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Old 08-15-2012, 03:26 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,371,439 times
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http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-c...ug15_Final.pdf

Romney/Ryan also lead Obama/Biden in the "purple states" as a whole. The "purple states" according to Purple Strategies include the deep red states of Minnesota, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania.

Moreover, just 43% of respondents in the purple states as a whole approve of Obama's job performance. And - oh my - Obama's favorability is slipping too. His net favorability is underwater in this poll and a greater percentage of respondents have an unfavorable view of him than they do of Romney.

Last edited by afoigrokerkok; 08-15-2012 at 03:53 PM..
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:29 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,884,784 times
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Excellent!

Pretty soon Obama the petulant little child is going to have a meltdown of epic proportions. He's never had to face a situation where people don't swoon over him, agree with him, and hand him everything he's achieved in life on a silver platter.

CAN'T WAIT!!!!
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:31 PM
 
Location: SARASOTA, FLORIDA
11,486 posts, read 15,226,726 times
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I am seeing so much excitement.

And it will continue to grow.

Record numbers of new registration from many groups who are going for Romney-Ryan.

The only way Obama can win is to get Acorn back up and running and get his illegal criminals a way to vote.
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:52 PM
 
Location: Norman, OK
3,478 posts, read 7,219,237 times
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11-point advantage for Romney-Ryan with independents! Wow.

But, there is still other interesting results here favorable to the President. Voters in almost all states believe that Obama/Biden will 'protect' Medicare. However, the plurality believe that the Romney/Ryan plan will reduce deficit and help Medicare. A bit contradictory, but this is an opening for both camps. If Romney/Ryan can convince voters they have the goods and that Medicare will be safe and saved, they can win handily. If Obama/Biden can convince voters that the GOP wants to destroy Medicare, then they could win.
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:54 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,371,439 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
If Obama/Biden can convince voters that the GOP wants to destroy Medicare, then they could win.
Which is why the Romney campaign has GOT to define Ryan IMMEDIATELY. They really dropped the ball and let Obama initially define Romney as an evil greedy rich outsourcer. It's going to be far easier for them to turn that around than it will be to turn around any definition of Ryan as someone who wants to "throw Granny off the cliff."
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:56 PM
 
24,319 posts, read 26,656,107 times
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This website has been the most accurate in predicting elections:

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
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Old 08-15-2012, 03:57 PM
 
5,787 posts, read 4,685,317 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
If Romney/Ryan can convince voters they have the goods and that Medicare will be safe and saved, they can win handily. If Obama/Biden can convince voters that the GOP wants to destroy Medicare, then they could win.

Methinks Romney/Ryan have the already proven advantage in that respect:


According to a Gallup poll in 2011: seniors actually liked Ryan’s plan best :

Quote:
A new Gallup/USA Today poll contains a counterintuitive finding: the age group most receptive to House Budget Chair Paul Ryan‘s plan to deal with the budget – seniors.

The poll finds 48 percent of seniors (those 65 and over) support Ryan’s plan over President Obama‘s plan, while 42 percent back the president.

That’s the highest total among the age groups tested – a 47 percent plurality between the ages of 50 and 64 backed Ryan, and a 45 percent plurality of those between 30-49 backed Ryan.

Rasmussen Reports reminds us that a July survey showed Ryan’s favorability as mainly positive, albeit with a significant number of likely voters who need more time to make up their minds:
Mitt Romney announced this morning that Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan will be his running mate.

Earlier polling found that 39% of all voters had a favorable opinion of Ryan, while 25% offered a negative review. Thirty-five percent (35%) express no opinion of Ryan. The congressman is relatively unknown to the nation at large. Only a third of voters have a strong opinion in either direction.


Wisconsin is a state both sides consider key to the presidential election. Right now, President Obama has a modest three-point lead over Romney in the state, and it remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

[Note: this was written this past weekend)

Scott Rasmussen has explained why Romney’s roll-out of his vice presidential pick is as important as the choice itself. “Most Americans will learn all they know about the new name on the ticket during the week the candidate is introduced,” he wrote in a recent newspaper column. While 69% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Ryan, 42% of voters not affiliated with either major political party have no opinion of him one way or the other at this point.


Let’s take a look at the demos from that July poll. What leaps out from that survey is that Ryan actually does better among independents than any of the other presumed short-listers, save Condoleezza Rice, who wasn’t really shortlisted at all. Among unaffiliated voters, Ryan scores a 36/22 favorability, compared to 31/29 for Bobby Jindal, 26/28 for Tim Pawlenty, and a dismal 15/16 for Rob Portman. (Rice was 63/19 among indies.) Ryan also scores best among women, albeit with a narrow 29/25 edge.


For even more counterintuitive results, look at Ryan’s standing among seniors. Despite the attacks on Ryan over his budget plan, he’s easily the most liked of the short-listers among likely voters 65 years of age and over, with a 52/29 favorability rating. His “very favorable” rating of 31% in the 65+ group is more than 10 points better than the other shortlisters in the Rasmussen survey
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Old 08-15-2012, 04:06 PM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,808,652 times
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this is a normal bump when a vp is named. mccain led obama after the palin announcement for a couple weeks until people learned about palin.

you all see any poll with romney leading and jump on it, and never understand why the numbers are the way they are.

voters know nothing about ryan, and his numbers can only drop as time goes on, they wont increase.
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Old 08-15-2012, 04:15 PM
 
Location: Columbia, SC
36,615 posts, read 18,582,601 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-c...ug15_Final.pdf

Romney/Ryan also lead Obama/Biden in the "purple states" as a whole. The "purple states" according to Purple Strategies include the deep red states of Minnesota, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania.

Moreover, just 43% of respondents in the purple states as a whole approve of Obama's job performance. And - oh my - Obama's favorability is slipping too. His net favorability is underwater in this poll and a greater percentage of respondents have an unfavorable view of him than they do of Romney.
it is most interesting to read about who owns Purple Strategies.

Media advisor to the Bush and Romney campaigns? I can see where he would produce a non-biased poll.

Alex Castellanos - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 08-15-2012, 04:22 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,311,189 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok View Post
http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-c...ug15_Final.pdf

Romney/Ryan also lead Obama/Biden in the "purple states" as a whole. The "purple states" according to Purple Strategies include the deep red states of Minnesota, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania.

Moreover, just 43% of respondents in the purple states as a whole approve of Obama's job performance. And - oh my - Obama's favorability is slipping too. His net favorability is underwater in this poll and a greater percentage of respondents have an unfavorable view of him than they do of Romney.
Good news. Obama's campaign of division and hate can only go so far.
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