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One too many assumption. Just because a person is a bound delegate for Donald Trump doesn't mean that person is necessarily a supporter of Mr. Trump nor is he necessarily going to vote in favor of re-adopting Rule 40. Most delegates are party insiders, as I understand it. He is only required to cast a vote for Mr. Trump on the first (and maybe second, depending on state law) ballot.
One too many assumption. Just because a person is a bound delegate for Donald Trump doesn't mean that person is necessarily a supporter of Mr. Trump nor is he necessarily going to vote in favor of re-adopting Rule 40. Most delegates are party insiders, as I understand it. He is only required to cast a vote for Mr. Trump on the first (and maybe second, depending on state law) ballot.
Same can be said for any of the candidates. If Cruz can't get 1237 during the election, he's not even close to 1/2 that, then it's unlikely he will get it on subsequent ballots.
On the other hand, if Trump comes in with 1200 or so ballots, then I don't think he will have any problem getting a few dozen of the unbounds to vote with him. It will be over. This is what some don't seem to understand.
"Overall based on the numbers, because it is highly unlikely East Coast Republicans will vote for a Canadian- born Texan for President over a New York billionaire, April will be Cruz’s last hurrah. But on the bright side Ted, you will always be welcomed back home in Canada."
Here's why Cruz and Trump are BOTH likely to Fall Short of 1237 Delegates
On Saturday, over at The Gateway Pundit, Joe Hoft put together a delegate math piece purporting to show that Cruz will be out of the running for 1237 delegates by the end of April. Hoft got that right, but his math used to get there is significantly off. - See more at: https://www.conservativereview.com/c....aBkABScU.dpuf
Here's why Cruz and Trump are BOTH likely to Fall Short of 1237 Delegates
On Saturday, over at The Gateway Pundit, Joe Hoft put together a delegate math piece purporting to show that Cruz will be out of the running for 1237 delegates by the end of April. Hoft got that right, but his math used to get there is significantly off. - See more at: https://www.conservativereview.com/c....aBkABScU.dpuf
Laughable ...
In the remainder of April, Cruz is expected to win 281 delegates ???? Where ?
When has a party given the nomination to a candidate who has only won 1 contest?...and the ONLY reason Kasich has won 1 contest its because he is the sitting governor of his state and he has the state political machine in his pocket......if he wasn't the sitting governor of Ohio, he be ZERO in the winning column.
The whole thing is a circus and a joke.
Yep, a very, very sad circus and a joke. Kasich - already mathematically eliminated on delegate count, yet still talks like he's going to win. And Cruz, stealing delegates, but, really, stealing the votes from "We The People".
This whole mess brought to you by Too Big To Fail. Cruz wife = Goldman Sachs, Kasich = an ex-managing director of Lehman Bros. Hillary = Goldman Sachs has her in their camp as well.
The investment banking world has a big showing in this election cycle.
It's pretty obvious - at least, to anyone not chugging Kool-Aid of one flavor or another straight from the pitcher - that Trump, Cruz and Kasich are going all the way to the convention in July.
But you know what's really funny? The fact that Cruz, a complete and total right-wing nutjob on steroids - isn't good enough for the Branch Trumpidians!
It's pretty obvious - at least, to anyone not chugging Kool-Aid of one flavor or another straight from the pitcher - that Trump, Cruz and Kasich are going all the way to the convention in July.
But you know what's really funny? The fact that Cruz, a complete and total right-wing nutjob on steroids - isn't good enough for the Branch Trumpidians!
Man, it's fun watching the GOP devour itself!
Word. Why is this obvious fact not apparent? Cruz and Kasich have a snowball's chance in hell of ever reaching 1,237 delegates. That's not the point, obviously. They are trying to (i) take enough delegates away from the Donald to ensure he does not get 1,237, and (ii) hopefully, win the nomination on the second or subsequent ballots at the convention when the delegates are no longer bound to a candidate. Thus, they are not dropping out even if they lose every single remaining state (they probably will if and when Donald gets 1,237).
Mick
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