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I'm not sure how PPP's Florida poll is possible(Romney +8 among Hispanics and +18 among White voters, that was 85% of the electorate in 2008 but he is somehow down one point), I think I'll agree with Mason-Dixon's thoughts on that state.
They interviewed fewer white people than their last poll of Florida 68% White in Sept poll 63% White now.
They interviewed fewer white people than their last poll of Florida 68% White in Sept poll 63% White now.
I saw that and in 2008 the turnout was 71% white and in 2004 it was 70% according to exit polls. That PPP poll is very likely junk, I'm very confident that Romney is up 2-3 points there. Wish I could say the same about Ohio though.
We all know national polls (aka, the popular vote) don't mean diddly... although when your boat's floundering, I suppose it's "any port in a storm".
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08
I think Romney hurt himself bad in the last debate by agreeing with Obama on everything.
You may be right, although it's hard to imagine anybody at this late stage of the game still so easily "undecided". So I suspect the biggest influence is really gonna be "turnout".
I think what hurts Romney the most in this election is the enthusiasm factor. He was the least worst choice among a huge field of GOP candidates, and many others were seen as the "leaders" at various points. Obama supporters are more enthusiastic overall and don't want to see the AHA overturned (among other things). I haven't spoken to one single Romney supporter who was voting for him other than "He's not Obama." Not being the other guy isn't enough to win an election.
With 9 days left and no more debates it's not going to happen for Romney.
Additionally, Democrats now are now peaking at a 90% chance for control of the Senate. Likely 52 to 48.
It's really the end of Era. With the growth the minority vote, surveys showing increased secularism, and acceptance of gays.
We will likely never see a white, religious conservative, good ole boy, win the Presidency in our lifetimes. The window will be closed in another four years.
GOP will need to do a total rebranding and their base will not like having to stop scapegoating of minorities, immigrants, gays, etc.
Last edited by padcrasher; 10-29-2012 at 06:48 AM..
Obama continues to claw his way back into the lead in the national polls. Battleground/GWU has Obama up 1 today - a gain of three from what the same poll found last week. The same slow but steady rise is seen in many state polls as well. There does seem to be a small debate 3 bump at work for Obama.
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lol...
