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Old 06-13-2021, 10:29 AM
 
4,698 posts, read 4,070,383 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by C2BP View Post
Treasury yields are falling since March. Just look at the global bond market......multi-month lows all around. Global economy has been PERMANENTLY DAMAGED and this INFLATION HYSTERIA will pass soon. Transitory inflation isn’t real inflation. It’s all transitory price behavior created by Speculators.
Bond yields represent expected future interest rates, not inflation and the fed has said they are going to keep it low for years. In addition the fed is buying treasuries and so are pension funds who are required to buy bonds. Low bond yields do not mean low inflation.

Also, speculators are driving the price up?! That is the same kind of reasoning we get from socialist leaders such as Maduro. The real reason is too much demand due to excessive growth in money supply.
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Old 06-13-2021, 10:29 AM
 
Location: Gods country
8,103 posts, read 6,745,378 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
most of it is low inventory vs an economy opening up supply chain issues .... likely a temporary situation .
I’m in the middle of a major house renovation and just about every vendor that I’m doing business with is saying that these increased prices are here to stay.
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Old 06-13-2021, 10:38 AM
 
9,434 posts, read 4,248,521 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Above Average Bear View Post
I’m in the middle of a major house renovation and just about every vendor that I’m doing business with is saying that these increased prices are here to stay.
It’s a mixed bag. Lumber is forecasted down, steel up. Your contractors have a reason to sing that song to you.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/finance...210144368.html
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnb...h-prices-.html
Labor costs are market driven.
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Old 06-13-2021, 10:43 AM
 
18,803 posts, read 8,462,725 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Good4Nothin View Post
When have the prices of anything ever gone down? Not in my lifetime.
Pistachio nuts!
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Old 06-13-2021, 11:41 AM
 
106,571 posts, read 108,713,667 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Good4Nothin View Post
When have the prices of anything ever gone down? Not in my lifetime.
Are you forgetting oil at a 140 a barrel more than a decade ago …
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Old 06-13-2021, 01:08 PM
 
Location: Gods country
8,103 posts, read 6,745,378 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by foodyum View Post
It’s a mixed bag. Lumber is forecasted down, steel up. Your contractors have a reason to sing that song to you.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/finance...210144368.html
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnb...h-prices-.html
Labor costs are market driven.
I’m guessing that’s location dependent? My area is seeing a building and renovation boom. Houses are going for 10, 20, 50K over asking. I just paid 11 over asking for a 3000 square foot ranch that I need to put 150-200k into. It’s going to be over the top though and worth at least 75k more than the purchase and renovation prices. I’ll sell it myself as a ham sandwich can sell a house in this market in my area
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Old 06-13-2021, 01:53 PM
 
23,177 posts, read 12,202,565 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1insider View Post
The rise in used car prices really distorted the reported number.

If AirBnB rents were in the index, inflation would be double digits. Vacation rental prices, because of the dynamic pricing algorithm being used by most hosts now, have exploded. Anyone who hasn't priced a vacation rental recently is in for a nasty surprise.

I have and I'm just not going to pay it. We were thinking about a trip to the Keys last month, instead we went to Cozumel where prices are stable and we can get a decent room for $50-60/nt.
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Old 06-13-2021, 03:04 PM
 
1,766 posts, read 1,222,543 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Camlon View Post
Bond yields represent expected future interest rates, not inflation and the fed has said they are going to keep it low for years. In addition the fed is buying treasuries and so are pension funds who are required to buy bonds. Low bond yields do not mean low inflation.

Also, speculators are driving the price up?! That is the same kind of reasoning we get from socialist leaders such as Maduro. The real reason is too much demand due to excessive growth in money supply.
A calm look at the global economy sees many black clouds hovering over the global village. Global economy recovery is a dream illusion. RECESSION is at hand, NOT REFLATION. Giving away money in the form of COVID relief is, like repressed interest rates or ZIRP, a stalling mechanism. Speculation has driven up prices, and interest rates too, but is REAL DEMAND driving prices up or is it merely speculator's money?

Yes, shortages are real, COVID has kept people from working, but if COVID is going to be rendered harmless by jabs, then those shortages SHOULD begin to disappear. And perceived red hot demand also.

We will see lower rates and interest rate suppression will continue. Deflation is what makes FED Knuckleheads awake at night, NOT Inflation.
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Old 06-13-2021, 03:29 PM
 
1,766 posts, read 1,222,543 times
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Lumber Prices Post Biggest–Ever Weekly Drop
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...buyers-balking
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Old 06-13-2021, 04:26 PM
 
10,864 posts, read 6,464,793 times
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WAGES would not come down,employer should not speak with fork tongue.
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