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Its definitely the home state of Hillary. She's represented that state for a long time, but we are improving in the polls so lets see! If he can win NY, that would a massive yuuuuuuuge victory.
You're very wrong about this. It is not her home state and didn't move there until just before she decided she wanted to be a senator. Hillary is from the Chicago area, not NY city or NY State. She only moved to NY because she wanted to represent that state in the Senate and officially moved there a little before that. NY was the perfect state for her with high recognition, and voting Liberal. It was an easy win for her.
" A native of the Chicago area, Hillary Rodham graduated from Wellesley College in 1969, where she became the first student commencement speaker. She went on to earn a J.D. from Yale Law School in 1973. After a stint as a congressional legal counsel, she moved to Arkansas, marrying Bill Clinton in 1975. She co-founded Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families in 1977, became the first female chair of the Legal Services Corporation in 1978, and was named the first female partner at Rose Law Firm in 1979. While First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981, and 1983 to 1992, she led a task force that reformed Arkansas' public school system, and served on the board of directors of Wal-Mart among other corporations."
Last edited by marino760; 04-06-2016 at 06:27 AM..
Reason: typo
You're very wrong about this. It is not her home state and didn't move there until just before she decided she wanted to be a senator. Hillary is from the Chicago area, not NY city or NY State. She only moved to NY because she wanted to represent that state in the Senate and officially moved there a little before that. NY was the perfect state for her with high recognition, and voting Liberal. It was an easy win for her.
" A native of the Chicago area, Hillary Rodham graduated from Wellesley College in 1969, where she became the first student commencement speaker. She went on to earn a J.D. from Yale Law School in 1973. After a stint as a congressional legal counsel, she moved to Arkansas, marrying Bill Clinton in 1975. She co-founded Arkansas Advocates for Children and Families in 1977, became the first female chair of the Legal Services Corporation in 1978, and was named the first female partner at Rose Law Firm in 1979. While First Lady of Arkansas from 1979 to 1981, and 1983 to 1992, she led a task force that reformed Arkansas' public school system, and served on the board of directors of Wal-Mart among other corporations."
Well, it was enough for her to destroy Obama there in 2008 with a 17 point margin. That's why I think she will destroy Bernie as well. Unfortunately for him, blacks make up 16% of the state's population so that's higher than the country's average.
Well, it was enough for her to destroy Obama there in 2008 with a 17 point margin. That's why I think she will destroy Bernie as well. Unfortunately for him, blacks make up 16% of the state's population so that's higher than the country's average.
I think its worth noting that Hillary's huge lead among AA voters isn't necessarily what it appears nor is it holding as much outside the south. She does better with women than men and older voters than younger. If you look at who votes (& is eligible to vote) those two tendencies can skew perception. She also has a huge built in advantage in name ID. I do not see Bernie being an unacceptable candidate to AA voters as much as Hillary is preferred.
For comparison in SC, AA voters can make up half of the Democratic primary voters- the drop from half to 16% is pretty notable.
I still think Hillary takes NY but do not foresee a 70-30 margin some seem to predict.
I'll go with Trump on the R side. I just don't see Cruz playing well in NY.
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