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WaPo/ABC poll shows no change in race from before convention
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Maybe this will stop the silly post-convention panic among Republicans. When the Washington Post/ABC poll tells you there’s been no convention bump for Barack Obama, you can pretty much take that to the bank. Their latest survey shows the likely-voter split in the presidential race right where we found it a fortnight ago, with Obama up one single point over Mitt Romney — in a sample that favors the Democrats:
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We’re less than 60 days out. Registered-voter samples don’t mean much at this stage of the election; it’s likely voters that provide predictive data from surveys. They mean even less when only 26% in the sample are Republicans. The likely voter sample improves that by a point to 27%, but still has a D+6 D/R/I at 33/27/36. The 2010 midterms had a national turnout D/R/I of 35/35/30; the 2008 election was D+7 at 39/32/29. A GOP turnout of 27% would be among the worst ever in a presidential race, if not a record. Since enthusiasm measures in other surveys, notably Gallup’s, show an enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans, I’m not inclined to buy this poll’s likely-voter split as a model for this election.
Also, the internals for Obama even among RVs are hardly cheery. His job approval hasn’t budged since before the conventions. Three weeks ago, it was 47/50, and now it’s 48/50. On the economy, he went from 43/56 to 45/53. Among independents, Obama’s job approval is 45/50 with 37% strongly disapproving. That’s probably why Romney’s beating Obama among likely independent voters by eleven points, 54/43. Obama won independents by eight in 2008 on his way to a seven point victory overall. That’s a 19-point swing among independents.
In other words, the convention had no real impact at all on the race. That’s why I say “I told you so” in my column for The Week:
Romney is leading among Independents in this survey by 11 points. That's a huge thing folks! I really wish this would shut some of the the negative, whiny people in the Republican party up! They are not helpful!
IMHO, no matter who becomes President this November election, I don't see any immediate relief in sight for a better economic future, because we still won't have the right person sitting in the oval office for the next 4 years! "Mark my words"!
Don't you feel such selecting choice of data a self delusion? There are a set of polls.
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Originally Posted by dixiegirl7
WaPo/ABC poll shows no change in race from before convention
Romney is leading among Independents in this survey by 11 points. That's a huge thing folks! I really wish this would shut some of the the negative, whiny people in the Republican party up! They are not helpful!
WaPo/ABC poll shows no change in race from before convention
Romney is leading among Independents in this survey by 11 points. That's a huge thing folks! I really wish this would shut some of the the negative, whiny people in the Republican party up! They are not helpful!
Exactly!! Romney is doing great. I think some republicans are so afraid of the further destruction Obama would do if he was re-elected, that they want a reported comfort zone right now.
Rpublicans need to work together, get the message out, and make sure Romney is our next president.
Also, it is funny that obama barely received a jump in polls after the dnc. The left is sweating and reality is setting in for them and therefore their attacks are getting more vicious and outrageous.
Exactly!! Romney is doing great. I think some republicans are so afraid of the further destruction Obama would do if he was re-elected, that they want a reported comfort zone right now.
Rpublicans need to work together, get the message out, and make sure Romney is our next president.
Also, it is funny that obama barely received a jump in polls after the dnc. The left is sweating and reality is setting in for them and therefore their attacks are getting more vicious and outrageous.
WaPo/ABC poll shows no change in race from before convention
Romney is leading among Independents in this survey by 11 points. That's a huge thing folks! I really wish this would shut some of the the negative, whiny people in the Republican party up! They are not helpful!
Wow, I read your linked article and how you can spin that article as great news for Rmoney is laughable.
Here are some examples:
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among a wider sample of all registered voters, Obama holds an apparent edge, topping Romney at 50 percent to 44 percent, and has clear advantages on important issues in the campaign when compared with his rival.
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On 15 items, Obama has significant leads on eight, Romney on zero. Romney also no longer has the pre-convention advantages he held on dealing with the economy and what had been his best issue, handling the federal deficit.
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The president holds double-digit leads in areas of particular focus at his party’s convention, including addressing women’s issues (Obama leads Romney by 21 percentage points), advancing the interests of the middle class (15 points), and social issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage (11 points). Obama also has a fresh, albeit slender, lead on dealing with taxes.
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Three new questions emphasize the president’s advantage over Romney when it comes to personal attributes. By a margin of nearly 20 points, voters are more apt to say they would like to have Obama as a dinner guest, and the president also leads by double digits as the person voters would want to take care of them if they were sick and who they say would make a more loyal friend.
The figure shows Romney leading Obama among independent voters 54% to 40%!
AND, we all know it has been said that the independent voters will likely decide this race.
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