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Old 05-10-2020, 10:27 AM
 
332 posts, read 174,030 times
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fertility, life, sex itself is down.
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Old 05-10-2020, 10:43 AM
 
232 posts, read 180,411 times
Reputation: 333
This crisis will weed out businesses that weren't doing well to begin with. Things will go back to normal within the next year. People will travel again, go to sporting events again, etc. Its not going to happen the next day but it will happen. I don't believe entire industries will disappear because of this.
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Old 05-10-2020, 11:01 AM
 
Location: Niceville, FL
13,258 posts, read 22,836,872 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Serious Conversation View Post
This may be a bit premature, but I don't see a lot of the marginal chain restaurants making it out of this.
A lot of the chains also have issues at the corporate level- they're over-leveraged, their business model is high volume to make up for low margins (the prices on their specials are often the same or cheaper than they were twenty years ago, and you can only cut quality so much even in America) or their customer base has moved on to other places and they're throwing a bunch of stuff up against the wall to see what sticks. I mean Applebee's has been trying to reinvent itself every 2-3 years since about 2005 but none of the concepts seem to make it long term.

Cheesecake Factory isn't paying its rent right now

https://www.insider.com/the-cheeseca...-strike-2020-3
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Old 05-10-2020, 11:43 AM
 
34,051 posts, read 17,064,521 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aredhel View Post

The hospitality industry has been hit hard, but will also recover more quickly than you expect. People still want to dine out and travel.

.
Doubt it.

Business, not casual travelers, drive hotel profits. Business pays list price or perhaps get 10-15% off, millions of casual travelers book Priceline or like sites, where hotel gets at most 50% of list, as PL gets a big cut.

Businesses will reduce travel sharply for years due to safety plus finding remote meetings worked well, with less cost.

That decimates hotel profits.

The rest of the OP's list is in dire condition for many years, also. Theatres are toast, as are most clubs and bars.
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Old 05-10-2020, 12:30 PM
 
6,632 posts, read 4,300,748 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raytodd View Post
fertility, life, sex itself is down.
I imagine sex is up - birth rates will follow.
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Old 05-10-2020, 01:54 PM
 
Location: Oregon, formerly Texas
10,065 posts, read 7,237,863 times
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Education. I think we'll see numerous universities go into financial exigency. Some will close. Big names. Like flagship state universities. They'll go under or shrink by 40-70%.

K-12 education too. They are getting ready to lay off hundreds of thousands. https://www.washingtonpost.com/educa...rloughs-begin/

Not to mention the future costs of a generation that missed 1-2 years of school.

State & local government will lay off hundreds of thousands. https://www.dallasnews.com/news/2020...r-departments/

https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-b...nomic-recovery

Libraries, arts, etc... it's all ashes.

Last edited by redguard57; 05-10-2020 at 02:04 PM..
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Old 05-10-2020, 03:28 PM
 
332 posts, read 174,030 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lizap View Post
I imagine sex is up - birth rates will follow.
with bars closed and clubs closed. Doubtful
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Old 05-10-2020, 03:40 PM
 
Location: Saint John, IN
11,582 posts, read 6,735,357 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raytodd View Post
with bars closed and clubs closed. Doubtful
Seriously? You think people only have sex after they go to a bar? You must be young. I guess if you're single with no significant other you can see it this way; however, most have been on stay at-home orders the last 2 months WITH their significant others. What do you think people are doing at home? There will definitely be a boom in babies in 7-10 months from now, I'm sure!
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Old 05-10-2020, 04:37 PM
 
13,284 posts, read 8,452,873 times
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The business's that are forward thinking, innovative with equity will consider this the edge they need. Think about it. Appease the Mass's, brings more funds. All while meeting the social requirement for health safety.

We've already seen the transitioning start.
Here's the bottom line, no matter what direction it goes...the consumer will pay up! Economically I'm not ready to line the Masters pockets.
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Old 05-10-2020, 05:37 PM
 
Location: TN/NC
35,066 posts, read 31,293,790 times
Reputation: 47534
Quote:
Originally Posted by BobNJ1960 View Post
Doubt it.

Business, not casual travelers, drive hotel profits. Business pays list price or perhaps get 10-15% off, millions of casual travelers book Priceline or like sites, where hotel gets at most 50% of list, as PL gets a big cut.

Businesses will reduce travel sharply for years due to safety plus finding remote meetings worked well, with less cost.

That decimates hotel profits.

The rest of the OP's list is in dire condition for many years, also. Theatres are toast, as are most clubs and bars.
While individual bars will close, the basic desire of people wanting to drink with other people isn't going away. Once the virus fades and people don't fear getting infected, bars will be back.
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