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This change comes in spite of relatively level support for the president among
Independents at +9, compared to +11 from the April poll. Instead the movement comes
from a drop in the support he receives from within his own party. 21% of Democrats said
that they preferred Romney in the presidential race, up from 12% in April.
Obama has also lost ground among both Hispanics and whites. With Hispanics, a group
that Obama must win by large margins in several competitive states this year, Obama has
gone from a 37 point lead to a 22 point lead.
PPP also examined the race with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in the mix. He
draws 13% of voters, while reducing Obama’s lead further to +4. While among partisan[/LEFT]
voters Johnson only takes a significant share of Republicans, he
[LEFT]
1) If Governor Martinez is on the ticket (not that I think she will be), the race is statistically tied in NM.
2) Gary Johnson actually helps Romney in NM.
3) Obama's approval is only 48% in NM.
4) More New Mexicans oppose than support Obama's move to stop deporting young illegals who attend college or serve in the military.
And this is PPP - a pollster that has been far more favorable to Obama/Democrats than most others this cycle. And, when you look at the internals in this poll, they seem to have oversampled Democrats and oversampled Hispanics.
This is good news. It sounds like people are realizing how dangerous this man has become, bypassing the checks and balance system to get what he wants (votes).
It's also a little scary though. Who hasn't he paid off yet for votes. He has to be getting desperate. What will his next move be?
1) If Governor Martinez is on the ticket (not that I think she will be), the race is statistically tied in NM.
2) Gary Johnson actually helps Romney in NM.
3) Obama's approval is only 48% in NM.
4) More New Mexicans oppose than support Obama's move to stop deporting young illegals who attend college or serve in the military.
And this is PPP - a pollster that has been far more favorable to Obama/Democrats than most others this cycle. And, when you look at the internals in this poll, they seem to have oversampled Democrats and oversampled Hispanics.
#4 is pretty shocking but the more I think of it not so much. New Mexicos Hispanics are primarily long settled they have as much to lose from the waves of illegals as anyone else.
Another solidly liberal state slipping away from Bo.
I would offer that a marginally competent democrat would have had no problem winning in 2012. Obama is Jimmy Carter II, just as McCain said.
New Mexico isn't solidly liberal I believe Bush won both states. However the media has had New Mexico in Obama's tally for awhile and he still may end up winning. However this poll out of the many that have come out is probably causing some angst in Chicago.
Obama's entire reelection campaign strategy is to win the swing states out West ( New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada) and hold on to the reliably Democrat states on the coasts to counter the defecting whites in the Midwest. If the race in New Mexico, the nation's most Hispanic state, is tightening it calls into questions the assumptions that the pundits are making about Colorado and Nevada, which are less Hispanic and in the case of Nevada heavily Mormon.
Dire days in camp Obama which shows in the silly charges they are leveling against Romney.
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