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Old 08-13-2020, 06:48 PM
 
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Can the United States switch to a less Service (80%) based economy ?

How viable is an 80% service economy for the future?
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Old 08-13-2020, 07:01 PM
 
Location: Bangkok
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Someone could have asked how viable an industrial based economy after it supplanted agriculture. The world changes, it's entirely possible to have a primarily services based economy that flourishes.
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Old 08-13-2020, 07:10 PM
 
Location: Sacramento County
156 posts, read 83,801 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
Someone could have asked how viable an industrial based economy after it supplanted agriculture. The world changes, it's entirely possible to have a primarily services based economy that flourishes.
Funny how it's taking the working class down, not up. The fantasy bicycle meets the reality freight train.
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Old 08-13-2020, 08:10 PM
 
5,449 posts, read 2,304,152 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lieqiang View Post
Someone could have asked how viable an industrial based economy after it supplanted agriculture. The world changes, it's entirely possible to have a primarily services based economy that flourishes.


It seems like COVID-19 has shown us vulnerabilities of a service based economy to future problems like climate change. A service economy at 80% may not be sustainable in the future.
Even now retail is in a sorry state and even before this virus was taking heavy loses to online buying


Agriculture and Industry produce things, service doesn't
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Old 08-13-2020, 08:51 PM
 
Location: Flyover part of Virginia
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As we near limits of growth and debt expansion, America's service-sector, consumer-based bubble economy will no longer be viable. We will be forced to transition to an economy based on producing real things. This transition will be tremendously painful and costly.
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Old 08-13-2020, 09:10 PM
 
1,519 posts, read 512,826 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbenson View Post
Can the United States switch to a less Service (80%) based economy ?

How viable is an 80% service economy for the future?
It's not viable and never has been.
And no, coming back to industrial economy is no longer possible here.
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Old 08-13-2020, 10:20 PM
 
Location: We_tside PNW (Columbia Gorge) / CO / SA TX / Thailand
31,624 posts, read 52,099,875 times
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Originally Posted by kanonka View Post
It's not viable and never has been.
And no, coming back to industrial economy is no longer possible here.
Plan D ?? Ag, Industrial, Service, BTDT... next?...(?)

Got it!

USA Medical innovation, proficiency, and cost effectiveness to lead the world!

or...

USA superior Education methods and academic and social benefit results

or

Working together as a stronger nation!

We (USA) have a lot of potential.
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Old 08-13-2020, 11:26 PM
 
1,519 posts, read 512,826 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StealthRabbit View Post
Plan D ?? Ag, Industrial, Service, BTDT... next?...(?)

Got it!

USA Medical innovation, proficiency, and cost effectiveness to lead the world!

or...

USA superior Education methods and academic and social benefit results

or

Working together as a stronger nation!

We (USA) have a lot of potential.
Don't even start with me on domestic medicine. It's in such a deep s..thole that it became probably worst in the world.

On a realistic side though I guess the only solution is automation/robotics. That's the only area where USA still leads (although by a very tiny margin), and it is the future of the industry anyway. Yes, if all resources would be poured into this we still can survive. Otherwise - well, 3rd world countries still live somehow, right?

On another hand, full automation/robotics will lead to the situation when most people are just not needed. So we are facing either serious political change towards socialism-like structure, or simple social Darwinism where most people will just die "naturally" from starvation and homelessness. Something tells me that domestic establishment will choose the latter - provided, of course, there will be no revolution.
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Old 08-13-2020, 11:48 PM
 
10,521 posts, read 4,594,849 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbenson View Post
How viable is an 80% service economy for the future?
It'll be viable as long as comparative advantage makes it worthwhile to import manufactured goods instead of making them ourselves. The U.S. excels in the service sector because there are high value, high expertise services we can export, and consume domestically, that no one else does or not as well.
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Old 08-14-2020, 04:44 AM
 
Location: The Triad (NC)
33,165 posts, read 77,721,901 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbenson View Post
Can the United States switch to a less Service (80%) based economy ?
Can the US do something about having so many people who can't do more than low level service jobs?
We better figure that one out real soon.

Then comes the higher level service jobs.
eg: For each Million fewer in total ... how many fewer <whatever> are needed to 'service' them?
Dentists f'rinstance... @1600-2000 patients per... per 1M fewer people= ~575 fewer dentists

Last edited by MrRational; 08-14-2020 at 05:32 AM..
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