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Old 02-20-2008, 10:33 AM
 
Location: Georgia, on the Florida line, right above Tallahassee
10,471 posts, read 15,827,481 times
Reputation: 6438

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If the credit crisis continues, it is highly likely that an American regional or national bank will fail. Which bank do you suspect will be the first to fall?

Banks still do fail.

Northern Rock Looks Set To Be Nationalised - The MoneyOutlet.co.uk (http://www.moneyoutlet.co.uk/2008/01/northern-rock-looks-set-to-be-nationalised.html - broken link)
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Old 02-20-2008, 11:02 AM
 
Location: Huntersville/Charlotte, NC and Washington, DC
26,700 posts, read 41,718,665 times
Reputation: 41376
Washington Mutual and Commerce Bank.

WaMu- A whole mess of horror stories.

Commerce- nothing really outstanding except open 7 days a week.
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Old 02-20-2008, 11:12 AM
 
14,725 posts, read 33,357,750 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alanboy395 View Post
WaMu- A whole mess of horror stories.
Fiscally, they have enough padding. Plus, they're entrenched in the most desirable markets.

I think that, if they keep their nose clean, they ought to turn it around. Any others agree?
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Old 02-20-2008, 11:15 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,967,105 times
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Here's something profound, although not really a "bank"

Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac

Yes, I proposed the unthinkable.

While a taxpayer bailout will likely occur, a bailout will be insufficient to allow these entities to absorb commercial paper in the future. Rather, the existing bad loans will be reconciled and that's it.

Link to this thread 1-3 years from now and see if I'm right.

CORRECTION: The poster said first. Still, this is likely in the pipeline with the massive amount of bad loans on these guys' books.
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Old 02-20-2008, 12:04 PM
 
Location: Baltimore, MD
897 posts, read 2,457,120 times
Reputation: 188
1 Wamu 2 Citi 3 UBS...What will really happen will be UBS and Wamu will get aquired and citi will split up the company. Citi is in very bad shape...they are going to have big profit and job losses for a while.
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Old 02-20-2008, 12:19 PM
 
Location: Somewhere over the Rainbow
625 posts, read 3,634,990 times
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I think we all wish Wamu would fall because they are soo horrible
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Old 02-20-2008, 01:03 PM
 
823 posts, read 2,215,314 times
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No big US bank will fail. It just doesn't happen. They'll get bought out before they fail. Especially a bank like Washington Mutual (yeah I'm not calling it a made up word) which has it's hooks in so many major cities.

What will make it interesting the federal cap limiting banks to 10% national market share makes certain mergers impossible.
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Old 02-20-2008, 01:11 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
9,059 posts, read 12,967,105 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteyNice View Post
No big US bank will fail. It just doesn't happen. They'll get bought out before they fail. Especially a bank like Washington Mutual (yeah I'm not calling it a made up word) which has it's hooks in so many major cities.

What will make it interesting the federal cap limiting banks to 10% national market share makes certain mergers impossible.
It "doesn't happen" like a terrorist attack won't happen just because it's been 7 years.

It's always interesting to see when people have the false sense of security that the government can actually prevent insolvency of financial institutions.

Ah, ignorance is bliss...
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Old 02-20-2008, 01:38 PM
 
823 posts, read 2,215,314 times
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No, it doesn't happen because it doesn't happen. When did I mention the government? Oh, that's right I didn't. However, you know the government would bail any large institution out. Just like they want to do with subprime stuff. This country has tied far too much to large corporations, not just banks. The economy needs to tank to wake people up. Propping it up with bandaids is not a long term solution.
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Old 02-20-2008, 01:49 PM
 
5,341 posts, read 14,134,112 times
Reputation: 4699
Quote:
Originally Posted by PeteyNice View Post
No, it doesn't happen because it doesn't happen. When did I mention the government? Oh, that's right I didn't. However, you know the government would bail any large institution out. Just like they want to do with subprime stuff. This country has tied far too much to large corporations, not just banks. The economy needs to tank to wake people up. Propping it up with bandaids is not a long term solution.
ahh...3 banks failed in the US last year and one all ready this year.

http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/.../banklist.html
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