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Old 11-05-2012, 03:15 PM
 
Location: The Cascade Foothills
10,942 posts, read 10,268,189 times
Reputation: 6476

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Willard's at 31.8% on Intrade at the moment (compared to Obama's 68.3%).

https://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/



He got up a little past 38% a few times yesterday and I was getting very worried.

 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:16 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,958,197 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinebar View Post
Willard's at 31.8% on Intrade at the moment (compared to Obama's 68.3%).

https://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/



He got up a little past 38% a few times yesterday and I was getting very worried.
Like the odds in a football game where one team holds a lead. Every minute that ticks by, the odds grow longer and longer for the trailing team.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:23 PM
Status: "Freell" (set 17 days ago)
 
Location: Closer than you think!
2,860 posts, read 4,630,828 times
Reputation: 3158
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Like the odds in a football game where one team holds a lead. Every minute that ticks by, the odds grow longer and longer for the trailing team.

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012


Obama 70%
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:27 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,097 posts, read 51,306,911 times
Reputation: 28340
Big poll result now out: ABC/WaPo tracker. It is the one that has been giving me a bit of worry because it is a good poll with a huge sample and it has been lagging in the trend to Obama. No more! Obama up by 3. Not coincidentally, it agrees in the top line with Pew, another good poll with a huge sample that came out recently. Stick in the fork!
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:28 PM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,122 posts, read 34,797,313 times
Reputation: 15109
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Big poll result now out: ABC/WaPo tracker. It is the one that has been giving me a bit of worry because it is a good poll with a huge sample and it has been lagging in the trend to Obama. No more! Obama up by 3. Not coincidentally, it agrees in the top line with Pew, another good poll with a huge sample that came out recently. Stick in the fork!
Not only is he up by 3. You missed the critical fact that he's at 50 percent!
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:29 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,958,197 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by cdw1084 View Post
Right now I'm imagining the pick President Obama will make in 2015 to replace Justice Ginsburg when she steps down from the Supreme Court...
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:32 PM
 
Location: The Cascade Foothills
10,942 posts, read 10,268,189 times
Reputation: 6476
Yikes!

30.2% (Intrade)!
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:41 PM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,122 posts, read 34,797,313 times
Reputation: 15109
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Right now I'm imagining the pick President Obama will make in 2015 to replace Justice Ginsburg when she steps down from the Supreme Court...
Right now I'm imagining how cold it's going to be when I get started on GOTV tomorrow morning.

It's not over yet. We still have to keep pushing.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:44 PM
 
Location: Texas
5,068 posts, read 10,141,059 times
Reputation: 1651
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tinawina View Post
I think following where candidates spend money in the stretch was a more reliable indicator before we hit the days of insane fundraising amounts.

Now, it's hard to tell when a cash rich campaign is spending money just because it can. It's not like Team Obama has to pick and choose. They can afford to counter Romney wherever he decides to go while still campaigning where they want.
I don't know. Remember, Mitt is worth at least 200mm bucks.

BTW, remember when Bush had one in a squeaker? I was listening to the radio in my car when the winner was announced by a couple of news guys. Both of them were crying. I want them to cry some more.
 
Old 11-05-2012, 03:44 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,958,197 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
Right now I'm imagining how cold it's going to be when I get started on GOTV tomorrow morning.

It's not over yet. We still have to keep pushing.
The two are not mutually exclusive
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