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We have actual results. It is called 750+ delegates but you always want to see the next result.
Because you need 1237 and even New York which is a winner take all state is NOT based on state wide votes but by districts and you need 50% or more in each district to win all the districts delegates. So highly doubtful that Trump will win ALL NY delegates. As long as Cruz and Kasich are in the mix they don't have to win the state they just need to keep Trump from winning 53% of the delegates a state gives.
Because you need 1237 and even New York which is a winner take all state is NOT based on state wide votes but by districts and you need 50% or more in each district to win all the districts delegates. So highly doubtful that Trump will win ALL NY delegates. As long as Cruz and Kasich are in the mix they don't have to win the state they just need to keep Trump from winning 53% of the delegates a state gives.
If it will contested and Trump will not get the nomination than it will be GOP as a dead party, RIP, and Trump will probably be backed by all his voters to run as an Independent and many voters will register as Independents and no longer as Republicans!
and if he gets it, there may very well be an attempt at a different party of some kind with a true conservative candidate. Yes, this will hurt the party's chances for the White House which is sad, but it will help with holding onto, at least one house.
As I reported earlier, if Trump wins these states, he wins nomination with comfortable margin.
If Trump takes
Arizona - WON
Wisconson
New York <-Winner Take Most
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Indiana
California
New Jersey
He will end up with 1,296 delegates. Furthermore, as backup, The Trump states of Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Washington are all Winner Take Most. And of course Trump will rack up proportional delegates and most likely will win a few more of the Winner take All states.
This is 53% of remaining delegates
Although I'd like to see that remaining percentage a little lower, this is very doable at this point.
Fine we shall see. Listen I don't like ANY of the current choices from both sides and I actually believe Cruz is the most dangerous choice for this country and will vote eventually for the one I THINK would do less damage to our country
All I'm saying is that until he gets to 1237 he hasn't won it and if for some reason he doesn't the party is stacking the deck against him.
This thing is a big problem for our country. Early on I was cheering for Trump, while always hoping that Cruz would get in the fast lane and pass him, winning the nomination. I am afraid that is not going to happen now. I am just about ready to get on board the Trump Train again. I would rather see Trump win the primary with 1237 than let those pieces of excrement manipulate the convention and put in someone.
You guys do realize the GOP can easily change the rules a week before the convention and force a contested convention regardless.
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