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Old 10-30-2012, 08:42 AM
 
Location: it depends
6,369 posts, read 6,433,668 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Maabus1999 View Post
Being these results are based off the Gallup daily tracking results, I wouldn't trust them.

Heck Gallup is at the bottom of my "trust" list due to the stastical craziness with their method (with wild swings favoring Obama or Romney depending on the day).
Some wild craziness: in the gallup tracking poll of likely voters, Obama has been rock-solid on the bottom with 45-47%, and Romney has been solid on top with 50-51%--for THREE WEEKS.
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Old 10-30-2012, 08:46 AM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,851,711 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
Some wild craziness: in the gallup tracking poll of likely voters, Obama has been rock-solid on the bottom with 45-47%, and Romney has been solid on top with 50-51%--for THREE WEEKS.
your point being? i said before and ill sayit again, national trackers are irrelevant. state polls are the only ones that matter.

gallup uses 7 day rolling averages, which is another reason why the poll is no good.
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Old 10-30-2012, 08:51 AM
 
Location: Atlanta
6,806 posts, read 5,699,489 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bellhead View Post
No only breaking about 95%... per most sources...
is that down from 98% in 2008??
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Old 10-30-2012, 08:59 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,839 posts, read 41,193,924 times
Reputation: 62371
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jesus Christ Superstar View Post
The writing is on the wall with these numbers. Obama can't break 50% in the polls and it is a given that Romney will win the election.

In U.S., 15% of Registered Voters Have Already Cast Ballots



Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 45% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling.

Romney leads 51% to 45% among the much larger group of voters who plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6.
How do they know this if they haven't actually counted the votes? I voted early this year because I am having medical issues with standing for a long period of time but in TN, you don't register under a particular party. So, how do they know I voted for R/R? No one exit polled me, either. You know, maybe I voted one way for the local guys and another way for President.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:00 AM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
3,079 posts, read 3,134,739 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Moose Whisperer View Post
...and...after the hurricane your typical Obama Voter demographic will be too busy out looting the stores for any remaining $500 tennis shoes to be concerned with getting to the polling places.
Tell us how you really feel...Racism and discrimination is alive and well when it comes to minorities and the tea-bagger nut jobs wonder why is it only white men support the GOP & Romney?!?!?! This statement pretty much encapsulates the ignorance that is the republican party.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:03 AM
 
Location: Hinckley Ohio
6,721 posts, read 5,219,516 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
your point being? i said before and ill sayit again, national trackers are irrelevant. state polls are the only ones that matter.

gallup uses 7 day rolling averages, which is another reason why the poll is no good.
Actually, Nate Silver sums it up pretty well in the right margin.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Obama is 2% up in Ohio, really a bit higher with the huge lead in early voters he holds right now. Good thing is Obama's GOTV operation can reach deeper into their universe in the last four day, all days with polls open. Mittens on the other hand has a bigger universe to canvass and a smaller canvassing team to do so. We have reports of gop canvassers locally trying to bully ppl and getting nasty with ppl that won't comply. Nice.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:16 AM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,314,931 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzards27 View Post
Actually, Nate Silver sums it up pretty well in the right margin.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Obama is 2% up in Ohio, really a bit higher with the huge lead in early voters he holds right now. Good thing is Obama's GOTV operation can reach deeper into their universe in the last four day, all days with polls open. Mittens on the other hand has a bigger universe to canvass and a smaller canvassing team to do so. We have reports of gop canvassers locally trying to bully ppl and getting nasty with ppl that won't comply. Nice.
Oh bull crap. GOP canvassers are only taking surveys and asking 3 dam questions. You have reports that you're lying about. Furthermore, since they are only canvasing GOP members, that would mean their area is SMALLER, and since they are knocking on 500k doors a week, that would make the canvasing team larger.

Please post some of these reports for us to see because you dont seem to have a clue what the hells taking place but pretend your an expert.

btw, if Obamas up 2%, thats not even close to the slam dunk you proclaimed was taking place in Ohio.. If I recall it was something like 2-1..

what a laugh.. you cant even keep your own lies straight from one posting to another.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:29 AM
 
Location: Hinckley Ohio
6,721 posts, read 5,219,516 times
Reputation: 1378
Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
Oh bull crap. GOP canvassers are only taking surveys and asking 3 dam questions. You have reports that you're lying about. Furthermore, since they are only canvasing GOP members, that would mean their area is SMALLER, and since they are knocking on 500k doors a week, that would make the canvasing team larger.

Please post some of these reports for us to see because you dont seem to have a clue what the hells taking place but pretend your an expert.

btw, if Obamas up 2%, thats not even close to the slam dunk you proclaimed was taking place in Ohio.. If I recall it was something like 2-1..

what a laugh.. you cant even keep your own lies straight from one posting to another.
Dispute the facts I see from inside, I'm seeing it not you, you're outside and really don't have a clue.

Like I said, we dwarf your hired gun team, we made 4,200,000 door knocks in Ohio this month as of Sunday. A bit over a million a week. Becuz we take early voters out of our universe we are getting deeper into our remaining universe than you guys will ever reach. Good luck with that GOTV that is twice as big with half the manpower.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:33 AM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,314,931 times
Reputation: 9383
Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzards27 View Post
Dispute the facts I see from inside, I'm seeing it not you, you're outside and really don't have a clue.

Like I said, we dwarf your hired gun team, we made 4,200,000 door knocks in Ohio this month as of Sunday. A bit over a million a week. Becuz we take early voters out of our universe we are getting deeper into our remaining universe than you guys will ever reach. Good luck with that GOTV that is twice as big with half the manpower.
Dispute the facts? You cant even be consistant on the "facts" you see..

one day your winning 2-1, the next day its 2%,

Why dont you post a report "from the inside" so it can be reviewed? I can easily stand here and claim that Obama is getting his ass handed to him and thats why you're panicking, but I dont make crap up like you.

You could have 1,000,000 people knocking on doors, it wont change the fact that people are out of work, the debt is skyrocketing, record welfare, and legislation is choaking america..

You can pretend that door knocking (and this goes for the GOP as well) will change peoples opinions, but that makes you a fool.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:56 AM
 
7,108 posts, read 9,042,950 times
Reputation: 6435
Quote:
Originally Posted by pghquest View Post
Dispute the facts? , it wont change the fact that people are out of work, the debt is skyrocketing, record welfare, and legislation is choaking.
It doesn't change the fact that Romney won't turn it around.

My thing is to many are not voting for Romneys policies. The are voting against the president.

Obama has been a good president considering what he has accomplished.
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