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One has to wonder how this will factor into the actual election...
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"When you start polling in any state that's competitive with a big component of the electorate being Latino, you tend to see that they tend to underestimate the Latino vote," says David Damore, a political science professor at the University of Nevada. "[The result] tends to be more Republican than it actually will be."
The righties will deny this, of course, but it is absolutely true.
I read about it last week, and I think it will deliver Nevada, Colorado, and maybe even Florida to the Obama camp. In both Nevada and Colorado, it could amount to 3-4% of the popular vote in each state. I don't know as much about Florida, but I know that not all Florida hispanics are Cubans.
Like everything else, we will know more about it soon enough.
Mother jones is such a joke if anything this cycle polling firms have overestimated minority turnout.
I doubt this is true. Look at the big jump for Romney in the likely voters model. I think the assumption has been that Democrats will not turn out in great numbers, which it reasonable, but I think that many hispanics are not likely to be easily reached by most polls.
Location: On the "Left Coast", somewhere in "the Land of Fruits & Nuts"
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VLWH
Uhh ohh..... it's mother jones, one has to wonder how someone would post such bias crap and still be taken serious.
So in other words, facts don't matter and it can't be true unless it was on FOX or mentioned by some right wing source (and then only if it agrees with you...)?
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