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Old 10-19-2012, 10:23 AM
 
30,311 posts, read 18,867,558 times
Reputation: 21213

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Quote:
Originally Posted by jt800 View Post
Romney is leading on the Real Clear Politics Electoral College Map:

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

And, Romney is now leading in Pennsylvania!!!:

Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania


He's also leading in Favorability:
Romney's favorability rating tops Obama's
That's really bad news for Bo and shows that this may be a much larger margin of victory for Romney than most people think.

I have the range for Obama from 158-232 electoral votes with my prediction being about 218.

 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:32 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
20,054 posts, read 18,342,135 times
Reputation: 3827
Quote:
Originally Posted by hawkeye2009 View Post
That's really bad news for Bo and shows that this may be a much larger margin of victory for Romney than most people think.

I have the range for Obama from 158-232 electoral votes with my prediction being about 218.
My shocker of 2012: Oregon goes Rmoney. Portlandia isn't so keen on Obama's pro-war and anti-civil liberties record and they are key to winning the state for the Dems. My thought is that they stay home and get baked to show Obama's who's boss. Don't forget Obama hates weed users and Portland is practically fueled by weed. The more moderate he looks in the debate, the better my long odds prediction has of panning out.

I really wish Intrade had a "Rmoney takes Oregon" penny stock. I would so be in that trade right now.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:34 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,225 posts, read 34,987,112 times
Reputation: 15184
There is a silver lining for Womney: He has a 100% chance of winning Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama and Utah.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:36 AM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,996,722 times
Reputation: 7458
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
There is a silver lining for Womney: He has a 100% chance of winning Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama and Utah.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
That's weird. Just a few months ago, the left was telling us that Mitt Romney couldn't win the South because evangelicals don't like Mormons.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:37 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 277,763 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
My shocker of 2012: Oregon goes Rmoney. Portlandia isn't so keen on Obama's pro-war and anti-civil rights record and they are key to winning the state for the Dems. My thought is that they stay home and get baked to show Obama's who's boss.
LOL.. Oregon is safe for Obama.. I guess you just need to give up on any political discussion till the 7th and once the reality sinks in for you, you wont have any talking points left...

RCP - Oregon
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:39 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
20,054 posts, read 18,342,135 times
Reputation: 3827
Quote:
Originally Posted by MA2NC2012 View Post
LOL.. Oregon is safe for Obama.. I guess you just need to give up on any political discussion till the 7th and once the reality sinks in for you, you wont have any talking points left...

RCP - Oregon
Safe as in the odds favor him. I didn't suggest they didn't. I called it a "shocker" for a reason. You have to examine the demographics of Oregon to really understand how left the left are in Portland and Eugene and how Obama isn't left enough for them. They don't have to vote Rmoney. They just have to stay home remembering that their one vote doesn't make a lick of difference and why bother if Obama is out of touch with their far left philosophy.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 01:12 PM
 
5,787 posts, read 4,734,506 times
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The Susquehanna Poll was released just yesterday:

Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania
 
Old 10-19-2012, 01:28 PM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 26,425,452 times
Reputation: 7627
Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
My shocker of 2012: Oregon goes Rmoney. Portlandia isn't so keen on Obama's pro-war and anti-civil liberties record and they are key to winning the state for the Dems. My thought is that they stay home and get baked to show Obama's who's boss. Don't forget Obama hates weed users and Portland is practically fueled by weed. The more moderate he looks in the debate, the better my long odds prediction has of panning out.

I really wish Intrade had a "Rmoney takes Oregon" penny stock. I would so be in that trade right now.
Dream on.
NO WAY my neighbors to the south will go for Romney.
NO WAY, NO WAY, NO WAY.
You are truly delusional.

Ken
 
Old 10-19-2012, 01:30 PM
 
23,838 posts, read 23,202,497 times
Reputation: 9409
As has been said a millions times: Liberals and Democrats will be the only people surprised and shocked on Election Day.
 
Old 10-19-2012, 01:32 PM
 
23,838 posts, read 23,202,497 times
Reputation: 9409
Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
I told ya'll that PA has a lot of fickle moderates in the Philly 'burbs.
And perhaps all of the old legacy Democrats in Pennsylvania are finally evolving their personal ideologies (conservative) to match that of today's political parties. Old school PA Democrats are generally more aligned with Republicans, but because Grandpa voted Democrat all his life, his offspring tend to follow suit. That could be changing as these old folks die out.
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