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Old 10-26-2012, 08:43 PM
 
Location: Indianapolis
2,294 posts, read 2,664,756 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Any state that would still vote in a controversial governor that went way right isn't as far left as they once were.
I understand what you are saying, and agree to a point, but a special election is MUCH different than a general election. Only the die-hards on either side turn out for special elections.
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Old 10-26-2012, 08:49 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,273,228 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Knox Harrington View Post
I understand what you are saying, and agree to a point, but a special election is MUCH different than a general election. Only the die-hards on either side turn out for special elections.
This is true. It just shows that it's not beyond the question that Romney wins Wisconsin. Obama has to have a huge turnout again to winagain this time IMO. The question boils down to whether people turn out like they did in 2008 or not.
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Old 10-26-2012, 08:54 PM
 
Location: NC
9,984 posts, read 10,402,787 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Many of the polls for Wisconsin's special election had the vote close. It wasn't. Walker won extremely easily. Any state that would still vote in a controversial governor that went way right isn't as far left as they once were.
Most polls were actually fairly accurate about the Wisconsin recall. Very few had it close in fact We Ask America overstated Walker's strength by a point or 2.

Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Old 10-26-2012, 09:13 PM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,273,228 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Randomstudent View Post
Most polls were actually fairly accurate about the Wisconsin recall. Very few had it close in fact We Ask America overstated Walker's strength by a point or 2.

Wisconsin gubernatorial recall election - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
At the very end. Even then......

BBC News - Wisconsin special election in dead heat as polls close
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Old 10-26-2012, 09:23 PM
 
Location: Florida
33,582 posts, read 18,196,748 times
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O=0

Romney 2012
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Old 10-26-2012, 09:26 PM
 
Location: NC
9,984 posts, read 10,402,787 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
Not really as far back as mid-early May the polls were getting fairly close to the 5.8% margin. With that said Exit polling messed up. Exit polling also messed up in 2004, and 2000. Exit polling is =/= telephone surveys.

Additionally I almost never believe articles that say X race is a dead heat, because they are almost always lying to get you to click them. If you click your link their "Dead heat" is 61-39%.
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Old 10-26-2012, 09:51 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,174,590 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pknopp View Post
This is true. It just shows that it's not beyond the question that Romney wins Wisconsin. Obama has to have a huge turnout again to winagain this time IMO. The question boils down to whether people turn out like they did in 2008 or not.
Even the Huffington Post has Wisconsin in play..

Mitt Romney 2012 Campaign: Wisconsin Becomes The New Ohio
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