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Dont forget though, all of the popular vote polls are based upon registered voters so far, but as we get closer to election time they start to poll most likely voters, and that changes the demographics of the results.
Dont forget though, all of the popular vote polls are based upon registered voters so far, but as we get closer to election time they start to poll most likely voters, and that changes the demographics of the results.
And that the vast majority of undecided go to the challenger.
Dont forget though, all of the popular vote polls are based upon registered voters so far, but as we get closer to election time they start to poll most likely voters, and that changes the demographics of the results.
Likely voter polls when you get closer in actually don't change it all that much in a Presidential year, you see more of the gap in the midterms. Also when you are further out you see more of a variance with the likely voter polls because its tougher to see who is a likely voter 6 months out than a few weeks out.
Give Ohio, FL, MO, IA, VA and NC to Romney, all the other toss-ups to Obama...and Romney wins.
Thank you, I'm so sick of people giving Obama the swing states by default and acting like its Romney's burden to win them. They're called swing states for a reason!
Thank you, I'm so sick of people giving Obama the swing states by default and acting like its Romney's burden to win them. They're called swing states for a reason!
While they might be called swing states for a reason, some of them tend to lean more one way than the other.
For example considering Obama has led in 7 of the last 9 polls in Virginia and each of the last 10 polls in Ohio, I think its safe to say Obama has the advantage there at this point. In Florida, at this point its pretty much dead even, the last 8 polls show Obama leading in 4, and Romney leading in 4.
Obviously things can change as we are 5 and a half months out, however at this point Obama has an easier path to 270 than Romney does
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