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Huntsman has already abandoned Iowa to focus on New Hampshire, so his performance on Tuesday won't matter.
Santorum looks to be surging and will out-perform recent expectations, she he should be safe.
There is a suggestion of a recent Perry mini-surge, so my guess is he'll stay in, especially if he can manage to finish ahead of Gingrich.
Gingrich has collapsed from front-runner status to, possibly, fourth, fifth or even sixth place. If the latter, he may have to pack it in.
Bachmann looks like she'll finish ahead of only Huntsman, who isn't even trying. All her eggs are in the Iowa basket and she's about done. She's my pick -- she'll bail Tuesday night or Wednesday, unless she can manage to climb above Gingrich.
After NH, bachman and huntsman will likely drop out, although bachman is really egotistical, so she might stay in for a few more weeks..
the only exception i think, is if Paul wins Iowa by 10% or more...
If that happens, I'm sure there will be some deals made by the lower tier candidates, to have say like bachman , perry drop out and endorse Santorum, or vice versa... "anyone but Paul and Romney- candidate"
Bachman is done, she has staff joining the Paul campaign and she had no surge since getting Randy Travis to play for her straw poll victory. Then she had a event with Rep King that drew 12 people mostly from the cafe across the street. And here was his ringing endorsement :
Quote:
King has not endorsed anybody in the GOP primary so far, and he said Friday that he was appearing with Bachmann just as a “great friend.”
Bachman is done, she has staff joining the Paul campaign and she had no surge since getting Randy Travis to play for her straw poll victory. Then she had a event with Rep King that drew 12 people mostly from the cafe across the street. And here was his ringing endorsement :
Dude showed up just to say what a great friend, LMAO
Yeah, ever since she peaked in August it's pretty much been a free-fall for Bachmann. And with Santorum surging and Perry having a bit of a bump, they're really eating into the part of the base she needs. If she can't finish above anyone but Huntsman, who long ago abandoned Iowa, she's done.
Huntsman is not even planning to do well in Iowa. Regardless of what happens in Iowa, he's staying in the race. I can see him dropping out if he places any lower than third in New Hampshire, but doing well in Iowa is simply not something he's concerned about. I'm surprised anybody who has been following the race so far doesn't realize that and thinks he'll drop out after Iowa.
Huntsman is not even planning to do well in Iowa. Regardless of what happens in Iowa, he's staying in the race. I can see him dropping out if he places any lower than third in New Hampshire, but doing well in Iowa is simply not something he's concerned about. I'm surprised anybody who has been following the race so far doesn't realize that and thinks he'll drop out after Iowa.
As opposed to Bachmann who bet the farm on doing well in Iowa. Hence, she is winning the poll.
I think Huntsman is testing the waters this go around and I think he'll stay in as long as he can to get a good feel for everything.
It's sad though. Jon Huntsman is probably the guy with the broadest appeal to all Americans. Had the GOP taken him seriously, he'd be very big threat to Obama. And he's great on the issues across the board IMHO.
As opposed to Bachmann who bet the farm on doing well in Iowa. Hence, she is winning the poll.
I think Huntsman is testing the waters this go around and I think he'll stay in as long as he can to get a good feel for everything.
It's sad though. Jon Huntsman is probably the guy with the broadest appeal to all Americans. Had the GOP taken him seriously, he'd be very big threat to Obama. And he's great on the issues across the board IMHO.
Huntsman is not even planning to do well in Iowa. Regardless of what happens in Iowa, he's staying in the race. I can see him dropping out if he places any lower than third in New Hampshire, but doing well in Iowa is simply not something he's concerned about. I'm surprised anybody who has been following the race so far doesn't realize that and thinks he'll drop out after Iowa.
Yep. Huntsman, along with Romney and Paul, is all but certain not to drop out until after New Hampshire. The other four could conceivably fail badly enough that it's over.
It would be amusing if the Santorum surge and the Perry bump peel so much support from Bachmann that she manages to finish behind Huntsman, dead last.
Well, most poll respondents were spot-on picking Bachmann to pack it in.
Not sure what the Huntsman and Santorum respondents were thinking, though ...
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