Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 10-27-2012, 08:49 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,436,658 times
Reputation: 6462

Advertisements

These polls are over the place

Minn Tribune MN:

Obama 47
Romney 44

Within the ME

If RCP drops off the oldest MN poll in its average, MN may shift to tossup on their map as a result.

 
Old 10-27-2012, 08:51 PM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,416,209 times
Reputation: 6388
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
That's fair but I go back to Ras and Gallup Party ID view of electorate if proven true, and with a large sample size the ME goes to 1, Obama is looking at a drubbing when you factor Independent shift.

We will see.
This article explains the party ID shift detected by those pollsters, and explains the ramifications very clearly. It is from a conservative publisher, National Review, but the objective facts it contains are most interesting. I'm thinking about shorting Obama on Intrade and making a fortune.

The Two Polls That Have Chicago Terrified - By Josh Jordan - The Corner - National Review Online#
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:24 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,220,208 times
Reputation: 7875
Looks like Obama is up to 63.3% on intrade and the Cons are all quiet about it so I am guessing that spells bad news for Romney this close to the election.
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:28 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,436,658 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Looks like Obama is up to 63.3% on intrade and the Cons are all quiet about it so I am guessing that spells bad news for Romney this close to the election.
Wasn't he at 80 not too long ago?
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:32 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,220,208 times
Reputation: 7875
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
Wasn't he at 80 not too long ago?
Actually he was at roughly 50% earlier in October and Cons were going on about this big slide and how it is over for Obama, now he is up to 63.3% and you guys are pretending it is no big deal. Oh and 80% or 63.3% looks good to me because both numbers are calling for an Obama win.
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:41 PM
 
Location: The Cascade Foothills
10,942 posts, read 10,265,406 times
Reputation: 6476
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Actually he was at roughly 50% earlier in October and Cons were going on about this big slide and how it is over for Obama, now he is up to 63.3% and you guys are pretending it is no big deal. Oh and 80% or 63.3% looks good to me because both numbers are calling for an Obama win.
Although 63.3% for Obama is pretty impressive, if you really want to put things in perspective, compare that to the whopping 36.5% they're giving Willard.
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:43 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,093 posts, read 51,289,449 times
Reputation: 28337
Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
This article explains the party ID shift detected by those pollsters, and explains the ramifications very clearly. It is from a conservative publisher, National Review, but the objective facts it contains are most interesting. I'm thinking about shorting Obama on Intrade and making a fortune.

The Two Polls That Have Chicago Terrified - By Josh Jordan - The Corner - National Review Online#
The article certainly makes it clear that more Republicans than anything else answer when you call landlines from a blocked number. Well maybe false hope is better than no hope at all for Romney fans.
 
Old 10-27-2012, 09:46 PM
 
Location: Fargo, ND
1,034 posts, read 1,245,988 times
Reputation: 326
National Poll(PPP)

Romney 49(+1)
Obama 48

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/262398467597545473
 
Old 10-27-2012, 10:20 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,220,208 times
Reputation: 7875
Obama is leading in that state, and Obama is gonna win that state....next you will want to know how Romney is doing in Washington and California...the West Coast is blue.
 
Old 10-27-2012, 10:32 PM
 
Location: Fargo, ND
1,034 posts, read 1,245,988 times
Reputation: 326
Ohio(U of Cincy)

Romney 49
Obama 49

Presidential race tied in Ohio newspaper poll - Local News
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Closed Thread


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top