***Presidential Polls*** #2 (liberals, conservative, money, states)

[FargoBison]

Originally Posted by EdwardA

I must admit following PPP on twitter is funny. They retweet these attack tweets from angry people. Lately it's been Dems going ballistic.

Yeah I've been a follower of theirs for a while, it is definitely entertaining reading all the tweets from angry Dems and Republicans.

[FargoBison]

The early voting results in Iowa definitely make that NBC poll seem questionable.

[wxjay]

PA Poll from Susquehanna: Romney +4 (49-45)
PA Poll from Quinnipiac: Obama +4 (50-46)

[sxrckr]

Nope.... not over yet. Polls are too close.

[wnewberry22]

I agree. I think it is too close to call it "over" but it is definitely within our reach.

[Randomstudent]

Originally Posted by EdwardA

Good poll for Obama but the Iowa one smells off according to the poll 1/3 of respondents have already voted. Do we have confirmation of that because that seems high.

I have seen that in polls besides Marist as well. I wonder if it is because of their likely voter models? After all if you have already voted you should automatically get through any sane likely vote screen. That might be what is skewing it, but that is just my uneducated guess.

[walidm]

Romney's still behind in RCP's latest Electoral Map

[Ponderosa]

Originally Posted by Randomstudent

I have seen that in polls besides Marist as well. I wonder if it is because of their likely voter models? After all if you have already voted you should automatically get through any sane likely vote screen. That might be what is skewing it, but that is just my uneducated guess.

All of the polls can be attacked these days. The response rate, especially to the automated polls is the lowest it has ever been, and likely voter filters can skew things considerably. I look at consistency though. Marist has the same numbers it had a month ago. Some of the polls are up and down by 6 points over a matter of days. I guess you can be consistently wrong though.

[Natural510]

That's about how it will be, except for Colorado going blue.

[LoveToRow]

A new poll shows Republican Mitt Romney leading in Pennsylvania, a state that Republicans had all but written off just weeks ago but which is now listed as a toss up by the Real Clear Politics website.
Susquehanna Polling and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead over President Obama.

Link: Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania | WashingtonExaminer.com

Heads must be spinning in the Obama camp. I LOVE IT!!!!