by CK78 View Post
What a great and succinct post that explains everything I try to encapsulate in my anecdotes and video collection. I will remember it and try to incorporate your post above. It's very good. Kudos!!!
...
I try.
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Old 04-11-2016, 11:13 AM
 
10,075 posts, read 7,542,084 times
Reputation: 15501
Quote:
Originally Posted by ContrarianEcon View Post
And the cure is the same. By top marginal tax rate or by the inflation tax we need to put the money back in the bottom end.
I agree with this, but I disagree with how many on CD think that the way to do it is be raising minimum wage. Increasing it just makes people dependent on it. We should be encouraging people at lower income to get more skilled so that they command higher pay. So regardless of what the minimum is, they will be above it.
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Old 04-11-2016, 11:15 AM
 
3,792 posts, read 2,385,439 times
Reputation: 768
Quote:
Originally Posted by rruff View Post
... And they did that buy making sure the wealth was shared with consumers, with high income tax rate, increased public benefits, and support for union formation.
And it did a one two punch.


Trust us we will take care of you.


Then supply side economics, with out sourcing, a generation later.


A person that is highly motivated to acquire money will do what it takes to get it. You can't trust them to watch out for your best interests. You have to do that yourself.
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Old 04-11-2016, 11:24 AM
 
3,792 posts, read 2,385,439 times
Reputation: 768
Quote:
Originally Posted by eyeb View Post
I agree with this, but I disagree with how many on CD think that the way to do it is be raising minimum wage. Increasing it just makes people dependent on it. We should be encouraging people at lower income to get more skilled so that they command higher pay. So regardless of what the minimum is, they will be above it.
That is the pitch for getting more student loan debt.


The minimum wage is the floor. Raising the floor benefits all. And we need it global.


WalMart agrees with me. They are the low price leader. You want more than the minimum? Get off your lazy arse and earn it. But a $15 hr minimum wage will give almost 1/2 of American workers a raise. I want a $30hr minimum wage as that will indo the wealth transfer brought on by the wage price stability FED limit, and growth going to the top end in a debt bubble. that is just me saying NO you don't get to take my wealth.
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Old 04-11-2016, 11:33 AM
 
Location: Ruidoso, NM
5,667 posts, read 6,595,121 times
Reputation: 4817
Quote:
Originally Posted by GeoffD View Post
The US was 50% of the world economy with no competition.
This fallacy just won't die.

What would we have been "competing" for exactly? World markets? The US had minimal foreign trade in those days and our trade surplus was ~1%.

If "competition" is so bad for wages and our economy, then why the hell are we "competing"?

Quote:
We have reverted to the same levels of wealth and income stratification we had before the Great Depression.
And what happened right after income became that stratified? Oh right, you already said it...

That sort of wealth stratification isn't sustainable in consumer-capitalism. They've been "solving" that problem for the last 40 years with debt and finance, but you can only take that so far.
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Old 04-11-2016, 11:46 AM
 
3,792 posts, read 2,385,439 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rruff View Post
It's a fact that our most prosperous period ('~30-75) was when marginal rates were super high.
And debts as %GDP were low.
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