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Your math is off, he needs closer to 600 to win. You really expect Trumps racist, hateful rhetoric to fly in those states? You're in for a surprise. His rhetoric doesn't play well outside the south and Cruz just picked up a ton of new voters with Rubio dropping out.
The last I checked Vermont,New Hampshire,Massachusetts, ,Michigan,and Illinois weren't in the south.Trumps best state so far was Massachusetts.So far the only northern state Cruz has won is Maine.So far Cruz has won one northern state and lost six and lost two border states Missouri and Kentucky.So far Trump has won five out of seven northern states and both border states,a trend I see continuing.
At some point Republicans will realize that Trump is going to get shellacked in November and set the party back for years and years. But where do they turn now? Cruz may be even worse and Kasich can never get enough delegates to win. This is a fine mess, to be sure. I suppose the best course is to vote for anybody but Trump to take it to the floor.
At some point Republicans will realize that Trump is going to get shellacked in November and set the party back for years and years. But where do they turn now? Cruz may be even worse and Kasich can never get enough delegates to win. This is a fine mess, to be sure. I suppose the best course is to vote for anybody but Trump to take it to the floor.
If this happens/we follow this logic, trump goes independent and republicans lose regardless. Lose/Lose.
But I wouldn't write off trump if he gets the nomination, no way. Hate him or not, he's a force. Everyone wrote him off in the primary....."he can't win that.....well yeah, he did win that one, but now he can't win that......wait, ok, he won that, now he can't.....oh, he did ok there but he can't.....". The "experts" have been very wrong and have been consistent in underestimating him.
At some point Republicans will realize that Trump is going to get shellacked in November and set the party back for years and years. But where do they turn now? Cruz may be even worse and Kasich can never get enough delegates to win. This is a fine mess, to be sure. I suppose the best course is to vote for anybody but Trump to take it to the floor.
A lot of Republican leaders already think that but if they can't convince the voters then they have no choice but to run with him this time.If he doesn't win it doesn't do any more harm to the party than Romney,or McCain losing over the last eight years.If he keeps winning primaries and they deny him the nomination THAT WOULD set the party back for years and years.Anyone nominated that way would lose a ton of Republican support.
Gary Johnson might even break 1% if that happened...
The most likely scenario is that Hillary will lose her voice completely and goes silent. Trump then has to debate a sign language stand in for Hillary. I say Trump would win the debates.
A few hours ago I took a calculator and drew the same conclusion.
Still, just like in football we have odds and spreads, but they still have to play the game, the same goes for the rest of the primaries and the general election, polls for which, by the way, I'd take with a grain of salt right now.
So let's play the game, at the very least it should be a lot of fun!
I just checked candidates schedules. Always a good indication on where they think they might have an issue. Next week it's AZ (on my list) and UT (not on my list). With that said....
I expect the Mormans will elect Ted Cruz so he doesn't need to campaign there. On other hand, AZ will be a challenge for Cruz. He has 3 events scheduled there. It would be a major score for Cruz if he could take this state from Trump.
Trump, so far, has no campaign stops scheduled this week. Seems that he thinks he will take AZ and doesn't care about UT.
Most interestingly, Kasiac is holding 3 events in UT this week. This is Cruz country, but it's a proportional race. This would indicate that he's trying to pull delegates from Cruz. Quite interesting indeed.
If this happens/we follow this logic, trump goes independent and republicans lose regardless. Lose/Lose.
But I wouldn't write off trump if he gets the nomination, no way. Hate him or not, he's a force. Everyone wrote him off in the primary....."he can't win that.....well yeah, he did win that one, but now he can't win that......wait, ok, he won that, now he can't.....oh, he did ok there but he can't.....". The "experts" have been very wrong and have been consistent in underestimating him.
I suspect that the "experts" are heavily influenced by the 0.1% and entitlement crew.
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