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Ahhh, poor babies, the left wingers are now whining over polls even though the results are EXACTLY what I said which would happen as we get closer to election day and pollsters move from registered voters to most likely voters.
Gallup evidently just shifted over from registered voters to likely voters in their polling results, and when they've done so in the past, the way that they calculated likely voters produced shifts that were very inconsistent with other polls, and very inconsistent with actual election results. For instance, in 2010 Gallup predicted a 15% advantage for R's nationally, when the actual voting results were 6.8%. Gallup is once again the outlying poll, showing numbers way off from the rest of the polling firms. The RCP average is going to be a lot more accurate.
Mainly because they are taking many polls and averaging them together which gets them a much larger sample size...
Ahhh, poor babies, the left wingers are now whining over polls even though the results are EXACTLY what I said which would happen as we get closer to election day and pollsters move from registered voters to most likely voters.
Dude, you come off as an uneducated redneck when you say stuff like this. Silva is a independent even though he votes primarily democratic. His success came from the 2008 election when he hit on 49 out of 50 states and on all the senate races. The guy is a statistical genius...
In addition to elections he loves baseball and invented his own statistical analysis on the game and later sold it to baseball Prospectus...
I'm sure Obama will win PA. Philly and it's metro always carries the state in presidential elections for the Dems. It would be nice though to have Obama have to maybe campaign there. He is already worried about ultra liberal Democrat strongholds like Wisconsin and Iowa.
Evidently Obama is weak in the Philly suburbs compared to previous presidential elections. Western PA which is somewhat of a Dem bastion has turned en masse against Obama.
Your polls had Scott Walker losing in a landslide, howd that work out again?
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hmm...
fail....
