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Old 04-14-2012, 04:36 PM
 
8,263 posts, read 12,242,262 times
Reputation: 4802

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Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
Mitt Romney, who the media has been telling us has the nomination all but wrapped up, turns out to have a tiny problem. He's WAY short on delegates and there is just about no way he can catch up to get the minimum he needs.
Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
Huh? He can't win without the minimum. He needs at least a minimum number of delegates. The reason he won't win easily is that RON PAUL has all the delegates he needs.
Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
What? Did you read the thread and the MSM article? That is EXACTLY what is going to happen. He's going to the convention without enough delegates.
Why don't you take your own advice and read the article you posted, they are not saying he can't get to the minimum for the convention. They are talking about needing 80% to 90% to clinch by May 29th in Texas. After Texas comes seven more states including California with 172 on the line. Here you go:


"There are five contests on April 24th with 219 delegates at stake; but even if Romney won every single delegate that day he would be far short of 1,144. Wyoming and Missouri are holding conventions before April 24th where Romney may pick up some delegates but even winning all of them wouldn't bring him much closer to the magic number.

Looking ahead, Romney would need to win about 80 percent of the delegates available in the April and May events to possibly clinch on May 29th when Texas holds its primary with 152 delegates at stake. If Romney won 90 percent of the delegates in April and through May 22nd he may still come up short of the 1,144 and need delegates from Texas' primary on May 29th.
"
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Old 04-14-2012, 04:42 PM
 
8,263 posts, read 12,242,262 times
Reputation: 4802
Quote:
Originally Posted by shorebaby View Post
Lol, re read your link. The peice picked the date of May 29th, before the Texas primary, and with more yet to go. Keep dreaming, the nomination is Mitt's. Practice saying President Romney.
Quote:
Originally Posted by michiganmoon View Post
emilybh's little problem: her article assumes Romney will win, it is just looking to see if he can win before the June primaries, rather than waiting and wasting more money on Republican foes.
Exactly. It is fairly comical situation if you think about it... someone who constantly says the mainstream media shouldn't be trusted and doesn't understand how to count delegates is telling others to look at this mainstream media article about delegate counts as proof of something, but it doesn't even say what she thinks it does. Her typing "yay" is icing on the cake.
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Old 04-14-2012, 06:58 PM
 
Location: Hoboken
19,890 posts, read 18,812,554 times
Reputation: 3146
Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
Ok. Here it is on MSNBC just a few days ago the 1:40 min mark..
MSNBC - Ron Paul has won a lot of Delegates? - YouTube
How often do you need the math spelled out for you? Actually your post argues against a brokered convention. This guy is saying a brokered convention is unlikely because the next highest delegate total is Ron Paul. In any event Romney will all but sweep the remaining states. Paul is his only opponent now. The lefty loons really need to practice. Repeat after me President Romney.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Republican Delegate Count

Last edited by shorebaby; 04-14-2012 at 07:22 PM..
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Old 04-14-2012, 07:03 PM
 
487 posts, read 384,419 times
Reputation: 160
Wow! I must hand it to Paul supporters! You guys are in it to the very end! Romney will get the nomination. We're only halfway through the primary and there's still California, Texas and New York... Romney is essentially the last man standing and will ultimately sweep every primary from now until the convention.

If he doesnt become the Republican nominee, I will personally buy everyone on this thread a new car...
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Old 04-14-2012, 08:04 PM
 
Location: By The Beach In Maine
30,566 posts, read 23,987,526 times
Reputation: 39232
Quote:
Originally Posted by ajs0503 View Post
Wow! I must hand it to Paul supporters! You guys are in it to the very end! Romney will get the nomination. We're only halfway through the primary and there's still California, Texas and New York... Romney is essentially the last man standing and will ultimately sweep every primary from now until the convention.

If he doesnt become the Republican nominee, I will personally buy everyone on this thread a new car...
::begins internet shopping for new car::
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Old 04-14-2012, 08:37 PM
 
3,265 posts, read 3,209,373 times
Reputation: 1440
Quote:
Originally Posted by ajs0503 View Post
Wow! I must hand it to Paul supporters! You guys are in it to the very end!

Cult of Personality - Living Colour - YouTube
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Old 04-14-2012, 08:54 PM
 
Location: SC
9,101 posts, read 16,521,386 times
Reputation: 3621
Quote:
Originally Posted by Three Wolves In Snow View Post
Those articles are all speculation and rumors, not fact. Yawn.
Yes and they are all from MSM sources as credible as they may not be.
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Old 04-14-2012, 09:04 PM
 
26,740 posts, read 15,301,549 times
Reputation: 14858
Quote:
Originally Posted by walidm View Post
How is Romney going to pull this off if he consistently struggles to get his poll numbers above 44%?
You honestly think that Romney can't get 60% of the delegates left?

Tune in on April 24th and watch Romney most likely sweep Connecticut (28), Rhode Island (19), and Delaware (17). Then watch him get the solid majority of New York (95) and win Pennsylvania (72).

This then gives Romney more momentum and he starts piling up bigger and bigger wins - especially in June.

I realize that this is your first presidential election that you have followed, but it is common sense that when the biggest challenger throws in the towel it helps the guy on top.
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Old 04-14-2012, 09:06 PM
 
473 posts, read 401,976 times
Reputation: 51
Quote:
Originally Posted by NewToCA View Post
If it makes you feel any better, now that Santorum has dropped out I think that of the remaining candidates Paul may actually finish in second place.

However, Romney is going to have the nomination by a wide margin, absolutely no doubt about it.
Romney won't make it to 1144 delegates. He will lose to Ron Paul on the second ballot.
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Old 04-14-2012, 10:33 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,964,787 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by Born to Run View Post
Romney won't make it to 1144 delegates. He will lose to Ron Paul on the second ballot.
What color is the sky in your world?
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