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Poll: Romney holds big lead over Gingrich in Florida - Florida - MiamiHerald.com (http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/01/28/v-fullstory/2613266/poll-romney-holds-big-lead-over.html - broken link)
Although Obama seems to be doing better in national polls against Romney, that doesn't seem to be the trend in Florida - even though it's where the Romney vs. Newt catfight is currently centered.
Poll: Romney holds big lead over Gingrich in Florida - Florida - MiamiHerald.com (http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/01/28/v-fullstory/2613266/poll-romney-holds-big-lead-over.html - broken link)
Although Obama seems to be doing better in national polls against Romney, that doesn't seem to be the trend in Florida - even though it's where the Romney vs. Newt catfight is currently centered.
Of course Romney is stumping all over the state for the past few days and has been running tons of ads where as Obama hasn't really started the general election campaign yet, though offices are starting to open (we just had the Obama office in my town in NC open up about a week ago). What I think is interesting though is while Romney has closed up shop in NH and IA, Obama still has a strong presence there.
Of course Romney is stumping all over the state for the past few days and has been running tons of ads where as Obama hasn't really started the general election campaign yet, though offices are starting to open (we just had the Obama office in my town in NC open up about a week ago). What I think is interesting though is while Romney has closed up shop in NH and IA, Obama still has a strong presence there.
Oblama doesn't have a prayer in Florida, or any other swing state. He has to run on his record of failure this time.
Oblama doesn't have a prayer in Florida, or any other swing state. He has to run on his record of failure this time.
My prediction is somewhere in between yours and randomstudent's. Interestingly enough, based on your posts, I think you two are probably both more partisan than me. I wonder why my view is in between?
He was up by 5 points in that poll - I hardly think a one point difference is significant.
My point is that he's doing well in more than one poll in Florida, better than he was in polls several weeks ago.
With his heavy campaigning there he should be going up not down. The fact that he is within the margin of error and falling when the economy is starting to perk and Obama has yet to strike should be very worrisome to you. Not only that, the real measure, his likability, has fallen off the cliff vis-a-vis the President. Romney is going to lose...
He was up by 5 points in that poll - I hardly think a one point difference is significant.
My point is that he's doing well in more than one poll in Florida, better than he was in polls several weeks ago.
Polls are bouncing around a bit, in the last few days you also have a Quinnipiac poll in FL showing a tie, and a NBC/Marist poll showing Obama up by 8.
Florida has been one of the hardest hit states by the housing crisis and the economy overall. Obama is not all that popular there. It is going to be tough for him in Florida even with the large numbers of registered democrats.
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