Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
And Cruz and clinton's negatives aren't very impressive either. And polls change over time, often big time, especially when a candidate is finally selected.
Come back in late October when we have something solid. But if it makes you feel better/makes you less nervous to post such things because you fear a candidate, more power to you. As they say in politics, when people talk about a candidate a lot they don't like, deep down they fear they are going to win and their candidate is going to lose. And I see a bunch of fear going on in many of this threads. In the meantime, have a glass of beer, wine, tea, or beverage of your choice and relax. Got a long way to go/polls change big from here to Nov. See reagan vs carter for exhibit A. Let history be your guide.
It's also remotely possible that Marco Rubio will be the GOP nominee.
Hillary's worst nightmare would be facing any of: Rubio/Kasich/Ryan. Those guys don't have high unfavorability to cancel out Hillary's own super high unfavorability, as would be the case with Mr. Trump or Ted.
In June and with 17 people running including high profile governors and senators, did you expect you'd be looking at Trump as one of three survivors with him in the lead in April? Numbers change.
Absolutely. I am a very smart man with huge hands. I went to Wharton, the best school in this universe.
Look at my posts in July. I predicted that Mr. Trump will rule the GOP. And the Panama Paper Scandal.
Yes, but thanks for asking Mick. You do know that polls change over time, right ?
General election polls by mid April are correct 2/3rds of the time since 1952. So Trump has a week to get his poll numbers up from that 11 point deficit to Hillary. Never going to happen. Trump is a joke with zero chance in a general election.
C' mon Mick, Reagan was polling in the low 30s around this time in 1980 and we all know how that turned out.
Reagan's net favorability was nowhere near as bad as Donald's, inn fact, Ronnie was viewed as more likeable than Carter for more of 1980. In contrast Donald's favorables are unprecedented in their awfulness.
C' mon Mick, Reagan was polling in the low 30s around this time in 1980 and we all know how that turned out.
From my post in another thread...
One of the great myths of the 1980 campaign is that Reagan somehow came from behind at the last moment to defeat Carter. That narrative is based primarily on Gallup polling. But the average of polls, as John Sides has pointed out, gave Reagan an edge by early summer that he never relinquished. Carter’s lead over Reagan had been dropping throughout the early part of the year, as Carter’s hostage-crisis bounce disappeared. By the end of March, a local regression estimate of all the polls had Carter’s lead under 3 percentage points. In fact, Reagan led Carter in a late March 1980 Time/Yankelovich, Skelly & White poll. In 2016, Trump has not led in any recent polls. Clinton has led in the last 26 of them. When we apply the local regression we did to the 1980 polls to the surveys conducted this campaign, Clinton’s lead is expanding, and she is now up by a little more than 10 percentage points over Trump. This makes sense: Obama is becoming more popular, and Trump’s favorable ratings have been dropping since the beginning of the year.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
