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Old 10-20-2019, 11:16 AM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,788,932 times
Reputation: 9045

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Deja vú? We looks like we are at a confluence of bubbles... all the previous bubbles rolled into one.

Tech bubble 2.0
Real estate bubble 2.0
Student loan bubble
Auto loan bubble
National debt bubble

Any other bubbles I have missed? If history is any guide we all know that bubbles usually end VERY badly.

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Old 10-20-2019, 12:27 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,112,201 times
Reputation: 18603
There is no bubble. Urban real estate is going up in many major cities. That is unlikely to ever reverse.

There is no bubble in tech either, at least not the way it was. As opposed to the way it was in the late 90s, investment money is hard to come by.

I cannot see where SF has any specific connection to student loans, auto loans or the national debt.
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Old 10-20-2019, 02:22 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,575,805 times
Reputation: 22639
Here is OP over five years ago in 2014:

Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
MASSIVE bubble that is going to have an astronomical collapse soon
So by bubble about to collapse can we assume that means an ongoing state of collapse that can constantly be referred to as "soon" no matter how many years it takes for the bubble to pop? How long is the grace period on saying bubble, 10 years, 20 years, 100 years?
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Old 10-20-2019, 03:25 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,112,201 times
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I guess if you get one good idea every 5 years it is tough to let it go when it proves to be wrong.
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Old 10-20-2019, 03:44 PM
 
Location: 0.83 Atmospheres
11,477 posts, read 11,559,641 times
Reputation: 11981
Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
Here is OP over five years ago in 2014:



So by bubble about to collapse can we assume that means an ongoing state of collapse that can constantly be referred to as "soon" no matter how many years it takes for the bubble to pop? How long is the grace period on saying bubble, 10 years, 20 years, 100 years?
Hahaha. I guess if you scream bubble long enough, eventually you’ll be right. Imagine how much money the OP has cost himself by staying out of the market for the past 5 years.
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Old 10-20-2019, 04:18 PM
 
Location: Wartrace,TN
8,065 posts, read 12,779,194 times
Reputation: 16496
My thought is the city will become less desirable when the service workers are forced to leave. Can government workers afford to live in a city with 1,000,000 studio apartments? How about food service workers? "Subsidized housing" seems like an idea however taxpayers end up subsidizing employers that will not/can not pay workers a living wage. Look at the bicycle shop owners in the video; they seem to be needing to move due to rent escalation. No; they didn't say it in so many words but they implied it.
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Old 10-20-2019, 05:12 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,112,201 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wartrace View Post
....... Look at the bicycle shop owners in the video; they seem to be needing to move due to rent escalation. No; they didn't say it in so many words but they implied it.
You are probably right, rents are high where the shop is located. I would also guess it is a really poor location for a bike shop. They are located almost dead center in the Civic Center area. I think I would have picked a location near residential areas.
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Old 10-20-2019, 06:35 PM
 
17,310 posts, read 22,046,867 times
Reputation: 29648
Quote:
Originally Posted by jrkliny View Post
There is no bubble. Urban real estate is going up in many major cities. That is unlikely to ever reverse.

.

NYC real estate is choking right now...........granted it is still way higher than other big cities but the writing is on the wall that we are peaking again.
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Old 10-20-2019, 07:05 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
4,627 posts, read 3,395,314 times
Reputation: 6148
Quote:
Originally Posted by City Guy997S View Post
NYC real estate is choking right now...........granted it is still way higher than other big cities but the writing is on the wall that we are peaking again.
Real estate is always cyclical. Doesn't mean the market is in bubble territory though....
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Old 10-20-2019, 09:08 PM
 
7,899 posts, read 7,112,201 times
Reputation: 18603
Quote:
Originally Posted by City Guy997S View Post
NYC real estate is choking right now...........granted it is still way higher than other big cities but the writing is on the wall that we are peaking again.
Don't count on ever seeing NYC real estate prices lower than they are now. The population keeps growing but the island of Manhattan is not getting any bigger.
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