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Sound good but for centuries every boom creates a bust.
Booms do not automatically result in busts. There have always been other factors in each and every single instance.
At 109 months, you are now in the second longest economic expansion in history. In theory, you could tie the longest economic expansion in history at 120 months in August 2019 and eclipse that, setting a new record in September 2019.
There's no evidence of structural unemployment now, nor is there any on the horizon. In spite of the protestations of many, the implementation of automation will be so boringly slow as to be imperceptible.
There's no evidence of Capital reallocation now or on the horizon, either. It might be another 10 years before India moves into its 2nd Level Economy and takes more of your jobs.
The most likely culprit will be the Federal Reserve, who keeps raising interest rates to combat "Inflation" despite the fact that there's no evidence of Monetary Inflation. There is evidence of Demand-pull Inflation, but increasing interest rates, or reducing the money supply, or increasing taxes or reducing spending have absolutely zero impact on Demand-pull Inflation.
At least twice in history, the Federal Reserve has caused a recession through higher interest rates, which increases the cost of continued business operations and the expansion of businesses, and that puts the brakes on expansion, and negatively impacts continuing operations.
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, 615' Elevation, Zone 8b - originally from SF Bay Area
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Originally Posted by SWFL_Native
How is this in conjunction with the labor participation rate?
That's currently average, at 62.7%. I haven't found what it was in 1969, but between 1950 and 2018 it has averaged 62.99, with the highest in January 2000 at 67.3 and lowest in December 1954 at 58.1%.
not everyone is cut out for a "good job" under any conditions .
many have to filter the ditch water and make it work .
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