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Old 11-06-2012, 02:52 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,957,662 times
Reputation: 1297

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Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
Pity poor Barack Obama. If he wins, as you believe, he is inheriting quite a mess that he left for himself.

The EPA has been waiting until after the election to unload a bunch more job-killing measures, the last president (2008-2012) failed to resolve the deficit/debt issues that are leading us over the fiscal cliff, under current law income taxes are scheduled to skyrocket on everyone beginning Jan. 1st (including a 50% increase in the lowest tax bracket), nothing has been done to fix our unsustainable entitlements, and the most difficult and expensive provisions of Obamacare will fall on employers during his watch.

But we must all hope that we elect a great president, because we need one to fix all these messes.
Nice way to try and put the collapse during the year 2008 on Obama! Of course, as you well know, President Obama didn't become President until 2009... but we know you want to try and pin the collapse that happened under Bush on Obama.

Here's an idea -- next time, try telling the truth.

 
Old 11-06-2012, 02:52 PM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,416,209 times
Reputation: 6388
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinebar View Post
Holy guacamole!!!!

I just looked at Intrade for the first time this morning and they have Willard at 26.5%!!!!

Even in my wildest dreams I didn't think I'd see him go that low!

Here's a free tip. If Obama is not trading above 64 at 5:30 PM ET, he will lose. He's at 68.7 at 4:51, and exit polling info will start to come out in nine minutes. Turnout info in republican territory will be key.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 03:18 PM
 
Location: Old Town Alexandria
14,492 posts, read 26,612,503 times
Reputation: 8971
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cinebar View Post
Willard is surging!

30.5% at Intrade!
 
Old 11-06-2012, 03:46 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,438,277 times
Reputation: 6462
Real money, coal stocks up, hmmm.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 03:48 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,957,662 times
Reputation: 1297
Drudge says exits have Obama winning OH, NH, PA, NV. If he's right, that puts Obama at 268 EVs, needing only one more toss-up/swing state to put him over the top.
DRUDGE REPORT 2012®

Personally, I think Drudge and exit polls are both worthless. But even stopped clocks are right twice daily...
 
Old 11-06-2012, 03:55 PM
 
Location: New York City
4,035 posts, read 10,302,509 times
Reputation: 3753
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Drudge says exits have Obama winning OH, NH, PA, NV. If he's right, that puts Obama at 268 EVs, needing only one more toss-up/swing state to put him over the top.
DRUDGE REPORT 2012®

Personally, I think Drudge and exit polls are both worthless. But even stopped clocks are right twice daily...
Iowa had a huge percentage of early voters. It's probably hard to get an accurate exit poll in Iowa.
 
Old 11-06-2012, 03:57 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,353,407 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
Here's a free tip. If Obama is not trading above 64 at 5:30 PM ET, he will lose. He's at 68.7 at 4:51, and exit polling info will start to come out in nine minutes. Turnout info in republican territory will be key.
Well, it's now nearly 6 PM ET and intrade has Obama at 69.8%

Intrade - Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012

Ken
 
Old 11-06-2012, 04:00 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,957,662 times
Reputation: 1297
Virginia election official: turnout likely higher than in 2008.

UPDATE: Turnout likely higher than in 2008, state elections official says | Richmond Times-Dispatch

Quote:
Virginia is seeing high voter turnout today and the total will likely be larger than 2008, State Board of Elections Secretary Don Palmer said late this afternoon.

“Turnout is robust,” Palmer told reporters at a 3:30 p.m. briefing in downtown Richmond. "We anticipate a very large turnout. We think it'll be higher than 2008.”
 
Old 11-06-2012, 04:03 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,353,407 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by Green Onions View Post
Yeah turnout is going to be HUGE this time around - we are hearing reports of that from all over.
The GOP has been counting on a big turnout on their side to overturn the poll results, but it's Democratic turnout sounds like is BIG as well (which will probably be the "fly in the ointment" for the GOP game plan).

Ken
 
Old 11-06-2012, 04:05 PM
 
Location: New York City
4,035 posts, read 10,302,509 times
Reputation: 3753
Up to 90.9 on FiveThirtyEight.

Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds - NYTimes.com
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