Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
View Poll Results: Do you believe the US is in a recession?
Yes 64 58.18%
No 27 24.55%
Not Sure 19 17.27%
Voters: 110. You may not vote on this poll

Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 02-11-2008, 03:09 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland area
554 posts, read 2,500,705 times
Reputation: 535

Advertisements

What is your opinion? Are we just facing a slowdown, or do you think we are in a recession?

If you do, why do you think so, and how severe do you think this recession will be?

If you don't, why don't you think so?

As for me, I'm not really sure. Yes, we lost 17,000 jobs (unrevised) in January, and the service sector has been contracting, but at the same time the manufacturing sector has (barely) been expanding, exports have been growing, etc.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 02-11-2008, 03:53 PM
 
Location: Maryland
1,667 posts, read 9,379,027 times
Reputation: 1654
Individually, the people won't experience the recession as most people are as stable as they would be either way, and spend/save/borrow will stay the same. As a government, 5 of the 9 trillion dollar debt is to people who hold treasury bonds, savings bonds, Government securities, and such. So, it's really not as bad as it sounds, unless everybody does a margin call on the government all at once.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-11-2008, 04:16 PM
 
630 posts, read 1,873,933 times
Reputation: 368
Quote:
Originally Posted by ESFP View Post
Individually, the people won't experience the recession as most people are as stable as they would be either way, and spend/save/borrow will stay the same. As a government, 5 of the 9 trillion dollar debt is to people who hold treasury bonds, savings bonds, Government securities, and such. So, it's really not as bad as it sounds, unless everybody does a margin call on the government all at once.
The problem is not so much that we have 9 trillion in debt,our GDP is about 13-14 trillion and as a ratio its nowhere rear as bad as during WW1 and 2,and some other times in our earlier history,the problem is who we owe it to,notably China,Japan and the Shieks,we have previously owed large sums of money to foriegners (Britain and France),one to build the western railroads,the other to finance the revolution,good things,and both countries wanted us to suceed in our endeavours,today we owe because we are gluttons and consume on a scale that is unsustainable and borrow from people who wish us harm!
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-11-2008, 06:31 PM
 
Location: San Antonio-Westover Hills
6,884 posts, read 20,399,779 times
Reputation: 5176
No, we're in a correction, if anything.

Only time will tell if we're in a recession. People that think we are must have a crystal ball.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-14-2008, 02:10 PM
 
Location: Hougary, Texberta
9,019 posts, read 14,282,260 times
Reputation: 11032
The term recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.

Are we in a period of slow-down, sure seems like it. It will officially be a recession in about a month and a half.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-14-2008, 02:19 PM
 
Location: South Central PA
1,565 posts, read 4,309,122 times
Reputation: 378
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeyyc View Post
The term recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.

Are we in a period of slow-down, sure seems like it. It will officially be a recession in about a month and a half.
Exactly. Except last quarter I thought the growth was like .4% or so, so we still need another 4 months...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-15-2008, 03:26 AM
 
1,831 posts, read 5,292,295 times
Reputation: 673
I'm really surprized that people are still debating the recession at this point because it seems obvious to me that we're definitely in one. But I guess nobody wants to hear bad news.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-15-2008, 03:51 AM
 
17 posts, read 42,721 times
Reputation: 14
The US is in a recession right now FACT
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-15-2008, 06:00 AM
 
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, Fla
1,887 posts, read 7,937,717 times
Reputation: 1560
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mom2Feebs View Post
No, we're in a correction, if anything.
I agree with that for SO many reasons....too many to list at the moment (I'm off to work in a few). My finances are fine and while I know that's not an indication of what the rest of the country is experiencing, I can honestly say I have not felt the impact of this recession. Now are we on the verge of one? Possibly. Are we in one now? No.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 02-15-2008, 06:33 AM
 
630 posts, read 1,873,933 times
Reputation: 368
Quote:
Originally Posted by Prettygyrl777 View Post
I agree with that for SO many reasons....too many to list at the moment (I'm off to work in a few). My finances are fine and while I know that's not an indication of what the rest of the country is experiencing, I can honestly say I have not felt the impact of this recession. Now are we on the verge of one? Possibly. Are we in one now? No.
We are in one and face many headwinds,continuing house price deterioration,slowing job market and more importantly(you'll notice this if you food shop) rising inflation,due in no small part to the governments energy policy,i.e. Ethanol.Helicopter Ben will not save us by lowering rates,printing money only stokes the engine of inflation!Government BS's us on CPI index because thats what entitlement programs like Social Security are pegged to.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 11:44 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top